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re: OFFICIAL Week 5 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/27/12 at 2:41 pm to
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 2:41 pm to
Every single one of those bastards have moved at least 4 points since his release.
This post was edited on 9/27/12 at 2:46 pm
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 2:45 pm to
I dont even bother on the RAS numbers anymore. By the time you enter your bet and go to confirm, the lines have already moved 60 points.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 2:48 pm to
Did you not see my long write about them? I went back and researched every play of his so far this year.

For those of you who may have missed it about RAS' plays ...

So far, he is 24-17-1 on the year.

I know people talk about how he moves lines, but out of those 24 wins, only one was +/- 5 point differential.

Out of the 17 losses, 6 were +/- 5 point differential.

So at WORST case he would be 23-18-1 on the year so far.

Needless to say, I have made up my mind that I am going to tail him from here on out.



This post was edited on 9/27/12 at 2:50 pm
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 3:01 pm to
Gragg is questionable. If I had to guess, I'd guess he isn't gonna play or if he does, limited action.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16910 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 3:40 pm to
Just locked in a 4 team, 11 point teaser @ +115

Washington +18/ U60
Baltimore-2.5/U55
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82190 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:01 pm to
The hotel Delta checked me in to for the canceled flight has the NFL network
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82190 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:10 pm to
Clemson opened at -9.5. 85% of the bets are coming in on them yet then dropped to -7.5. RLM!
This post was edited on 9/27/12 at 4:11 pm
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:21 pm to
Washington down three offensive lineman. Did not know that. We all saw what happened to USC when they didn't have just their center, but could be a flat spot for Stanford coming of that emotional victory and a week off.
Posted by Ford Frenzy
337 posts
Member since Aug 2010
6900 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:23 pm to
I'm leaning towards UCF -2.5, Washington St +30.5, SMU +17, Idaho +28, and Texas -2

I went ahead and took the 7 points tonight too just for the hell of it
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:32 pm to
Passing on tonight's game. Too many twitter sharps jumping on Washington makes me nervous. I am going to put a bet on Texas though. Really liking that one.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82190 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

Washington down three offensive lineman. Did not know that.
Nope. Like I said, no research on the game really as I've been out of town all week. Just a little action to make things interesting
Posted by WRedmondsStang
Member since Sep 2012
460 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:39 pm to
I usually get the RAS totals on here. However, 2pm is about when he releases and no one had posted anything. I saw 5 lines jump and played these assuming they were his totals. Sure enough it was and oncemore, I was able to beat the local book before they updated. I just hope he has another week like last!!!!
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:40 pm to
Nice work. I wish I had a small town local.
Posted by WRedmondsStang
Member since Sep 2012
460 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:52 pm to
I have said it before, but in my hometown there are at least 5 bookie joints (sports bars) with in walking distance from the police station and others scattered around town. It has been going on forever in Meridian, and it is certainly no secret. It certainly has its benefits, sometimes however, they will manipulate the lines because locals are heavy on certain teams LSU, Bama, & the Saints last year in particular. This past weekend I called in for Saints and Cowboys but there lines were jacked on both about 2 pts. I bitched about them not being oddsmakers. Layed off both and obviously both were losers- blessing in disguise!
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:54 pm to
That's perfect though. Just take the skewed line in your favor.
Posted by WRedmondsStang
Member since Sep 2012
460 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 4:56 pm to
Not a bad idea, I prefer to fade the majority anyway.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 5:15 pm to
Sammy Watkins isn't traveling with the team. Abdominal virus.

Ball State getting streamed. Back up where RAS took it.
This post was edited on 9/27/12 at 5:18 pm
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 5:23 pm to
Home dog and RLM has been a profitable formula for me over the last few years so I am rolling with it. Wash will likely not win, but i love having the +7 here as I do not expect Stanford to score too much; they only scored 21 vs USC.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 5:36 pm to
-10u on the season

Stanford(-255) to win a unit. It has been a brutal season so far after such an amazing run last year, but it is still early. I saw too many people I respected on Wash to lay the points, but I believe tonight you will see why football is won in the trenches. I'm holding my breath.
Posted by TheFranchise
The Stick
Member since Feb 2005
6327 posts
Posted on 9/27/12 at 5:39 pm to
Can anyone help me with "who is RAS?" and "where can one find his/her/their picks?"

attempted search function but you'd be real surprised how many threads have "ras" in them.
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