- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 1 College Football Bet Thread
Posted on 9/6/15 at 6:15 pm to Carson123987
Posted on 9/6/15 at 6:15 pm to Carson123987
Oh we 100% got fricked. We got fricked by a 12 inch dong.
I'm actually surprised how calm I am right now haha
I'm actually surprised how calm I am right now haha
1
Posted on 9/6/15 at 6:16 pm to DallasTiger45
Is anyone taking Ohio state tomorrow? I sort of like them at 14 but wondering if they will drop more
Posted on 9/6/15 at 7:02 pm to HailToTheChiz
Took Va Tech at 14.5
Posted on 9/6/15 at 7:08 pm to Carson123987
I don't think I've ever won a bet when backing Purdue. They should have been on my list a long time ago. Now they are.
Posted on 9/6/15 at 7:12 pm to Carson123987
quote:
Took Va Tech at 14.5
It moved back to 14 now. I wanted it at 14.5 this sucks. Anyone think it'll move back?
Posted on 9/6/15 at 7:52 pm to Lazy But Talented
7 point teaser
VT + 21.5
Under 60
VT + 21.5
Under 60
Posted on 9/6/15 at 8:42 pm to Lazy But Talented
I can get 14.5
Posted on 9/6/15 at 9:04 pm to oVo
I see a lot of people wanting to take V tech and the points. Is there anybody taking Ohio St and why?
Posted on 9/6/15 at 9:11 pm to Howyouluhdat
quote:
I see a lot of people wanting to take V tech and the points. Is there anybody taking Ohio St and why?
I'm leaning Ohio state. Mainly because urban Myers hasn't forgotten the loss from last year. I just feel like osu is going to have it all together and stomp VA tech.
This is one of osu few real games to play. They will be ready
Posted on 9/6/15 at 9:16 pm to Howyouluhdat
quote:
Is there anybody taking Ohio St and why?
I'm not, but I can tell you why someone would. If Ohio St picks up where they left off last year, and there's little reason to think they won't, they will be an offensive machine. They scored 40+ points in 11 out of their 15 games last season. VTech's offense consistently fluttered (12th in scoring in the ACC). VTech scored 6 points against Miami and 3 @ Wake Forest. If Ohio State doesn't lose the turnover battle and doesn't give up any big plays on special teams, they could win this game something like 35-17, or even better.
The reason I'm not hopping on OSU -14.5 is that is just such a big spread against a good defense on the road with a hostile environment in an opener.
Posted on 9/6/15 at 9:16 pm to oVo
Northwestern +11 W
Penn St -6.5 L(knew line was a trap as I stated multiple times in this thread)(free play)
BYU +7 W (free play)
Minnesota +17 W
Virginia Tech +14.5 to close out the week. My super square friend swears Ohio State will roll them. He is so confident which makes me feel great about this one.
Penn St -6.5 L(knew line was a trap as I stated multiple times in this thread)(free play)
BYU +7 W (free play)
Minnesota +17 W
Virginia Tech +14.5 to close out the week. My super square friend swears Ohio State will roll them. He is so confident which makes me feel great about this one.
Posted on 9/6/15 at 9:19 pm to Zipfer2022
I think Ohio State wins by 21 or so
Posted on 9/6/15 at 9:42 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
My super square friend swears Ohio State will roll them. He is so confident which makes me feel great about this one.
They've done studies, you know. 60% of the time, it works every time. Go Hokies!
Posted on 9/6/15 at 10:32 pm to ChemE in the OP
ChemE, boot the lurker that started YOUR NFL bet thread. Im tired of these fricks ruining our ritual. My man oleyeller keep doin what you do 
And start the new thread tomm 
And start the new thread tomm Posted on 9/6/15 at 11:49 pm to FulshearTiger
you guys made me glad i did not bet
penn state wow
minnesota was decent last year and at home
az state uh oh there goes that playoff slot.
penn state wow
minnesota was decent last year and at home
az state uh oh there goes that playoff slot.
Posted on 9/7/15 at 8:04 am to blades8088
I'm going to own that thread regardless of who starts it...
Posted on 9/7/15 at 8:09 am to ChemE in the OP
Its not the same though
Posted on 9/7/15 at 9:45 am to accnodefense
When are the week 2 sheets coming out? Really helped with games I was on the fence. I went 6-3, thank goodness for Marshall pick 6!!
Posted on 9/7/15 at 11:15 am to Zipfer2022
Huge on the Metropolitans (Neise) at Washington (Scherzer) today with INSANE +195 odds.
Huge on the Twins (Millone) at Royals (Ventura) tonight with INSANE +175 odds
Also have Ohio St. to round out one of the teasers I posted earlier. Nobody made as much money as I did in CFB week 1 (correctly and publicly nailing a $500 Hawaii Moneyline pay, hitting all but one of my other CFB plays), I look forward to sharing more of my picks and profits with my TD mates this week.
Huge on the Twins (Millone) at Royals (Ventura) tonight with INSANE +175 odds
Also have Ohio St. to round out one of the teasers I posted earlier. Nobody made as much money as I did in CFB week 1 (correctly and publicly nailing a $500 Hawaii Moneyline pay, hitting all but one of my other CFB plays), I look forward to sharing more of my picks and profits with my TD mates this week.
This post was edited on 9/7/15 at 11:17 am
Posted on 9/7/15 at 11:20 am to bstew3006
quote:
When are the week 2 sheets coming out? Really helped with games I was on the fence. I went 6-3, thank goodness for Marshall pick 6!!
Right now I am trying to figure out the proper weights.
Going into Week 1 the weights are 100% preseason 0% actual season results, obviously
Starting Week 8 I drop the preseason rantings from the formula entirely
So the challenge is to figure out how much weight to give preseason numbers and how much weight to give actual season result numbers between Weeks 2-7.
What I have done is just use a sliding scale - Going into Week 2 its 6/7 preseason, 1/7 actual, then going into Week 3 its 5/7 preseason, 2/7 actual, but even then there are some issues.
Illinois right now is a good example. They jumped from #60 preseason rank to #43 post Week 1 rank simply for killing Kent State. Now my system does adjust results for the strength of the opponent but their dominating performance helped them. I feel like even though the Kent State game is only 1/7 of their number right now that is still too much.
On the flipside you have teams who were expected to suck and exceeded expectations. Like UTSA. They were #112 in my preseason rank, played well against Arizona and now are at #94.
I am trying to find that right balance.
The same challenge exists for national averages. Since Week 1 has so many good teams playing bad teams at home, the home advantage averages are skewed heavily toward the home team to where when I ran my first simulation of Oklahoma-Tennessee it had Tennessee winning by 20.
Page 67 of 78
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News