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re: Official Week 3 College Football Betting Thread

Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:03 am to
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37396 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:03 am to
quote:

AU has o line and coaching issues that would not let me touch the game at that number.



This has weird game written all over it. It's at 2:30 and Aub v LSU always has something off. I could see this game being 20-14 or 35-24. Who knows. I'll be watching, but I don't want to touch anything.
Posted by Samso
nyc
Member since Jun 2013
5038 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:08 am to
LSU - UNDER
AUB -7 1H
Bama - OVER

Toledo +10.5 - still thinking on this one.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66765 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:21 am to
quote:

OU/Iowa St game

if you want OU grab it asap. it looks like this one might blow thru -21 and beyond
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67800 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:21 am to
I think it plays out something like Auburn 27 LSU 13. Don't think LSU will be able to move it well, giving Aub some short fields
This post was edited on 9/14/18 at 10:23 am
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66765 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:25 am to
Army -6.5 vs hawaii in a noon kick off on the east coast. poor hawaii. 6am start time on their body clock after traveling half way across the planet. army wins BIG
This post was edited on 9/14/18 at 10:26 am
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
51337 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Lsu +10.5 I feel like ive had a good gauge on them the first two weeks and despite what the number tells me, im going against my better judgement. Great defense, decent to good qb, good field goal kicker, i think they can keep this within the number.


I'm thinking the same and if we can't cover 10.5 its gonna be a long fricking season anyway.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66765 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 10:40 am to
took a $10 flyer on VMI +14 cause the game is at 1:30 and it's friday and im pretty checked out

go fighting whatevers. beat the east tennessee diddly does
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32600 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 11:37 am to
quote:

Lsu +10.5 I feel like ive had a good gauge on them the first two weeks and despite what the number tells me


then you dont have a pretty good gauge.

Sec rankings for lsu

Total offense last
Pass offense 13th
First downs last
3rd down conv last
Red zone conv last
Scoring 13th
Sacks allowed 13th
Long plays last
Long passing plays last


This is the worst passing (47.7%) and total offense start in the last 15 years.

It trails only 2015 and 2016 in terms of the worst total offense starts in the past 15 years.

Essentially, the Hail Mary is the only thing that kept the last game from being the worst offensive production since before Les Miles was hired

Lsu offensive line is terrible, and auby dline is great. It could get ugly quick
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 11:44 am to
2018 YTD - 11-6

LW 8-4

Bama -21
Ball State +14.5
Hawaii +7
Nebraska -10.5
Georgia Southern +33
Colorado State +20 (went opposite everyone on this)
Kansas State -21.5 (UTSA succkkkksssss)
Georgia -33.5
South Carolina -12.5
Purdue +6
Miss State -33.5
Texas A&M -26.5
TCU +13
Utah +5
Miami FL -10
Syracuse +3
Iowa State +18
Boise/OSU Over 64.5
OU/ISU Over 55
Bama/Ole Miss Over 70

I went opposite a lot of people here on a lot of these picks

This post was edited on 9/14/18 at 12:53 pm
Posted by Mingo Was His NameO
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2016
37396 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

then you dont have a pretty good gauge.

Sec rankings for lsu

Total offense last
Pass offense 13th
First downs last
3rd down conv last
Red zone conv last
Scoring 13th
Sacks allowed 13th
Long plays last
Long passing plays last


This is the worst passing (47.7%) and total offense start in the last 15 years.


In my opinion you have to take the numbers with a pretty big grain of salt. They got up early on miami and parked it a bit and showed absolutely nothing against Sela. I'm not necessarily disagreeing with the overall point, but the numbers aren't a great indicator.
Posted by Chuckiee
Member since Jan 2007
2604 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 12:05 pm to
Locked in

Troy +11.5
Ohio +3.5

Watching Purdue and GA Southern
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67800 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 12:19 pm to
Added FSU -2.5 $57.50/50
Posted by RoscoeHarper
Edmond, OK
Member since Aug 2011
4930 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Nebraska +10.5


I know it's just a typo but Nebraska is giving points
Posted by RoscoeHarper
Edmond, OK
Member since Aug 2011
4930 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 12:50 pm to
Last week: 6-4
Season: 11-9

Week 3 plays:
Florida -19
Ball St +14.5
Nebraska -11
Illinois +10
Pittsburgh +3.5
San Jose St +41.5
N Texas +7
Boise St +3
Washington -6.5
Miami (FL) -10

I posted these on the original thread, posting again because this seems to be the livelier one
This post was edited on 9/14/18 at 12:51 pm
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

Nebraska +10.5


I know it's just a typo but Nebraska is giving points


Yep, typo. Thanks

Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 1:21 pm to
Just realized my book offered South Carolina game still and I took it.

And it has been cancelled for a while now
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66765 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

VMI +14

lead 14-7 2q



:vmicocktailshrimps:
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
82042 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 3:28 pm to
Like another poster said, i dont believe the stats tell the whole story. Lsu got real complacent in the second half against miami with a big lead, and as expected letdown last week against southeastern. Also this sample size is still really small. Lsu undoubtedly has some offensive issues, but i dont think they are as extreme as the stats say, and i also think miami has a top tier defense they went against, similar to auburn, and so we should still be able to muster 17-20 points
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66765 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 4:11 pm to
it looked like auburn was going to be the piss out of lsu last year. lsu had just lost to troy and escaped against a bad UF team.

then jarrett stidham went 9/26 passing and auburn went 3/15 on 3rd downs. auburn is perfectly capable of outsucking lsu any given saturday.
Posted by SeeeeK
some where
Member since Sep 2012
30763 posts
Posted on 9/14/18 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

jarrett stidham


grossly overrated
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