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Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 5 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:21 pm to bamafan425
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:21 pm to bamafan425
Nice hit bro!
Have any thoughts on Akron +4.5 against Miami Ohio?
Have any thoughts on Akron +4.5 against Miami Ohio?
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:22 pm to rocket31
quote:
YTD: 7-3-0; +10*
adding Wash. +7; 2*
WIN
8-3-0; +12*
Texas -2 pending
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:26 pm to rocket31
Won $9.21 on Washington win. Pretty pumped for a small better i am. 
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:27 pm to rocket31
4-0 night. Feels good.
UW +7
UW ML (half unit)
UNDER 2H 23 (The System Wins!)
Broncos +18/UNDER 50.5
+4.2 units.
UW +7
UW ML (half unit)
UNDER 2H 23 (The System Wins!)
Broncos +18/UNDER 50.5
+4.2 units.
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:34 pm to bamafan425
RULES for plays or no-plays on the 2H system:
TOTALS:
Initial Line-Total 1H Score-2H Line = Magic Number
If the 'Magic Number' is a NEGATIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the 2H OVER
If the 'Magic Number' is a POSITIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the 2H UNDER
SIDES:
Initial Line-HT Lead-2H Line = Magic Number
If the 'Magic Number' is a POSITIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the FAVORITE (at the start of the game)
If the 'Magic Number' is a NEGATIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the UNDERDOG (at the start of the game)
Couple of examples from Covers.com forum:
EXAMPLE 1:
Miami @ Houston
Texans were -13 and 41.5 (Lines at start of game)
Texans up 24-3 at the half
2nd Half Lines are Texans -4.5 and 18
SIDES Formula: Initial Line-HT Lead-2H Line = Magic Number
-13-(-21)-(-4.5)= +12.5
(POSITIVE & Greater than 10)
Thus we have a play on the initial favorites, TEXANS -4.5 2H
TOTALS Formula: Initial Line-Total 1H Score-2H Line = Magic Number
41.5-27-18= -3.5
(NEGATIVE & Lesser than 10)
Therefore, we have NO PLAY on the over/under totals
EXAMPLE 2:
Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina was -3 and 45.5 (Initial Lines)
At the half, 13-0 Bucs
2H Lines were Carolina -3 and 21.5
SIDES Formula: Initial Line-HT Lead-2H Line = Magic Number
-3-(+13)-(-3)= -13
(NEGATIVE & Greater than 10)
Thus we have a play on the initial underdogs, BUCS +3 2H
TOTALS Formula: Initial Line-Total 1H Score-2H Line = Magic Number
45.5-13-21.5= +11
(POSITIVE & Greater than 10)
Therefore, we have a PLAY on the UNDER
BUCS +3 and UNDER 21.5 were both plays
TOTALS:
Initial Line-Total 1H Score-2H Line = Magic Number
If the 'Magic Number' is a NEGATIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the 2H OVER
If the 'Magic Number' is a POSITIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the 2H UNDER
SIDES:
Initial Line-HT Lead-2H Line = Magic Number
If the 'Magic Number' is a POSITIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the FAVORITE (at the start of the game)
If the 'Magic Number' is a NEGATIVE number and GREATER than 10 (or 13), then it is a play on the UNDERDOG (at the start of the game)
Couple of examples from Covers.com forum:
EXAMPLE 1:
Miami @ Houston
Texans were -13 and 41.5 (Lines at start of game)
Texans up 24-3 at the half
2nd Half Lines are Texans -4.5 and 18
SIDES Formula: Initial Line-HT Lead-2H Line = Magic Number
-13-(-21)-(-4.5)= +12.5
(POSITIVE & Greater than 10)
Thus we have a play on the initial favorites, TEXANS -4.5 2H
TOTALS Formula: Initial Line-Total 1H Score-2H Line = Magic Number
41.5-27-18= -3.5
(NEGATIVE & Lesser than 10)
Therefore, we have NO PLAY on the over/under totals
EXAMPLE 2:
Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Carolina was -3 and 45.5 (Initial Lines)
At the half, 13-0 Bucs
2H Lines were Carolina -3 and 21.5
SIDES Formula: Initial Line-HT Lead-2H Line = Magic Number
-3-(+13)-(-3)= -13
(NEGATIVE & Greater than 10)
Thus we have a play on the initial underdogs, BUCS +3 2H
TOTALS Formula: Initial Line-Total 1H Score-2H Line = Magic Number
45.5-13-21.5= +11
(POSITIVE & Greater than 10)
Therefore, we have a PLAY on the UNDER
BUCS +3 and UNDER 21.5 were both plays
This post was edited on 9/27/12 at 11:42 pm
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:48 pm to Cowbells
Thanks to Cowbells for the rules, and helping out with the spreadsheet.
I think we got a cool little thing for the system guys.
I think we got a cool little thing for the system guys.
Posted on 9/27/12 at 11:58 pm to bamafan425
I feel more comfortable using the system for 2H over/under totals than for SIDES.
Posted on 9/28/12 at 12:08 am to Cowbells
Computer froze. Be back in there in a sec.
Posted on 9/28/12 at 12:55 am to bamafan425
Did the system work tonight in pros or CFB? Wife had our baby yesterday, haven't had time to get on the Internet at all!
Posted on 9/28/12 at 1:15 am to Rittdog
Anyone have thoughts on UAB +16 at home?
UAB has some question marks as far as injuries go. But Tulsa is coming off an emotional comeback win against Fresno State. UAB might have a let down after hanging with Ohio State, but they might be pumped up and ready to get a W.
UAB has some question marks as far as injuries go. But Tulsa is coming off an emotional comeback win against Fresno State. UAB might have a let down after hanging with Ohio State, but they might be pumped up and ready to get a W.
Posted on 9/28/12 at 4:53 am to rocket31
Holy shite. Im asleep by halftime, wake up and see an outright winner. Good start to the week!
Posted on 9/28/12 at 5:56 am to bamafan425
quote:
Anyone have thoughts on UAB +16 at home?
Initially, I like UA-B but I haven't looked at the game
Posted on 9/28/12 at 7:06 am to aVatiger
Posted on 9/28/12 at 7:23 am to bamafan425
Holy shite that shite is the shite Bama.
Didn't play anything last night but I'll be all over it this weekend.
One question for the 2H formula, who's lines for favorites and totals are we inputting at the beginning? Obviously they change so much through out the week and vary from site to site.
Didn't play anything last night but I'll be all over it this weekend.
One question for the 2H formula, who's lines for favorites and totals are we inputting at the beginning? Obviously they change so much through out the week and vary from site to site.
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:18 am to okietiger
Wow, I see that guy on the SBR forum like the rebels this weekend. I don't think I've seen much talk about that one at all on here
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:19 am to HoLeInOnEr05
What has he looked like long term Hole?
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