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Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:32 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
So, you like Air Force Kentucky Bowling Green UCLA Va Tech New Mexico Colorado UCF Texas A&M Ole Miss Washington Utah Maryland?
I will probably be on most of those sides, definitely not on the opposite side of any of them. Although the last three make me nervous.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:36 pm to supadave3
quote:You should have tailed me then
I tailed everyone that was promoting Cincy last week and those son of a bitches lost by almost 30 points.
Will probably be the easiest win of the year for me
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:38 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
Will probably be the easiest win of the year for me
Tots, I'm lazy. What are you on thus far aside from Louisville -10 and TN +27?
This post was edited on 9/13/13 at 3:39 pm
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:42 pm to dcrews
See my other post.
We all loved Cincy and it opened at -10.5, dropped to -7 and settled around -8.
It should have told everyone that Illinois was the play if anyone bet on it.
Another similar game this week is WKU. It opened at -9.5 and I've seen it as low as -7.5.
At first glance, you would think WKU should beat them by 28.
We all loved Cincy and it opened at -10.5, dropped to -7 and settled around -8.
It should have told everyone that Illinois was the play if anyone bet on it.
Another similar game this week is WKU. It opened at -9.5 and I've seen it as low as -7.5.
At first glance, you would think WKU should beat them by 28.
This post was edited on 9/13/13 at 3:44 pm
Posted on 9/13/13 at 3:57 pm to dcrews
Tots, Crews whats up fellas. As much as UL looks like a trap I cant lay off them. I see a 14 pt win or more. I also like UCLA and UCF
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:00 pm to blades8088
I think I might add Penn St. Bill OBrien can coach football.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:07 pm to bamafan425
I was just about to post that I added PSU to my card this week.
My card for week 3 (all 1 unit):
Troy (+14.5)/Tulane (+14) teaser - W
Louisville (-10)
WKU (-10)
Toledo (-3.5)
Bama/A&M (u60.5)
Penn St (-4.5)
Maryland (-6)
My card for week 3 (all 1 unit):
Troy (+14.5)/Tulane (+14) teaser - W
Louisville (-10)
WKU (-10)
Toledo (-3.5)
Bama/A&M (u60.5)
Penn St (-4.5)
Maryland (-6)
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:10 pm to Cowbells
Love the card. Bama under might be best play on the board.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:11 pm to bamafan425
UCF is better than both teams that Penn State has played to date.
UCF should win SU.
UCF should win SU.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:12 pm to TigerTatorTots
Here is my reason for staying away of a few games that look like EASY wins.
Home Field Advantage is a pretty big deal in College Football, a sport with huge emotional and momentum swings and 21 year olds. It's one of the things that makes the sport great. The key is finding teams that play much better at home than they do on the road.
TeamRankings.com is a fantastic site for this information in every sport.
LINK
They use a formula that bases how the team plays at home and on the road, according to what opponents they played against, and how they were expected to play.
I like to average out the previous two seasons and try to get an idea of teams to avoid on the road.
Top 10 Teams HFA teams in College Football last two seasons.
1. Washington
2. Oklahoma State
3. UAB
4. UCLA
5. Baylor
6. Nebraska
7. Mississippi State
8. Georgia
9. LSU
10. Army
It's the reason I will laying off of Washington and UCLA this weekend, and it's the reason that the lines look too good to be true at first glance.
Home Field Advantage is a pretty big deal in College Football, a sport with huge emotional and momentum swings and 21 year olds. It's one of the things that makes the sport great. The key is finding teams that play much better at home than they do on the road.
TeamRankings.com is a fantastic site for this information in every sport.
LINK
They use a formula that bases how the team plays at home and on the road, according to what opponents they played against, and how they were expected to play.
I like to average out the previous two seasons and try to get an idea of teams to avoid on the road.
Top 10 Teams HFA teams in College Football last two seasons.
1. Washington
2. Oklahoma State
3. UAB
4. UCLA
5. Baylor
6. Nebraska
7. Mississippi State
8. Georgia
9. LSU
10. Army
It's the reason I will laying off of Washington and UCLA this weekend, and it's the reason that the lines look too good to be true at first glance.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:20 pm to dgtiger3
Do you take into account coaching changes from previous seasons?
Or player turnover? Especially from two seasons ago. You could possibly only have a handful of the same starters as you did two seasons ago.
I don't like putting that much stock in CFB in previous seasons because of high player turnover.
Or player turnover? Especially from two seasons ago. You could possibly only have a handful of the same starters as you did two seasons ago.
I don't like putting that much stock in CFB in previous seasons because of high player turnover.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:23 pm to bamafan425
RAS totals from yesterday
123 BGSU O61 now 63
162 Ball St U63.5 now 58
177 Kansas O57 now 59
193 Wisconsin O52 now 54.5
171 Ohio State O64.5 now 65.5
Doubt I'll touch any of these. So far only total for me is 151 Alabama/Texas A&M Under 62 -110
123 BGSU O61 now 63
162 Ball St U63.5 now 58
177 Kansas O57 now 59
193 Wisconsin O52 now 54.5
171 Ohio State O64.5 now 65.5
Doubt I'll touch any of these. So far only total for me is 151 Alabama/Texas A&M Under 62 -110
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:41 pm to bamafan425
Absolutely. I think coaching has a much larger effect than player turnover as far as creating the culture as far as how teams respond at home and on the road.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:45 pm to dgtiger3
Absolutely. Coaching would be way more weighted than player turnover for me as well.
But losing a QB or defensive leader could hurt as well.
But losing a QB or defensive leader could hurt as well.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:48 pm to bamafan425
quote:
But losing a QB
The biggest returning position as far as betting goes in football.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 4:59 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
The biggest returning position as far as betting goes in football.
Sometimes it's the only position that Vegas considers worth any points for the spread.
Posted on 9/13/13 at 5:01 pm to TigerTatorTots
quote:
Will probably be the easiest win of the year for me
Do you think you would have won without the QB injury though? I was fishing all day and didn't get to see any of the game so I have no clue how the game went other than the final score.
This post was edited on 9/13/13 at 5:03 pm
Posted on 9/13/13 at 5:06 pm to supadave3
quote:
Do you think you would have won without the QB injury though? .
Legeaux was injured in the 4th quarter, I believe. The game was already over as far as Cincy -7 goes at that point.
This post was edited on 9/13/13 at 5:06 pm
Posted on 9/13/13 at 5:10 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
Legeaux was injured in the 4th quarter, I believe.
Oh, ok. I didn't know that.
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