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re: Ryan Howard struck out twice tonight in 4 at bats

Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:06 pm to
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290833 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

no he is in that spot b/c he's proven he can HIT. That's where we differ. The driving in of runs is irrlevant.




You drive in runs because you can hit. All your arguments are redundant.


Juan Pierre is a career .300 hitter? Could he drive in 100 runs in a season?



quote:


uh not so much. What the hell is moxy? Could you show me the moxy leaders this year? Quantify moxy for me? Who are these moxy guys? Do they have IT


Some people cant handle pressure. See your boy Adam Dunn who's already crappy AVG drops when runners are on base.

quote:


You want the list of top 5 "clutch" hitters of all time by "clutch" numbers


Which are categorized by what?

quote:


Stellar. oh notice no David Ortiz no matter how "clutch" Peter Gammons told you he was.



Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

should RLOB be right beside RBI in the major stats line


no, that just means a lot of guys in front of you are on base alot.
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82743 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

no, that just means a lot of guys in front of you are on base alot.


But it could solidify your clutch argument, except this would bring it several steps further.

And it might even bring the "RBIs is not important" argument further
This post was edited on 7/13/08 at 7:10 pm
Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

Juan Pierre is a career .300 hitter? Could he drive in 100 runs in a season?


well batting average is pretty lame as well. I guess if he slugged .550 and hit 4th in the cubs lineup he probably would

quote:


Some people cant handle pressure. See your boy Adam Dunn who's already crappy AVG drops when runners are on base


how do you know, can you get inside people's heads? I can look at 125 years of data and prove my point. Now you go jump in some "unclutch" people's heads and prove they got out b/c of the "pressure"

Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290833 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:11 pm to
quote:

Joe Carter twice drove in 100 runs with OBP under .300 and OPS under .700


But wait, great hitters can only drive in runs I thought?

TigerPhan:

quote:


yes he has proven he is a good hitter, again not b/c he can knock in runs, because he can hit
This post was edited on 7/13/08 at 7:12 pm
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82743 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:12 pm to
quote:

well batting average is pretty lame as well. I guess if he slugged .550 and hit 4th in the cubs lineup he probably would


So now slugging is the only measure of a great hitter?
This post was edited on 7/13/08 at 7:12 pm
Posted by ToplessTenors4evuh
Member since Jan 2005
41259 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:12 pm to
quote:



how do you know, can you get inside people's heads? I can look at 125 years of data and prove my point. Now you go jump in some "unclutch" people's heads and prove they got out b/c of the "pressure"



*insert stereotypical accountant joke here


You and RMCC have a lot more in common than either of you will ever admit to.




Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:13 pm to
quote:


You want the list of top 5 "clutch" hitters of all time by "clutch" numbers




Which are categorized by what?


clutch = winEx - LMLVW.

I'm not trying to be a dick here. Like 10 years ago when I was too busy at keggers and fricking random snaks and just casually watched games I would jerk off if Sammy Sosa had 150 RBI's. But when I really got into the game and took the time to read a lot about it. Especially about the numbers of the game which is the best thing about baseball I realized most of the stuff we look at is poo. It's just the shite we see every day when we watch a game or play fantasy baseball so we just accept it as oh yeah player x must be good he is hitting .301. or player B is awesome b/c he has 104 RBI
Posted by LfcSU3520
Arizona
Member since Dec 2003
24474 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

So now slugging is the only measure of a great hitter?


nope. OBP, and on top of that OPS. Those two numbers tell you infinitely more than BA does.
Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

But wait, great hitters can only drive in runs I thought?

TigerPhan:


quote:



yes he has proven he is a good hitter, again not b/c he can knock in runs, because he can hit


That doesn't mean a manager could have a guy in the wrong postion in the lineup. Soriano hits leadoff.

quote:

yes he has proven he is a good hitter, again not b/c he can knock in runs, because he can hit


Yes exactly, he sucked those years but he still drove in runs, thus driving in runs did not make him a great hitter
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290833 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:16 pm to
quote:


well batting average is pretty lame as well. I guess if he slugged .550 and hit 4th in the cubs lineup he probably would



So what is Adam Dunn's excuse?


