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Things to keep in mind when filling out brackets
Posted on 3/17/24 at 11:37 pm
Posted on 3/17/24 at 11:37 pm
-Last 3 tournaments involved a 15 over a 2
-Last 6 tournaments the defending champ did not make it out of the 1st weekend (I think Uconn breaks this streak)
-Last 16 tournaments a 10 seed or higher made the Sweet 16. Safe bet to put a double digit seed in the second weekend
-Only 3 times in 68 field tournament era has a 1 seed failed to make the final 4. 2006, 2011, 2023
-Last 6 tournaments the defending champ did not make it out of the 1st weekend (I think Uconn breaks this streak)
-Last 16 tournaments a 10 seed or higher made the Sweet 16. Safe bet to put a double digit seed in the second weekend
-Only 3 times in 68 field tournament era has a 1 seed failed to make the final 4. 2006, 2011, 2023
12
Posted on 3/18/24 at 6:34 am to WaydownSouth
When it’s a game that has two different animal mascots pick the animal that would win in a fight.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 6:50 am to WaydownSouth
When in doubt, teams with white as a primary uniform color will win
Posted on 3/18/24 at 6:55 am to Zap Rowsdower
quote:
When it’s a game that has two different animal mascots pick the animal that would win in a fight.
But if it’s the Gorillas vs the Grizzlies, then you have to have a 20page OT debate to decide
Posted on 3/18/24 at 7:02 am to WaydownSouth
And always remember - Ole Miss loses.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 8:03 am to AlonsoWDC
quote:
And always remember - Ole Miss loses.
Unless they are playing Memphis...
Posted on 3/18/24 at 8:12 am to Schmelly
quote:
But if it’s the Gorillas vs the Grizzlies, then you have to have a 20page OT debate to decide
Grizzlies
Posted on 3/18/24 at 8:17 am to WaydownSouth
16 won’t beat a 1
12 will definitely beat a 5, maybe more than once
12 will definitely beat a 5, maybe more than once
Posted on 3/18/24 at 8:20 am to WaydownSouth
Yeah but picking the right 15 over 2 is a dart throw and it probably won’t happen again.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 8:33 am to TheWalrus
quote:
Yeah but picking the right 15 over 2 is a dart throw and it probably won’t happen again.
It 100% will happen again, maybe not this year but it will happen again
Posted on 3/18/24 at 10:16 am to Oilfieldbiology
quote:
Grizzlies
Oh you done did it now!
Posted on 3/18/24 at 10:32 am to WaydownSouth
-Bet on Rick Barnes and Matt Painter at your own risk
Posted on 3/18/24 at 10:58 am to WaydownSouth
quote:
15 over a 2
I've been eyeing that Tenn/ Saint Peters game.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 12:26 pm to lsugerberbaby
I have every two seed in the final four
Posted on 3/18/24 at 12:28 pm to Schmelly
quote:
When in doubt, teams with white as a primary player color will lose
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:15 pm to MemphisGuy
quote:
Unless they are playing Memphis...
or Wisconsin
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:31 pm to WaydownSouth
5 of the top 6 school in the final 2020 KenPom rankings have made a Final Four since then. Conventional wisdom says the odd one out is due.
Posted on 3/18/24 at 1:57 pm to WaydownSouth
Since 2002, every National Champion has had the following mix in the KenPom data:
Top 40 in adjusted offensive efficiency
Top 25 in adjusted defensive efficiency
The teams that fit that criteria are the following:
Houston
Tennessee
Auburn
North Carolina
UConn
Arizona
St. Mary's
Marquette
Purdue
New Mexico
Creighton
Barring an outlier, the National Champion is one of those 11 teams. I really like Auburn's mix as at team that doesn't necessarily scream national champion. But they struggled against top competition at times this year and they are in UConn's bracket. Rick Barnes doesn't get the benefit of the doubt until he can actually win big in March. Houston always seems to run out of offense at some point. Arizona has been good. But they've failed to meet expectations in the tournament. Purdue always gets "out-athleted" at some point before the Final Four.
That, IMO, leaves two teams: UConn and North Carolina. UConn is probably the most complete team. But it's SO tough to win back-to-back titles. So if I had to bet my house on one team it would be...North Carolina (yuck!)
Top 40 in adjusted offensive efficiency
Top 25 in adjusted defensive efficiency
The teams that fit that criteria are the following:
Houston
Tennessee
Auburn
North Carolina
UConn
Arizona
St. Mary's
Marquette
Purdue
New Mexico
Creighton
Barring an outlier, the National Champion is one of those 11 teams. I really like Auburn's mix as at team that doesn't necessarily scream national champion. But they struggled against top competition at times this year and they are in UConn's bracket. Rick Barnes doesn't get the benefit of the doubt until he can actually win big in March. Houston always seems to run out of offense at some point. Arizona has been good. But they've failed to meet expectations in the tournament. Purdue always gets "out-athleted" at some point before the Final Four.
That, IMO, leaves two teams: UConn and North Carolina. UConn is probably the most complete team. But it's SO tough to win back-to-back titles. So if I had to bet my house on one team it would be...North Carolina (yuck!)
Posted on 3/18/24 at 2:05 pm to Alt26
I've got 3 of those in my final 4
Posted on 3/18/24 at 2:11 pm to Alt26
Good guard play
Is sooooo important in these tourneys. UNC has a couple real good ones. Houston has a smotherin D but I don’t trust that offense. Purdue will lose in sweet 16. UCONN is a really good team but got screwed with their bracket. If Kentucky could put it together for 6 games they will be tough to beat. Great guard play.
Is sooooo important in these tourneys. UNC has a couple real good ones. Houston has a smotherin D but I don’t trust that offense. Purdue will lose in sweet 16. UCONN is a really good team but got screwed with their bracket. If Kentucky could put it together for 6 games they will be tough to beat. Great guard play.
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