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re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:26 pm to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
30145 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:26 pm to
I wasn't sure, but I took the over to hedge my original bet.

Thing is, if the Titans score a TD here, we could see overtime potentially
This post was edited on 10/11/12 at 10:26 pm
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16831 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:26 pm to
Titans really need to go for that TD! frick the FG!
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:27 pm to
quote:


quote:

What does your system say about Tulsa -17 @ home vs UTEP? UTEP is fricking terrible!




I really wanted to see how tomorrows games go for me before I start spouting off all my opinions . I added a few more layers to the system based on the games that have not gone my way the past few weeks. From tests I have ran with last years games it has been strong. I am at 62% (24-15) so far on the year but I have left out a lot of games my numbers like because I absolutely hate laying huge numbers. I'm going to give it a go on all three games tomorrow and see how I fare.

This is what my numbers give me for tomorrow.
UTEP 17 - Tulsa 48
Arizona St 30 - Colorado 14
Western Ky. 42 - Troy 24

So I bet
Tulsa -17
Colorado/ASU under 57
and WKU -2

2 out of 3 tomorrow and I will be



Looks like I will finish 2-1...
Not too shabby of a start to the weekend.

Numbers say
Navy 31 - Central Michigan 21
tomorrow. Hopefully we won't have to sweat it.

Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:28 pm to
I hate Thursday nights.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5698 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:30 pm to
quote:

I hate Thursday nights.


The start of the Utah / USC game last week had me mad as hell.

I was all in on the under, cost me a lot of money, one of the reasons I tweaked the system.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:37 pm to
Just added Titans +300. Let's go!
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

Just added Titans +300. Let's go!




1-3 for the night but only down half a unit after hitting that.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80740 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 10:58 pm to
Oh wow, we won. I went in my office and forgot that I had money on WKY
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/11/12 at 11:05 pm to
Nice
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:01 am to
quote:

Well I may lay off the game now due to the late steam.


Why would you ever do this?
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46121 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:06 am to
thinking about a large teaser

OVER in OU TEX ( cant imagine this game being less than 31-24)
UF
Bama
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:07 am to
Do what? Lay off a game after I see sharp money coming in on the other side?

My play was gonna be WKU, but then Troy got steamed. This led me to lay off WKU.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:08 am to
I didn't think I had much on WKU, but it was more than I thought. Check this; it's sorta funny.

30 WKU-2.5
30 WKU-2
30 WKU-1.5
30 WKU PK
66 WKU at -130

Hahaha. I almost hit for the cycle.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:08 am to
quote:

Do what? Lay off a game after I see sharp money coming in on the other side?


Yes
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:10 am to
I wasn't confident in the game to begin with, but if I see sharp money coming in on the other side. I'm gonna lay off.

Not sure what else to say.
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:19 am to
quote:

I wasn't confident in the game to begin with, but if I see sharp money coming in on the other side. I'm gonna lay off.

Not sure what else to say.


That's fine. You and I just have very different approaches is all.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:21 am to
Not sure why you came off so condescending then.

What would be your approach in that situation?
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:21 am to
For me it's a very independent process. If I see a game that I think is the play of the week, I'm on it and I doubt Billy Walters himself could talk me out of it.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25607 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:22 am to
That's the thing, I did not see it as the play of the week for me.

Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/12/12 at 12:26 am to
quote:


(1)
Not sure why you came off so condescending then.

(2)
What would be your approach in that situation?


(1)
Apologies if I did.

(2)
The line is either moving in my favor or against me. I don't think about it any further than that.
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