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re: OFFICIAL Week 5 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:22 am to
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
556 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:22 am to
scoresandodds.com has the final/current lines at the start of the game. It's pretty much the consensus final numbers.

The site is also great to do some past research.
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42396 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:32 am to
That spreadsheet is so sick man. Cannot wait to follow it tomorrow.

Who is planning on keeping updated? Or is it a group deal?
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:33 am to
What's the consensus on three games:

L'ville v. USM: I'm loving Teddy B vs the 3rd stringer for the golden eagles

TAMU v. Ark: Just not sure Ark's D can contain Johnny M.

Purdue v. Marshall: Marshall gave up 51 last week to Rice. Purdue has been solid so far.
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:40 am to
i think you answered your own quesiton on all three
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:41 am to
quote:

That spreadsheet is so sick man. Cannot wait to follow it tomorrow.


can't wait!

also, don't forget your consensus plays
Posted by DovaVol
Member since Dec 2008
2198 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:42 am to


With BYU likely on their backup qb, is anyone on Hawaii tonight?
This post was edited on 9/28/12 at 8:45 am
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:45 am to
You can go through the whole thread and see all of his plays.
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
556 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 8:50 am to
It's a group deal. Just need to make sure we don't mess the sheet up. bamafan425 and I have spent a ton of time on it. I'm also going to do some past research/analysis using the scoresandodds website to backtrack how the system has fared in 2-3 random CFB weeks. I'll update the spreadsheet and this thread with the findings.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 9:05 am to
Gonna be interesting updating it in real time on Saturday with all those games going on in.

This may be overthinking things, but do we need some parameters for editing when it comes to a larger volume of games?
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 9:07 am to
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 9:09 am to
I'm just sayin, if you have 10 people editing a document at one time things can get messed up.

But nvm. No possibility of that.
Posted by Cowbells
USA
Member since Aug 2012
556 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 9:15 am to
I understand what you are saying. Valid point. There is a chat window there too. We could use the chat window to ask just one or two guys to edit it.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 9:27 am to
I was just doing the casty at you. Not at what you said.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 9:39 am to
It's all good. You're about to be uninvited to my bday party...and that's some serious shite...we are gonna have cookie cake.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 9:43 am to
No strippers and blow? Meh ... no thanks!
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 10:05 am to
Cookie........Cake...........
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 10:10 am to
Strippers ....


Blow ...
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 10:12 am to
Note: If you are playing around with the system, please use the sheet at the bottom that says Past History/Research.

Also, the most important part is to not edit the COLUMNS E, F, or G. These all contain the important formulas to the system. This is where it will get messed up on Saturday.

Here's where I think it will be easiest. Before the half, if someone goes in and enters some numbers and figures out the lowest or highest number we should fire on.

Since some halftime lines vary, sometimes we can create duplicate lines that have varied halftime lines.

The chat in there will be real important. Easier to communicate.

For this weekend, I'm gonna stick with totals. I think the system is more suited for that.

If the group would go in and mark whether the play was a win or not a win, that would help with the record and stats.

Some Notes:
The higher the absolute value of the difference (so -17 is same as 17, just bet on different side or total), the more confident the system is. It's color coded in the margin aisle. Over 10 points is confident. Over 13 points is super confident. Over 17 points is book it.


What's the threads opinion on no plays? Leave them on the sheet or delete them? There is an option to "hide rows", which could be useful on game day. But I kinda wanna see how many no plays we had on Saturday.
This post was edited on 9/28/12 at 10:28 am
Posted by imAMAZING
Member since Sep 2008
6355 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 10:20 am to
I was gonna quit gambling but you guys seem really confident in this system. I might have to take a ride along with you guys.
Posted by okietiger
Chelsea F.C. Fan
Member since Oct 2005
42396 posts
Posted on 9/28/12 at 10:27 am to
We are here to make sure you don't do something dumb like stop betting you're money.

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