He's spent the majority of his career hitting in the middle of the order of a pretty good offensive club in a great offensive ball park.

A career 901OPS


yet his BA RISP drops 20 points from his career BA

He's never driven in more than 106 runs, yet he continually hits 40 HR's a year.



You are saying that is because no one gets on base in front of him?



It has nothing to do with the fact that he hits .223 with RISP?


Dude is the king of hitting the solo HR that never matters.
Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

So now slugging is the only measure of a great hitter?


uggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggg.

the point is you cannot take 1 stat, any one stat and judge a player. There are some that would be better indicators than others. RBI may be one of the worst to take by itself.

who's better
Player A .300 BA strikes out once every 18 AB's
Player B .247 BA strikes out once every 3 AB's

which guy do you want in your lineup?
Posted by LfcSU3520
Arizona
Member since Dec 2003
24474 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:18 pm to
Lester, you've found one good example of the point you're making. I see your reasoning.

I think others are looking at these numbers from a league wide standpoint.

Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290833 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:23 pm to
quote:


That doesn't mean a manager could have a guy in the wrong postion in the lineup. Soriano hits leadoff.


Dude, make up your mind.

You say that great hitters drive in runs because they are great hitters.


Now its about where in the lineup you hit?


and yeah, Soriano hits leadoff.


It has nothing to do with:

batting leadoff: .295 career
batting 3rd: .260 career(152 games)
batting 5th: .268 career(144 games)


those are all just random numbers


quote:


Yes exactly, he sucked those years but he still drove in runs, thus driving in runs did not make him a great hitter



so how did he drive in over 100 runs? randomly im guessing will be your answer
Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:24 pm to
quote:

He's spent the majority of his career hitting in the middle of the order of a pretty good offensive club in a great offensive ball park.


a few season they were in the bottom of scoring.

in 2005 they lead the league in scoring, he hit behind Freel, OBP .330, Griffey played 100 games, Casey pretty good, W.Pena played 99 games.

you also fail to mention the real key point with Adam dunn in the "clutch" His BA drops 20 points but his OBP goes up 35 points. What does that suggest to you?
Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

You say that great hitters drive in runs because they are great hitters.

no dude, stay with me. Managers put who they think are their great hitters in the middle. Now if they have good people in front of them their great hitting will drive in runs if no one is on it won't. If you put an average hitter in a postion with a shite ton of people on base all year he will drive in runs, doesn't make him a great hitter.

quote:

Now its about where in the lineup you hit?


isn't that painfully obvious?

quote:

so how did he drive in over 100 runs? randomly im guessing will be your answer


Jack clark was on base 45% of time oh and Tony Gwynn too
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82743 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:27 pm to
No, no, no...I see where you and knat are coming from, RBIs are a situational consequence of a hitters already great ability. You're saying that a guy is going to hit regardless if there are runners on base or not, and the fact that there are runners on base when a batter gets a hit shouldn't be celebrated as much.
This post was edited on 7/13/08 at 7:29 pm
Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:28 pm to
if you want to judge a player individually it only makes sense to judge him on something that he can do individually.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290833 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

Lester, you've found one good example of the point you're making. I see your reasoning.



Not really one.


You are telling me that Josh Hamilton doesn't have a knack for driving in runs?


his AVG with RISP goes up nearly 30 points from his regular AVG?


is that random? because people are on base?

it just so happens to equate to 99 RBI



its not just one player. Look at the great hitters in the league, and most of their BA RISP spikes compared to their normal BA.


every player no matter where you hit in a lineup has a chance to drive in runs. RISP can tell you how good/bad they are.
Posted by TigerPhan27
edgy racial f'n pervert.
Member since Apr 2008
15693 posts
Posted on 7/13/08 at 7:29 pm to
quote:

his AVG with RISP goes up nearly 30 points from his regular AVG


he's played like 200 games.

lets see what his "clutchness" is after like 1800 games
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