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MLB owners propose salary cap

Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:12 pm
Posted by bcoop199
Kansas City, MISSOURI
Member since Nov 2013
9191 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:12 pm
MLB has reportedly proposed a salary cap model to the MLBPA that would come with a $245.3M ceiling, & a $171.2M floor.



Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
56163 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:15 pm to
I think it's safe to say there will be no baseball in 2027

bring on the replacement players
This post was edited on 5/28/26 at 2:19 pm
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78854 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:16 pm to
That's a higher floor than I was expecting.

Just glancing at the numbers it looks like it would add more payroll than it eliminates, but I didn't do the math.

I'm just really hoping there isn't a work stoppage. But the owners and Manfred seem to actually hate baseball so I don't know how realistic that is.
Posted by GoGators1995
Member since Jan 2023
7791 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:19 pm to
So I assume they just did the simple thing and $245.3 million was the average team revenue in 2025?
Good luck getting at least 1/3 of the league's owners to spend $171.2 million a year on payroll.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85178 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:20 pm to
Is Ohtani's part of the LAD's numbers? I thought they did some trick to defer most of his salary in order to be able to afford other players now?
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10964 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

bring on the replacement players

I know a guy making good money playing for the Party Animals. Replacements may not be as easy to come by this time around..
Posted by GoGators1995
Member since Jan 2023
7791 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

That's a higher floor than I was expecting.

It's roughly 70% of the cap. The NFL is 90% and NHL is about to be 85%.
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78854 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

It's roughly 70% of the cap. The NFL is 90% and NHL is about to be 85%.


I don't know how they could get to those larger percentages without really bumping up the league minimum, reducing team control, and increasing arbitrated salaries. I don't know how some these teams would even get to 70% without just shoveling out shitty contracts in the short term.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
56163 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:26 pm to
what about the tv contracts?
That's where teams like the Yankees and Dodgers have such huge advantages
With the collapse of the regional networks how do you help the other teams that are falling behind
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
128316 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

I think it's safe to say there will be no baseball in 2027

bring on the replacement players


Gonna be awesome watching the Savannah Bananas come out on stilts and doing back flips wearing the Yankees pinstripes.
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
63423 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

I don't know how they could get to those larger percentages without really bumping up the league minimum, reducing team control, and increasing arbitrated salaries. I don't know how some these teams would even get to 70% without just shoveling out shitty contracts in the short term.


Yeah I am shocked some of these owners agreed to that figure. If I have time later I will go through the teams that are below that and how much. I think it would be more jarring than the teams above it. There are several below 100 mil I am sure.

ETA I am an idiot and didn’t see the cut off part of the tweet
This post was edited on 5/28/26 at 2:34 pm
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
85178 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

I thought they did some trick to defer most of his salary in order to be able to afford other players now?


Just looked, about $25m of Ohtani's yearly salary isn't hitting.

Will this proposal also do away with that accounting trick?


ETA;

Another view shows that 45m this year, but only 2m cash hit this season. I'm confused which is correct.

His annual is close to 71m
This post was edited on 5/28/26 at 2:55 pm
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150188 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:43 pm to
The NBA is also 90%

They are going to need to raise the floor
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4702 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 2:48 pm to
Posted by JerryTheKingBawler
South of Memphis
Member since Jan 2023
8420 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 3:33 pm to
Is the lockout going to come from the players who won’t get paid as much or from the poverty franchise owners who will actually have to start paying players?
Posted by RelicBatches86
Florida
Member since Nov 2024
1556 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 3:38 pm to
disgusting owners...

Based on 2026 opening day figures, eight teams would have to cut payroll to get under the cap. The teams over are the two-time reigning World Series champion Dodgers, New York Mets ($379.2 million), New York Yankees ($339.6 million), Toronto ($319.5 million), Philadelphia ($315.2 million), Boston ($263.7 million), San Diego ($260.1 million) and Atlanta ($247.9 million).

Twelve teams would be required to increase payroll by a total of $617 million based on 2026 numbers: Miami ($81.8 million), Cleveland ($95.7 million), Tampa Bay ($108.2 million), the Chicago White Sox ($108.6 million), St. Louis ($114.4 million), Washington ($119.1 million), Pittsburgh ($122.6 million), Minnesota ($125.6 million), Milwaukee ($130.9 million), the Athletics ($139.2 million), Colorado ($142.2 million) and Cincinnati ($148.8 million).

Owners and the union agreed to a luxury tax in 2003 designed to slow spending, but teams feel it has had little or no impact on the Dodgers and Mets in recent years. The last small-market MLB club to win a World Series was Kansas City in 2015, although Cleveland, Tampa Bay and Milwaukee all lead their divisions as of Thursday, while the Mets and Red Sox are in last place.

MLB said its revenue has grown by 247% since 2003 and player payroll has increased by 149% in that span.

LINK
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
17869 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

I don't know how some these teams would even get to 70% without just shoveling out shitty contracts in the short term.
It will be structured the way the NFL does it. If you’re under the floor, you just pay the difference in what amounts to a fine. So there won’t be any need to sign bad contracts
Posted by bcoop199
Kansas City, MISSOURI
Member since Nov 2013
9191 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 3:58 pm to
This is just an opening offer I'm sure they realize both the cap and floor will end up higher before an agreement would be struck. Maybe like 300cap 200floor.
Posted by medtiger
Member since Sep 2003
22004 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Is the lockout going to come from the players


This isn't possible. Players would strike. Owners lock out players. The players have given no indication that they're going to strike. The lockout would likely begin on Dec. 1 if there's no agreement by then.
Posted by RemouladeSawce
Uranus
Member since Sep 2008
17869 posts
Posted on 5/28/26 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

The NBA is also 90%

They are going to need to raise the floor
I don't think they can

Unlike the NFL/NBA, it's a sport that inherently produces a ton of standings parity that understates the actual gaps between teams.

A bottom 5 NFL team only wins ~25% of their games and a bottom 5 NBA team only wins ~25-30%. But a bottom 5 MLB team wins ~40-45%

If every MLB team is forced to spend between 90-100% of the cap, you're then forcing extreme talent parity to the standings equation and the result is we may never see a 100-game winner ever again. The logjam around .500 would be absurd

The win 60 / lose 60 / define your season over the remaining 42 thing...that quickly turns into 70 / 70 / 22 if the floor's too high

A floor of 70% forces teams to be more competitive but any more and you risk breaking the competitive balance in the other direction
This post was edited on 5/28/26 at 4:20 pm
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