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Official Week 8 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 10/18/15 at 4:58 pm
Posted on 10/18/15 at 4:58 pm
Lines are out.
14
Posted on 10/18/15 at 5:04 pm to dcrews
2015: 15-16-1 -0.46u... I've been treading water since a good 1st weekend.
Already placed:
1) Missouri -2 -110
I had a 3u bet placed on Rice +13 but it was cancelled because BOL put out an improper line.
Already placed:
1) Missouri -2 -110
I had a 3u bet placed on Rice +13 but it was cancelled because BOL put out an improper line.
Posted on 10/18/15 at 5:15 pm to Louie T
Watching the K-State, Miami (FL) and aTm lines.
This post was edited on 10/18/15 at 5:16 pm
Posted on 10/18/15 at 5:16 pm to dcrews
looking forward to seeing how many people come in here to claim "utah as the lock of the week"
Posted on 10/18/15 at 5:19 pm to rocket31
Bowling green....lots of bowling green
Posted on 10/18/15 at 5:20 pm to JG77056
Waiting on the Stanford and navy lines also...will probably play them as long as they're reasonable.
Posted on 10/18/15 at 5:54 pm to dcrews
I've seen Clemson at -5.5
As soon as that becomes available for me it's a very large single for me
As soon as that becomes available for me it's a very large single for me
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:07 pm to dcrews
Locked in Western Kentucky +14.5
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:34 pm to accnodefense
quote:
Locked in Western Kentucky +14.5
Really?
LSU is a muffed punt and a non called block in the back from winning by 3 TD's against Florida.
If it gets below 14, I'm LSU all the way.
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:34 pm to dcrews
Jumped on FSU at -5.5 for a unit.
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:37 pm to dcrews
quote:
LSU is a muffed punt and a non called block in the back from winning by 3 TD's against Florida.
Come on man
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:38 pm to TheOcean
I got WKU at +16. Feel pretty good about it too.
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:38 pm to dcrews
quote:
LSU is a muffed punt and a non called block in the back from winning by 3 TD's against Florida
dcrews logic strikes again
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:45 pm to castorinho
quote:
Come on man
I get it, but I try to look at anomalies. That muffed punt giving a team the ball at the 10 yard line isn't going to happen again. Just like returned punts for TD's are a rarity.
Florida was rated a TD worse than LSU, while WKU is rated 2 TD's worse? I just don't buy it. Anything south of 14, and I'm on LSU.
ETA:
quote:
dcrews logic strikes again
No you're right. That shite happens all the time and should not be weighted differently than regular stats and information. Carry on.........
This post was edited on 10/18/15 at 6:47 pm
Posted on 10/18/15 at 6:45 pm to dcrews
quote:
Really?
LSU is a muffed punt and a non called block in the back from winning by 3 TD's against Florida.
Its a model play. Preseason ratings were dropped from my model today so its now straight 2015 results, so I am tailing my model a lot harder starting this week
My most accurate prediction method says LSU wins by 1
My percentage method has WKU covering 68.5% of the time
Predictions across my 3 methods:
Simple Computer: LSU 40, WKU 32
50 Most Similar Matchups: LSU 35, WKU 34
1000 Simulations: LSU 27, WKU 19 (WKU covers the 14.5 spread 68.5% of the time, wins 28.9% of the time)
Posted on 10/18/15 at 7:28 pm to accnodefense
Added:
UVA +15.5
Cuse +7
WKU +15
FSU -5.5
UVA +15.5
Cuse +7
WKU +15
FSU -5.5
Posted on 10/18/15 at 7:31 pm to dcrews
Navy -22 vs Tulane
Utah +3 vs USC
LSU -16.5
Utah +3 vs USC
LSU -16.5
Posted on 10/18/15 at 7:39 pm to Enfuego
AU gettin 5 1/2.
Hmmm
Liking KU +33.5 as well
Hmmm
Liking KU +33.5 as well
This post was edited on 10/18/15 at 7:41 pm
Posted on 10/18/15 at 8:28 pm to dcrews
Cal +3.5
Missouri -2.5
Utah +3
Texas A&M +5
Southern Miss -15.5
Kentucky +11.5
Western Kentucky +16.5
Missouri -2.5
Utah +3
Texas A&M +5
Southern Miss -15.5
Kentucky +11.5
Western Kentucky +16.5
Posted on 10/18/15 at 9:34 pm to dcrews
quote:
Really?
LSU is a muffed punt and a non called block in the back from winning by 3 TD's against Florida.
If it gets below 14, I'm LSU all the way.
And a fake field goal, a few inches of sideline on a fumble recovery and a dropped TD in the end zone from losing to them. You can't just move it one way.
Western Kentucky is very good.
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