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re: OFFICIAL CFB bet thread week 8

Posted on 10/16/13 at 9:23 am to
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 9:23 am to
Redshirt freshman QB. I also doubt you have seen him play this year.

I'm not touching the FSU game. I think Vegas has this game to a T
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 9:25 am to
Im taking the under in that game fo sho. Public will be all over a high scoring affair.
Posted by TotallyTigers
Champagnionship
Member since Nov 2004
2891 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 10:18 am to
Seen him play 2-3 times now. I'm impressed. Still, don't think FSU should be favored in this spot.

Not saying I think Clemson is a lock by any means, but I've got 1 unit on them at +3.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 10:34 am to
Fair enough. I just don't see how that can be a deciding factor if you've seen him play. Like I said, players of his caliber thrive in these games. He is truly special.

Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 10:51 am to
quote:

Fair enough. I just don't see how that can be a deciding factor if you've seen him play. Like I said, players of his caliber thrive in these games. He is truly special.


I was really surprised to see that this guy has been as good as advertised. I completely agree, he is a special player. I guess I have just been down on Clemson all year and felt that coming into this game FSU was surely the better team at this point. Was surprised that the public seems to be all over Clemson early in the week.
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 11:01 am to
Just to test this theory I asked two guys I know, that follow sports but don't know hardly anything about sports betting what they thought the line would be, they said Clemson -4.5 and Clemson -7. Both thought I was crazy when I said I thought FSU was better. I will be on FSU for sure.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16906 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 11:07 am to
quote:

I will be on FSU for sure.


Yup. Vegas isn't dumb. They knew they would have all kinds of action on Clemson as a home dog.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18016 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 11:09 am to
Clemson has gotten a LOT of national attention bc of the LSU win last year and Tajh Boyd. A coach like Dabo is good for TV too. And hell to be honest, I have been watching a lot of CFB and I don't know much about FSU. All I've seen of them is when they went in dry on a Maryland team I stupidly bet on. Other than that I've pretty much avoided the ACC in general, except for all the Clemson buzz that's been shoved down our throats.
Posted by Ford Frenzy
337 posts
Member since Aug 2010
6878 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 11:09 am to
FSU gonna roll
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 11:17 am to
The Georgia game has helped Clemson get on the map this year also. FSU has just been flying under the radar with no big games this year besides Maryland which were overrated
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 11:35 am to
quote:

FSU gonna roll


IF their O Line can hold up. That is my only concern about backing FSU, they haven't seen a Defensive Line of this caliber all season. Boston College was probably the best they have faced to this point (Maryland's line play was overrated) and BC managed 9 Tackles for Loss and 4 Sacks against the Seminoles. That is the only way Clemson will be able to slow them down. I think FSU's defense will be up to the challenge of slowing down Clemson.
Posted by JB Bama
Tuscaloosa, AL
Member since Sep 2008
2670 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 12:22 pm to
I'm just not impressed when a QB lights up bad teams.


Geno Smith did the same thing the first 4-5 games last season. We simply don't know how good Winston is based on how he's played against Maryland, BC, Pitt, etc. I don't expect a RS Freshman to be able to handle the literal pressure Clemson's Dline will bring at him.

McElroy and McCarron were both great QBS as RS Freshman but both had the most mistakes and bad performances when under duress.

JFF last year threw 3 ints against LSU, in a similar situation and he might be the greatest talent we've seen at QB in CFB.

Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67797 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 12:23 pm to
im with you. i think clemson wins by 10
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26254 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 1:10 pm to
My plays this week

Miami -8.5
Ball State -19
UCLA +6
Wyoming -7
UConn +14
Virginia -2.5
Texas State -17
South Alabama -6.5
Ole Miss +8
North Texas -6.5
South Carolina -7.5
USC +3
East Carolina -22.5
West Virginia +8
Toledo -7.5
Arizona -4.5
Washington +3

Miami OH/Akron Under 44.5
BYU/Houston Under 63
UCLA/Stanford Under 54
Cincinnati/UConn Under 46
Texas State/Georgia State Under 49.5
Georgia/Vanderbilt Over 61
North Texas/LA Tech Under 55
SMU/Memphis Under 47
TCU/Oklahoma State Under 50.5
Texas Tech/West Virginia Under 57


I know its a lot but this is where I am seeing value this week.
Posted by DCBJR6
Madisonville, LA
Member since Jan 2011
4252 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

Vegas isn't dumb.


That's why they're rich and I'm not.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 4:39 pm to
This is the best o line trickett has had at FSU. I'm not worried about their pass protect at all. Our biggest question mark will be defense. But we have made some pretty big strides on D with two weeks to plan and prepare. FSU pulls out a close one
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

Miami -8.5
Ball State -19
UCLA +6
Wyoming -7
UConn +14
Virginia -2.5
Texas State -17
South Alabama -6.5
Ole Miss +8
North Texas -6.5
South Carolina -7.5
USC +3
East Carolina -22.5
West Virginia +8
Toledo -7.5
Arizona -4.5
Washington +3

Miami OH/Akron Under 44.5
BYU/Houston Under 63
UCLA/Stanford Under 54
Cincinnati/UConn Under 46
Texas State/Georgia State Under 49.5
Georgia/Vanderbilt Over 61
North Texas/LA Tech Under 55
SMU/Memphis Under 47
TCU/Oklahoma State Under 50.5
Texas Tech/West Virginia Under 57


Can you get me an application to where you're working?
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 5:57 pm to
Most people use 1% of their roll as a unit. How is his game selection shocking?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 7:47 pm to
Thoughts on Michigan/Indiana? With the line opening at 10.5 and now down to 7.5 I believe I may have to jump on this. Is there a little to much stock being put in the Hoosiers? They are terrible in run D giving up over 200 yds a game. Gardner could have a field day against this D
This post was edited on 10/16/13 at 7:53 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45160 posts
Posted on 10/16/13 at 7:59 pm to
Have Indiana +8 or +8.5.

Indiana is on the rise. I hyped them last week and Michigan state blew them out in the second. Michigan is coming off a deflated, heartbreaking loss. I think Indiana keeps it close. Should be a pretty high sscoring game.
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