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re: So there is basically 1 at large a spot left correct? And it’s between Miami/ND/Tx Tech?

Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:09 am to
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89435 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:09 am to
quote:

Bama is not guaranteed


I keep seeing everyone just automatically count them in and I have no idea why. Obviously an SEC champ bama is in but with a loss:

-They'd have 3 losses, and the jump from 2 losses to 3 is typically a nail in the coffin
-They'd be a 3 loss team with no hardware to counterbalance it
-They would have just lost their most recent game (which counterbalances their best win of the season), and looked like straight arse in their 2nd most recent game against a shite team without a coach

People are just so blinded by the name bama they just give them a free pass, but a 3 loss bama is absolutely in no way a lock to make the playoffs. And I'd say that about literally any P4 team not just them.
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
69298 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:11 am to
If UGA loses to the same team twice, do they deserve to be in?
Posted by GeauxPanthers2
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Dec 2024
995 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:13 am to
quote:

They'd have 3 losses, and the jump from 2 losses to 3 is typically a nail in the coffin

They won't jump an at-large team with 2 losses ahead of them that didn't have to play a game, e.g. Miami.

It would only be an auto-bid team like BYU.
Posted by GoGators1995
Member since Jan 2023
6336 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:15 am to
100% in right now
UGA
Indiana
Ohio St
Ole Miss
Oregon
OU
A&M

Win and in
Bama
Texas Tech
Tulane/UNT winner
UVA

So if the final at large comes down between Miami and ND...
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89435 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:17 am to
quote:

f UGA loses to the same team twice, do they deserve to be in?


Of course, and it's because of the overall resume. UGA, bama, ohio state, texas tech, indiana...I don't GAF who you are, you are judged based on your top to bottom resume. Period. So in this scenario UGA's resume would be:

-11 wins
-Only 2 losses, so on the good side of the magic number
-SEC Championship game representative
-Both losses were to the same team; an 11 win team that just won the SEC and will be ranked in the top ~7.
-Ranked in the top 5 pretty much the entire season. Currently (after SECCG loss) probably ranked around 7ish.

If you don't think that's deserving of a spot in the top 12, I don't know what to tell ya.
Posted by theone
LSU
Member since Nov 2005
2088 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:20 am to
quote:

Win and in Bama Texas Tech Tulane/UNT winner UVA


Duke beating UVA would help the at large teams.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89435 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:21 am to
And actually I just remembered that last year Texas is a perfect example of the exact scenario you've desrcibed.

-Only 2 losses, both to the same team. One at home, one in the SECCG.
-Some decent wins otehrwise but nothing crazy (actually UGA has much better wins this year than texas did last)

Texas ended up with the 5th seed in the CFP. Sooo yeah I'd say it'd be a lock solid bet that we woudl still make the playoffs comfortably.
Posted by GeauxPanthers2
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Dec 2024
995 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:21 am to
Texas Tech is also 100% in. Just don't know if it will be as a conference champ or an at-large.

There's really only about 3 scenarios left:

1) BYU and Bama both win their championship games, then Notre Dame or Oklahoma is left out. I do think there is a chance the committee will jump Notre Dame over Oklahoma in this week's rankings in order to prevent Notre Dame from missing the playoff in this scenario. It would also widen the rankings gap between Notre Dame and Miami, which is in the committee's best interest.

2) Bama wins and BYU loses, then the current Top 10 makes the playoff plus the last two auto-bid conference champs.

3) BYU wins and Bama loses, then Bama is left out (assuming they remain #10 in this week's CFP rankings).
Posted by Broski
Member since Jun 2011
78892 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:24 am to
Not sure if it's been mentioned but there is no scenario where Notre Dame should get in over Miami.

Head to head has to matter.
Posted by GeauxPanthers2
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Dec 2024
995 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:26 am to
quote:

Not sure if it's been mentioned but there is no scenario where Notre Dame should get in over Miami.

Head to head has to matter.

100% agreed. But the committee would have to rank Miami ahead of Notre Dame this week for that to happen. And they won't jump Miami that far up in the rankings, in my opinion.
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
49598 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:31 am to
quote:

Bama isn't jumping ND after this week, and ND might well jump - should jump - that shitass Oklahoma team with no offense.

Probably shouldn’t have started 0-2
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
45996 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:31 am to
Which means the entire system is bullshite.
Posted by AbuTheMonkey
Chicago, IL
Member since May 2014
8537 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:40 am to
quote:

Bama isn't jumping ND after this week, and ND might well jump - should jump - that shitass Oklahoma team with no offense. Probably shouldn’t have started 0-2


Probably shouldn’t have been dominated by a shitass 5 - 7 ACC team.
This post was edited on 11/30/25 at 7:41 am
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
49598 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:58 am to
I’d like to hear your reasoning why ND should get in over Miami or OU

Bama not getting in would make me cackle with glee
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
13296 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:59 am to
quote:

I do think there is a chance the committee will jump Notre Dame over Oklahoma in this week's rankings in order to prevent Notre Dame from missing the playoff in this scenario


I think so too, but it’s asinine that the betting markets have Oklahoma as a near lock to make the playoffs as opposed to ND but way less odds to win the title. Clearly everyone knows they are not a good team, no reason to have them ranked above ND.
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
15711 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Tulane-UNT winner
UVA if they win/JMU if Duke wins


I think this is the point of contention.
So far The CFP committee has refused to rank 1-loss JMU.

The auto-bid is for the 5 highest “ranked” conference champs. There is a possibility that ACC champ (Duke) & SBC Champ (JMU or Troy) are both not ranked which would open up another at large bid
This post was edited on 11/30/25 at 8:05 am
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
90250 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 8:04 am to
quote:

Bama not getting in would make me cackle with glee
it's all you idiots would have. How sad..

This post was edited on 11/30/25 at 8:05 am
Posted by GoGators1995
Member since Jan 2023
6336 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 8:07 am to
I don't think ND should be left out but what's their best win? OU beat current #10 Bama on the road.
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
11631 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 8:10 am to
quote:

Vandy should get in over Oklahoma

Vandy should jump Alabama before OU. OU went into their house and beat Bama.
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