re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 4

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That game was by no means a lock, but Clemson should have covered easily.

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I have to disagree with that. Called back TD changed the game and gave Clemson backers their only hope of covering a 14 point spread.

I saw Clemson winning this by 7-13 and I wish I would have stuck to my plan of taking NC State +14(I did take that) and hitting Clemson live under 10. My damn phone wouldn't load fast enough for a live bet (and I was drunk).

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I disagree, NC State had a TD called back and Clemson got 2 timeouts in just before failed 3rd downs that turned into 10 points

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Very true, but that called back TD was after the post route I mentioned. Clemson had numerous drives in the first half that could have put a nail in the coffin and drained the life out of that place. Poor execution/play calling prevented it and kept the Pack alive and the fans into it...eventually leading to that damn jet sweep with Underwood that he burned them on in the first half and got them again in the 2nd.

Just my opinion obviously, but that is a different game if Boyd hits that post route to Watkins, and doesn't settle for a FG that made it 6-0(I think it was like 4th and 3 or 4 on the 31 or so). Had I been in Dabo/Morris' seat on that play, I'm going for it. You have a heisman caliber qb and a superior offense in a place notorious for being troublesome to ranked teams. Go for the throat early and take the crowd out, but I guess that's why I'm selling jewelry in Memphis and not coaching in S.C.

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And am I crazy to think there is value in Texas -5 against KState? I mean eventually they have to have some value right?

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if K-State were a pass-first team, maybe... but you know they're going to run the ball, and Texas couldn't stop you and me from running the read-option for 10 yards a play.

Arizona St
ULM
Texas St
Indiana
SMU

Will a a good middle work on LSU/AU if you have LSU -14 and the line goes higher than 17-18?

It's a decent shot. I think the line is right on the money which means middle shots are more likely.

Maybe find something else you'd like to tease and take Auburn +23/24 and someone else.

Gun to head I take CSU. I think they get one score to cover. McElwain is respected tremendously by saban and he's not gonna hang 50+ on him. Well get up and put in the reserves sooner than we would in othe games.

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is Miles going to pull most of his starters if he's got a 24 point lead in the fourth?... a late garbage touchdown by auburn (similar to 2009) would surprise m

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Highly doubtful.

dg, can towson play football for me?

NC State +14 - W
Auburn +17
Tennessee +14.5 (horrible number)
Arkansas State -6.5 (horrible number)
BYU/Utah UNDER 61 (2*)
CMU +13.5
Stanford -6
WYO/AF UNDER 66.5
ULM +30.5
Minnesota -4
Miami OH +23
Mizzou -2.5

Added. Biggest card so far this year.