re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™

quote:

---

(1)
Apologies if I did.

(2)
The line is either moving in my favor or against me. I don't think about it any further than that.

---

There have just been too many instances of me taking a line at, say, -5, and then watching it move down to -2 right before the game, and then watching the favorite win by 15.

I guess I'm not necessarily convinced that sharps are actually that sharp. So it isn't something I consider.

quote:

---

you guys kiss and make up and tell me you love my teaser

---

If I were you, I wouldn't even mess with the third prong of it (the over/under play). UF and Bama sounds like a fine two game teaser. Methinks Bama and Baylor also sounds like a fine two game teaser, and might possibly be the first teaser that I put in all year.*

*I hate teasers.

I think Florida wins against vandy just cant see them losing and Mizzou without QB i like under 21

Florida -1
SMU -10
Bama -14

Hmmm.

OSU/BYU UNDER for your 3rd leg. Cash.

quote:

---

I just was not confident in WKU tonight. I know a lot of people were on them in this thread (though sometimes that is bad), and was gonna join them. Then I saw the line movement. Didn't like it, so I didn't lock in the bet. Simple as that.

Normally, I'm with you. There were a few games earlier this season where I had some late steams against my line, but I was confident and it hit. Others didn't.

Bottom line, I'm nowhere near a great handicapper, and if I see some late sharp money coming in against a team I liked, I'm probably gonna lay off unless I'm super confident

---

You're cool. If i came across holier than thou it was unintended. I'm not quitting my day job either. I have good weeks and bad weeks.

There have been instances where I got talked out of a game I liked and then the game I liked hit easily....and that just royally pissed me off. So I try to never let it happen. I like the idea of being able to know whether I have an acumen for this stuff or not...even when signs point in the direction of "doesn't have acumen".

quote:

---

i havent teased all year either. im trying to decide the 3rd leg. maybe UNDER in LSU game, WV ( not great number tho), baylor, ND, or Wisconsin

---

If Toledo hadn't moved up like crazy, that would have been a fantastic one tease down. I'm not great with over/under, but here are a couple spread teases that look moderately okay.

VT+19 [I think duke may win this game outright]
SMU-7 [me likey]
Akron+29 [Ohio isn't an offensive juggernaut]
UAB+23
South Bama+30
SDSU-12
ECU-8
UCF-11
ULM-15

Pending 3 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 6fb & 4½bk
Pending 10/13/12 6:00pm College Football 143 Florida -2½ * vs Vanderbilt
Pending 10/13/12 3:30pm College Football 162 Boise State -1½ * vs Fresno State
Pending 10/13/12 1:00pm College Football 191 SMU -11½ * vs Tulane

Pending 3 Team Teaser (ties win) Teaser tw 7fb & 5½bk
Pending 10/13/12 6:00pm College Football 143 Florida -1½ * vs Vanderbilt
Pending 10/13/12 3:30pm College Football 167 Alabama -14 * vs Missouri
Pending 10/14/12 4:25pm NFL Football 229 New York Giants +14 * vs San Francisco 49ers

Pending 2 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 6fb & 4½bk
Pending 10/12/12 8:00pm College Football 109 Navy +8 * vs Central Michigan
Pending 10/13/12 6:00pm College Football 143 Florida -2½ * vs Vanderbilt

Pending 2 Team Teaser (ties push) Teaser tp 6fb & 4½bk
Pending 10/13/12 12:00pm College Football 153 Kansas State -1 * vs Iowa State
Pending 10/13/12 9:00pm College Football 235 Texas A&M -1½ * vs Louisiana Tech

Pending 10/13/12 3:30pm College Football 181 West Virginia -4½ -110* vs Texas Tech

obviously love UF under -3

quote:

---

CMU down to -1.5 across the board.

---

Damn -1.5 at home against a shitty Navy team, I think everyone should load up on Central Michigan.

/sarcasm





















GO NAVY

I think that's a strong tease. I can't bring myself to bet against LaTech though. They've been too good to me this year.