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Thoughts on Giancarlo Stanton career homeruns

Posted on 8/11/17 at 12:41 am
Posted by cheesesteak501
The South
Member since Mar 2014
3152 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 12:41 am
Theres a chance Stanton will end up with 400 homeruns by the age of 30. He's 27 and will finish this season with around 260 career homers. He's had some badluck with injuries, but showing what he can do when he's healthy.

He will prob hit 50 homeruns this year, and hopefully that is the new norm for him.
This post was edited on 8/11/17 at 12:44 am
Posted by chalmetteowl
Chalmette
Member since Jan 2008
47514 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 2:03 am to
Shame he's never gonna hit one in a pennant race lol
Posted by brgfather129
Los Angeles, CA
Member since Jul 2009
17099 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 8:28 am to
quote:

Shame he's never gonna hit one in a pennant race lol


Well, that seems a bit premature.
Posted by Hoyt
Alabama: The Beautiful
Member since Aug 2011
5394 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 8:31 am to
If he can stay healthy he has a shot to wind up in top 3
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
39461 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 9:14 am to
Let's say he plays 10 more healthy years and averages 35 HRs per season. Theat will put him right around 600 in the 7-10 all time list.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
22402 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 9:19 am to
quote:

He will prob hit 50 homeruns this year, and hopefully that is the new norm for him.



You serious, clark?
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29286 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 9:21 am to
quote:

He will prob hit 50 homeruns this year, and hopefully that is the new norm for him.


...there have been 40-50 50+ homerun seasons in history and you think Stanton is going to hit 50 on average now
Posted by cheesesteak501
The South
Member since Mar 2014
3152 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 9:32 am to
quote:

there have been 40-50 50+ homerun seasons in history and you think Stanton is going to hit 50 on average now


I think he will come close to 50 homeruns quite a few times, yes. That is, if he can stay healthy.
Posted by 1ranter1
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2008
10395 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 9:36 am to
quote:

10 more healthy years


This seems unlikely considering he's only had 1 fully healthy year since making it to the majors. He missed 29% of his games from 2012-2016.

Pretty awesome to see the numbers he can put up when he is healthy.
Posted by TheGasMan
Member since Oct 2014
3141 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 9:38 am to
Posted by cheesesteak501
The South
Member since Mar 2014
3152 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 9:47 am to
quote:

This seems unlikely considering he's only had 1 fully healthy year since making it to the majors. He missed 29% of his games from 2012-2016.


His first year was a full professional season, 2014 he got hit in the face to end his season, and now this is his 3rd full season.
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
33929 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Let's say he plays 10 more healthy years and averages 35 HRs per season. Theat will put him right around 600 in the 7-10 all time list.


Yeah, I see Stanton finishing his career with 575-600 home runs. The biggest concern is his durability. Stanton has only played in 125+ games twice during his career. He has trouble staying healthy and bigger guys tend to break down at an earlier age. It's very possible for him to peter out due to health issues and finish his career with less than 450 HRs like Juan Gonzalez did.
This post was edited on 8/11/17 at 10:03 am
Posted by TU Rob
Birmingham
Member since Nov 2008
12734 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 10:26 am to
quote:

there have been 40-50 50+ homerun seasons in history and you think Stanton is going to hit 50 on average now


There have been 43, by 30 different players. There are only 8 with multiple 50+ HR seasons. Ruth, McGwire, and Sosa have 4 seasons. A Rod has 3. Griffey Jr, Mantle, Ralph Kiner, and Mays with 2 a piece. Really shines a light on Bonds 73. Never broke into the 50s in any other year, but magically hits 73 in 2001?
Posted by RedHawk
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
8842 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 10:33 am to
quote:

Really shines a light on Bonds 73. Never broke into the 50s in any other year, but magically hits 73 in 2001?



To be fair, he would have hit 50+ homers in the subsequent years had he not been walked 578 times over the next three seasons with many of those being intentional. Best hitter MLB will ever see.
Posted by Patrick_Bateman
Member since Jan 2012
17823 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 11:32 am to
He's incredible. So much power and hand speed.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145112 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 11:33 am to
quote:

He will prob hit 50 homeruns this year, and hopefully that is the new norm for him
do you have any idea how rare 50 home run seasons are?

He may get there this year, but I have really strong doubts that will ever be a norm for him
Posted by cheesesteak501
The South
Member since Mar 2014
3152 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 1:57 pm to
Around 50 will be the norm hopefully. 45 +
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
145112 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 1:58 pm to
35+ is a reasonable norm to expect. Not 45+ or 50
Posted by cheesesteak501
The South
Member since Mar 2014
3152 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 2:10 pm to
We'll see. When he puts together seasons of 150 games he will do some special stuff.
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
110737 posts
Posted on 8/11/17 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

He will prob hit 50 homeruns this year, and hopefully that is the new norm for him.
quote:

Around 50 will be the norm hopefully. 45 +



Why not hope for 75?
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