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Message
NFL Week 5 Betting Thread: 7-2 for the week.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:30 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:30 pm
Processed everything early after a 7-1-1 week in W4.
Top Plays
Tampa Bay +8.5
Jacksonville -6.5
Minnesota -1.5
Cincinnati -6.5
Chicago -2.5
San Francisco +3
Detroit -4
Baltimore +4
NY Giants +4
Good luck!
I'll have the CFB plays later, which was 17-10 last week after a bad week in W4, but 12-7 week in Week 3.
Top Plays
Tampa Bay +8.5
Jacksonville -6.5
Minnesota -1.5
Cincinnati -6.5
Chicago -2.5
San Francisco +3
Detroit -4
Baltimore +4
NY Giants +4
Good luck!
I'll have the CFB plays later, which was 17-10 last week after a bad week in W4, but 12-7 week in Week 3.
This post was edited on 10/13/26 at 8:31 am
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:43 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
Minnesota -1.5
NO +1.5 (+110 ML)
There is some stat about teams covering/winning outright after losing by 20+ points. NE just did it to Buffalo after losing 35-6 the week before
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:47 pm to JimTiger72
Minnesota has the top defense in my model, and the Saints have the 2nd worst defense behind Dallas.
I don't play those types of trends.
I don't play those types of trends.
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 4:49 pm
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:13 pm to Nonetheless
Tampa +8.5 looking good mid 3Q
Posted on 10/8/26 at 9:36 pm to LSUAlum2001
I have Dallas in a few silly chump parlays that will lose, but didn’t put any significant $ on the spread or over/under tonight. I usually don’t touch Thursday games
I do have a few player props:
Godwin over 33.5 yards receiving
Jalon Daniels over 43.5 yards rushing
Chase McLaughlin over 6.5 points kicking
I do have a few player props:
Godwin over 33.5 yards receiving
Jalon Daniels over 43.5 yards rushing
Chase McLaughlin over 6.5 points kicking
Posted on 10/11/26 at 10:12 am to LSUAlum2001
Pats -3.5
49ers +3.5
Bears -1.5
49ers +3.5
Bears -1.5
Posted on 10/11/26 at 11:37 am to MrFreakinMiyagi
Bears ML. Ditka wins today
Posted on 10/11/26 at 2:42 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
Bears ML. Ditka wins today
Posted on 10/11/26 at 2:55 pm to TigerBait2008
Where are your plays? Oh thats right, your pussy arse only makes fun. GTFO.
Posted on 10/11/26 at 6:22 pm to saintsfan1977
5-2 with two pending. If my math is right, that's 12-3-1 or 80% winners.
People pay big money for that.
I'll take venmo donations.
People pay big money for that.
I'll take venmo donations.
Posted on 10/11/26 at 6:50 pm to LSUAlum2001
6-2 with SF covering
13-3-1
81.3%
CFB may have let me down but the NFL is rolling.
ETA: Love the serial downvoter who comes in and downvotes these posts when the effort to crank out the model takes work every week.
And who downvotes 81.3%?
13-3-1
81.3%
CFB may have let me down but the NFL is rolling.
ETA: Love the serial downvoter who comes in and downvotes these posts when the effort to crank out the model takes work every week.
And who downvotes 81.3%?
This post was edited on 10/11/26 at 7:30 pm
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:00 am to LSUAlum2001
And a Baltimore win to close out the week.
Week 4: 7-1-1
Week 5: 7-2
14-3-1
No official model play tonight but the lean was on Buffalo +4
The Tier 3 plays (5 total), which includes Buffalo, was 4-0 yesterday. So the full model: Tiers 1, 2 and 3, was 11-2 ATS.
Week 4: 7-1-1
Week 5: 7-2
14-3-1
No official model play tonight but the lean was on Buffalo +4
The Tier 3 plays (5 total), which includes Buffalo, was 4-0 yesterday. So the full model: Tiers 1, 2 and 3, was 11-2 ATS.
This post was edited on 10/12/26 at 11:07 am
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:20 am to LSUAlum2001
Might tail you next week so be ready for those numbers to dip. 
Posted on 10/12/26 at 8:25 am to LSUAlum2001
I HAMMERED Vikings yesterday. Worked out well for ya boy, Jones and Jets TD’s too
Posted on 10/12/26 at 7:46 pm to LSUAlum2001
quote:
Week 4: 7-1-1
Week 5: 7-2
14-3-1
Damn solid. If just playing 2 or 3 units per, that's a solid return in just over 7 days time.
Posted on 10/13/26 at 8:29 am to BWHLSU
What's crazy is the Tier 3 leans all went 5-0, so the full model finished 12-2 in week 5.
The same tier 3 plays were 1-2 in Week 4.
The only no play in Week 5 was Denver/LAC.
The same tier 3 plays were 1-2 in Week 4.
The only no play in Week 5 was Denver/LAC.

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