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Started By
Message
Sports Betting AI Algorithm Prediction
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:34 am
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:34 am
Put together a weekly college football spread picking site using an AI backtested prediction algorithm developed to help make data-driven CFB game picks. Where better to get honest feedback than the OT!
Site is Quaizimo.com (long post on how the name was decided on but will leave for another day)
Just was tired of using my gut and intuition and what little research I had time for to guess at picks week in and week out so thought if the sharps are using AI to help make educated picks then why can't I. Also tired of seeing free picks, locks, and guaranteed on all these post from so-called experts with no data to support (bit of rant but that is what TD is for).
Crazy part is I have backtested it from 2020-2025 and have a 67.9% winrate (I know it sounds too high but have run this multiple times and in varying verification methods to validate). For reference the best documented sports bettor was ~58% win rate over life.
Win rate for 2025 is 71.7% thru week 12 (one below breakeven week out of the 12) so far on Tier A picks. The picks are highly specific to just spreads for now as totals is not hardened enough to go live.
Any feedback greatly appreciated.
Site is Quaizimo.com (long post on how the name was decided on but will leave for another day)
Just was tired of using my gut and intuition and what little research I had time for to guess at picks week in and week out so thought if the sharps are using AI to help make educated picks then why can't I. Also tired of seeing free picks, locks, and guaranteed on all these post from so-called experts with no data to support (bit of rant but that is what TD is for).
Crazy part is I have backtested it from 2020-2025 and have a 67.9% winrate (I know it sounds too high but have run this multiple times and in varying verification methods to validate). For reference the best documented sports bettor was ~58% win rate over life.
Win rate for 2025 is 71.7% thru week 12 (one below breakeven week out of the 12) so far on Tier A picks. The picks are highly specific to just spreads for now as totals is not hardened enough to go live.
Any feedback greatly appreciated.
4
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:40 am to LSUTIGERS74
You should give TD users a free week trial mate 
Posted on 11/12/25 at 10:46 am to LSUTIGERS74
Bout to get anchored or whacked for spamming the board.
Avoid all that by giving us a a free membership
Avoid all that by giving us a a free membership
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:01 am to WITNESS23
Wasn't meant to be a spam, let me setup a trial login for TD that opens it up for the week so I can get true feedback. Will revert back here shortly with community login
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:07 am to LSUTIGERS74
I'll test it out
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:07 am to LSUTIGERS74
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:15 am to LSUTIGERS74
Signed up. Let me know what the TD promo code is.
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:31 am to gatordmb89
Alright, i created a demo login for anyone to use and try out thru the end of weekend.
Login: TD@quaizimo.com
Pass: Tigers123
Hope everyone gets some value out of it is very simple in terms of output but very high win rate thats tested.
Login: TD@quaizimo.com
Pass: Tigers123
Hope everyone gets some value out of it is very simple in terms of output but very high win rate thats tested.
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:33 am to LSUTIGERS74
This is very nice. Ill post my slips once I make them!
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:35 am to gatordmb89
quote:
TD promo code
I applied a demo coupon on the backend since you already signed up, won't be charged.
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:39 am to LSUTIGERS74
Betting every elite and tier A with 1 U
We shall see how this goes
We shall see how this goes
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:39 am to LSUTIGERS74
Should note Tier A is the one to use as has the best win rate for the season. The Elite (these are derived from a lower Tier B but carved out of the algo has high probability wins) picks are fewer and had by far the best win rate at start of season, only went 50% last weekend on 4 picks. This is like blackjack, betting one hand (i.e. game) is not great, need to play all tier A games for win rate to be obtainable. There are the cases like last week where we went 3-0 on the first 3 games but the data doesn't show that is the case very often.
Another point is since the lines are constantly moving, I update the picks in the morning and evening as in some cases the Tier A picks are right on the threshold of probability / confidence so even a 0.5 move in the worse direction can kick it out of "A" status.
Another point is since the lines are constantly moving, I update the picks in the morning and evening as in some cases the Tier A picks are right on the threshold of probability / confidence so even a 0.5 move in the worse direction can kick it out of "A" status.
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:42 am to Cosmo
quote:
Betting every elite and tier A with 1 U
We shall see how this goes
I play 2U on Tier A and 1U on Elite. Also win rate on Tier C if you take the fade (not the pick shown) is >60% (last week was roughly +83%, went 5-1)
Here is my Tier A for the 2025 season so far:
?? 2025 CFB TIER A RESULTS ??
?? Weeks 1-11 Performance (2-Unit Flat Betting):
? 58 Wins
? 23 Losses
?? 71.6% Win Rate
?? ACTUAL RETURNS:
+59.56 units profit
+36.8% ROI
That's 19.2% ABOVE break-even rate.
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:47 am to LSUTIGERS74
If you really want this to take off, I would contact TD amin or else this thread will get whacked.
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:53 am to LSUSUPERSTAR
Gotcha, no clue how to contact the TD admins but will look on site, appreciate the heads up as, I didn’t realize I was in violation.
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:57 am to LSUTIGERS74
looks like your site crashed tee
Posted on 11/12/25 at 11:59 am to diat150
Well, that’s a good start to feedback, just checked it and still up on my end
Posted on 11/12/25 at 12:11 pm to LSUTIGERS74
have now emailed the admins to try and avoid getting the ban ??
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