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NFL Week 5 Betting Thread: 7-2 for the week.

Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:30 pm
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49352 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:30 pm
Processed everything early after a 7-1-1 week in W4.

Top Plays
Tampa Bay +8.5
Jacksonville -6.5
Minnesota -1.5
Cincinnati -6.5
Chicago -2.5
San Francisco +3
Detroit -4
Baltimore +4
NY Giants +4

Good luck!

I'll have the CFB plays later, which was 17-10 last week after a bad week in W4, but 12-7 week in Week 3.


This post was edited on 10/13/26 at 8:31 am
Posted by JimTiger72
LA
Member since Jun 2023
20711 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:43 pm to
quote:

Minnesota -1.5

NO +1.5 (+110 ML)

There is some stat about teams covering/winning outright after losing by 20+ points. NE just did it to Buffalo after losing 35-6 the week before
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49352 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:47 pm to
Minnesota has the top defense in my model, and the Saints have the 2nd worst defense behind Dallas.

I don't play those types of trends.
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 4:49 pm
Posted by Nonetheless
MAGA
Member since Jan 2012
34443 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 7:13 pm to
Thanks baw
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49352 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:13 pm to
Tampa +8.5 looking good mid 3Q
Posted by MrFreakinMiyagi
Reseda
Member since Feb 2007
20342 posts
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:36 pm to
I have Dallas in a few silly chump parlays that will lose, but didn’t put any significant $ on the spread or over/under tonight. I usually don’t touch Thursday games

I do have a few player props:
Godwin over 33.5 yards receiving
Jalon Daniels over 43.5 yards rushing
Chase McLaughlin over 6.5 points kicking
Posted by MrFreakinMiyagi
Reseda
Member since Feb 2007
20342 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:12 am to
Pats -3.5
49ers +3.5
Bears -1.5
Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
10720 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 11:37 am to
Bears ML. Ditka wins today
Posted by TigerBait2008
Boulder,CO
Member since Jun 2008
41437 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Bears ML. Ditka wins today



Posted by saintsfan1977
Arkansas, from Cajun country
Member since Jun 2010
10720 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 2:55 pm to
Where are your plays? Oh thats right, your pussy arse only makes fun. GTFO.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49352 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 6:22 pm to
5-2 with two pending. If my math is right, that's 12-3-1 or 80% winners.

People pay big money for that.

I'll take venmo donations.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49352 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 6:50 pm to
6-2 with SF covering

13-3-1
81.3%

CFB may have let me down but the NFL is rolling.

ETA: Love the serial downvoter who comes in and downvotes these posts when the effort to crank out the model takes work every week.

And who downvotes 81.3%?
This post was edited on 10/11/26 at 7:30 pm
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49352 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:00 am to
And a Baltimore win to close out the week.

Week 4: 7-1-1
Week 5: 7-2

14-3-1

No official model play tonight but the lean was on Buffalo +4

The Tier 3 plays (5 total), which includes Buffalo, was 4-0 yesterday. So the full model: Tiers 1, 2 and 3, was 11-2 ATS.
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 11:07 am
Posted by DownSouthCrawfish
Lift every voice and sing
Member since Oct 2011
41828 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:20 am to
Might tail you next week so be ready for those numbers to dip.
Posted by chitiger91
Lake Bluff IL
Member since Apr 2016
3151 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 8:25 am to
I HAMMERED Vikings yesterday. Worked out well for ya boy, Jones and Jets TD’s too
Posted by BWHLSU
Member since Jul 2026
425 posts
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:46 pm to
quote:

Week 4: 7-1-1
Week 5: 7-2

14-3-1

Damn solid. If just playing 2 or 3 units per, that's a solid return in just over 7 days time.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49352 posts
Posted on 10/13/26 at 8:29 am to
What's crazy is the Tier 3 leans all went 5-0, so the full model finished 12-2 in week 5.

The same tier 3 plays were 1-2 in Week 4.

The only no play in Week 5 was Denver/LAC.
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