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Week 14 CFB opening spreads

Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:26 am
Posted by Will Cover
St. Louis, MO
Member since Mar 2007
38591 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:26 am
Liberty - 10.5 & 53.5 O/U vs. N Mexico State (up to 11 & 54)

Oregon - 7.5 & 66 O/U vs. Washington (up to 9 and 67)

Texas - 11.5 & 53.5 O/U vs. Oklahoma State

Georgia - 4 & 56 O/U vs. Alabama (up to 5 and down to 55.5)

Tulane - 4 & 53 O/U vs. SMU (down to 3)

Florida State - 5 & 53.5 O/U vs. Louisville (up to 6 and down to 53)

Michigan - 23 & 35 O/U vs. Iowa
This post was edited on 11/26/23 at 9:29 am
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
82138 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:29 am to
FSU and Oregon moneyline all day and all night. Probably UGA as well.

I'd actually be tempted to take Iowa +23 as they are going to do their best to shorten the game.
This post was edited on 11/26/23 at 9:30 am
Posted by TomRollTideRitter
Member since Aug 2016
12619 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:31 am to
I had Oklahoma State for Big XII Championship preseason, so I’ll hammer Texas money line.

The rest of these don’t look too appealing. Maybe NMSU +10.5.
Posted by DownSouthCrawfish
Simcoe Strip - He/Him/Helicopter
Member since Oct 2011
36441 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Michigan - 23 & 35 O/U vs. Iowa
Michigan might hit the over solo
Posted by NIH
Member since Aug 2008
112711 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:35 am to
I wouldn’t touch that FSU line. I feel like backups inevitably lose steam a few weeks in once there is enough tape out.
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
12781 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:42 am to
quote:


I'd actually be tempted to take Iowa +23 as they are going to do their best to shorten the game


I think this is the type of game where Iowa D plays really well, but Michigan is up something like 16-0 after 3 quarters and the floodgates open in the 4th and Michigan wins by 30
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
82138 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:44 am to
Louisville is terrible though. I think FSU will bully them on both sides.
Posted by Lolathon234
Texas
Member since Oct 2022
210 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:54 am to
You're insane to take FSU -200. Louisville is elite at and against the run(only mobile qb's have had success). Florida State is mediocre at both and their backup qb is a career -17 yard rusher

Neither Oregon or Washington had any success stopping each other round 1, why should the second be any different? Game will be a shootout with the team making the fewer mistakes being the winner, literal crapshoot and you're betting 1:3?

Iowa got boatraced 31-0 by Penn State who plays a similar, albeit inferior style ala Michigan, who beat Penn State rather easily despite attempting 8 passes

Saban changed the offense/Milroe in an attempt to counter Georgia's scheme, as it was proven what they were doing before didn't work. Georgia hasn't had time to adapt and they've struggled against running qb's all season

Every pick is horrendous
Posted by BobRoss
Member since Jun 2014
1694 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 9:57 am to
Oregon should have won at Washington and has dominated every team since that game. Washington has struggled against really crappy teams. Speculation that Penix might be hurt. I like Oregon to cover the spread.
Posted by Lolathon234
Texas
Member since Oct 2022
210 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 10:01 am to
My point is none of those are smart bets. While they're the better team as a whole, when h2h, neither defense can stop the opposition. Thus it will come down to which team makes more mistakes. That's impossible to determine and you're just guessing. Taking Oregon ML or ATS is a bad bet, you're giving away points/odds in a game that's 50/50
This post was edited on 11/26/23 at 10:02 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82055 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 10:02 am to
quote:

Michigan - 23 & 35 O/U vs. Iowa
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164331 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 10:09 am to
The Iowa under train is going to be put to a real test next weekend.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16903 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 10:38 am to
quote:

The Iowa under train is going to be put to a real test next weekend.


We survived 24.5 this past Friday. 35 is walk in the park.
Posted by BobRoss
Member since Jun 2014
1694 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 11:10 am to
Guess we'll see Friday.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53916 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 11:27 am to
I’ll take Liberty and Texas ATS right now.
Posted by Jack Ruby
Member since Apr 2014
22832 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 11:51 am to
quote:

The Iowa under train is going to be put to a real test next weekend.


Mich will put up 30 on them at least. Oh State had a better Scoring efficiency defense than Iowa and still put up 30.

Final will probably be around 31-10.
Posted by artisticsavant
Member since Mar 2017
5008 posts
Posted on 11/26/23 at 11:54 am to
If Michigan just has to score 10 they'll win
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