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re: McShay's top five for the '14 NFL Draft

Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:12 pm to
Posted by Flash_Gordon
Member since Dec 2013
522 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Yeah, all the other first round backs suck!

Signed,

Marshawn Lynch
Steven Jackson
Chris Johnson
Larry Johnson
Willis McGahee
Deangelo Williams
Etc.


You have a point somewhat, but none of those guys are recent in the past five years except Johnson.

Look at 2013 class…had huge impact guys like Lacy, Bernard, Ball all drafted in 2-3 round. Then had Stacy and Ellington also have solid seasons after being grabbed late.

Give me Sankey or Carey in the second-third round and I'll be happy
Posted by Ed Wuncler III
Member since Nov 2013
563 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:12 pm to
The only reason I think they should consider take Watkins is that he's special. Hes so explosive and I think hell br making plays for a long time in the league. The insurance reason is stupid.
Posted by Flash_Gordon
Member since Dec 2013
522 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:14 pm to
I agree he has enormous upside……but what good does two superstar WRs do you without a QB or OL to protect you or a RB to create balance.

Like someone already said, if this was a Megatron type guy, then I'd say yeah. But it makes way too much sense to draft an immediate need, then grab a WR in the second round or so. Or third.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Yeah, all the other first round backs suck!


Youre missing the point entirely. Its not that the 1st rounders will bust, its that there is no value for them there. Unless you are AP, there will be 4-5 comparable backs to that guy you select in the 1st that can be had in the middle rounds while you use that 1st rounder on an impact position like OL, QB, Pass rusher etc that have a clear difference in talent in later rounds.

This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 2:19 pm
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31085 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

When will people learn this?

Meh, most of the good players at any position were drafted in a higher round. I know you are going to point out Alfred Morris, but plenty of players slip through the cracks at any position. RB is no different. The vast majority of the top running backs are high picks.

2013 Rushing Leaders:

McCoy - 2
Forte - 2
Charles - 3
Morris - 6
Peterson - 1
Lynch - 1
Mathews - 1
Lacy - 2
Gore - 3
Murray - 3

2013 Passing Leaders (I decided to roll with passer rating):

Foles - 3
Manning - 1
McCown - 3
Rivers - 1
Rodgers - 1
Brees - 2
Wilson - 3
Romo - Undrafted
Roethlisberger - 1
Kaepernick - 2

So Romo and Morris slipped through the cracks. Also, I am sure you will notice Brady is not on this list. It is fair to say he is a top QB.

But more importantly, how often are you going to find a quality workhorse RB outside of the first two or three rounds?
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:20 pm to
In todays league you dont really need a workhorse to be successful

ETA and of the 1st round backs on your list, Lynch was a huge disappointment until he was traded to seattle, and Matthews was a big disappointment until this season. AP is a beast of course. I dont see the value as a drafting team in those guys (outside of AP) when you could have all the other guys on your list in the 2nd and 3rd round
This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 2:23 pm
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31085 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:21 pm to
Yeah, if you have a stud QB.

There are not enough Philip Rivers to go around.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:23 pm to
Read my eta

Youre mistaking me saying "get a runningback in the 6th round because of morris" i never said that. Get your runningbacks in the 2-3 round
This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 2:24 pm
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31085 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:32 pm to
My point is that you get pretty much all of your good players in the first three rounds, regardless of position (excluding punters and the like).

I agree you do not pass up on a Julius Peppers type freak for a RB. However, if you are picking at 20 or so, then go ahead. I just would avoid the RB when there are super talents out there. Not when it comes down to Chris Johnson or the fourth-best LT at pick 23.
Posted by Ed Wuncler III
Member since Nov 2013
563 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:36 pm to
I sad earlier that with the second pick they should get an OL or defensive playmaker so I agree thats a good option too. They need to be patient about getting a qb the like as well as a rb
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112502 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

I agree you do not pass up on a Julius Peppers type freak for a RB. However, if you are picking at 20 or so, then go ahead. I just would avoid the RB when there are super talents out there. Not when it comes down to Chris Johnson or the fourth-best LT at pick 23.


Well there have been some very very good pass rushers and corners at the end of the first usually.

My my view is distorted by the difference in picking Laurence Marooney at 27 and Chandler Jones at the same spot a couple years later but thats how i see it and i think nfl teams do too based on the way last year shook down with no first round backs
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31085 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 2:48 pm to
My view is the other way around because, well, the greatest RB since Sanders.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85489 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 3:01 pm to
To be honest, the Browns would probably be wise to try and trade their pick. They have a few holes and there are depth at those positions, so why not try and get more picks to help fill those positions?

ETA: If there is no sure fire prospect in a position of need for the Browns at that position.
This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 3:07 pm
Posted by Moustache
GEAUX TIGERS
Member since May 2008
21558 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

If Watkins is available at #4 and the browns don't take him I'll be pretty pissed. I'll be even more livid if they spend it on JFF. Get Watkins as insurance against Gordon's dumb pot smoking arse. He's one doobie away from being gone for the year. If they insist on drafting JFF then use the late first round pick. I think he'll still be there. Draft a RB in the second round to compliment Dion Lewis.




So you want the browns to be like the Lions and keep drafting skill players at #4? T Rich sucks. Watkins was inconsistent until late this year. Plus Watkins was suspended from his team too.

Browns need a QB in the worst way. yall wanna stay shitty? Stick with mediocre QBs.

If the browns were smart they'd draft the best QB available at #4, then draft another one in either the 4th or 5th round.
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61512 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 4:34 pm to
I disagree on the Texans picking Bridgewater. Everyone else in the world knows Bridgewater is not top 10 value, so why would the Texans somehow come up with something different? There are about 5 other players that I would take before Bridgewater.


Matthews
Clowney
A defensive back
A different OL
A LB
Posted by LSUTIGER in TEXAS
Member since Jan 2008
13613 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 6:02 pm to
quote:

I disagree on the Texans picking Bridgewater. Everyone else in the world knows Bridgewater is not top 10 value
knowing what we know now, where would you draft russell wilson?
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
279526 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

Youre missing the point entirely. Its not that the 1st rounders will bust, its that there is no value for them there. Unless you are AP, there will be 4-5 comparable backs to that guy you select in the 1st that can be had in the middle rounds while you use that 1st rounder on an impact position like OL, QB, Pass rusher etc that have a clear difference in talent in later rounds.



you can say this about any position
Posted by BenDover
Member since Jul 2010
5434 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 6:05 pm to
in this draft they'd be crazy not to take wilson #1
Posted by LSUTIGER in TEXAS
Member since Jan 2008
13613 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

n this draft they'd be crazy not to take wilson #1
teddy is essentially a taller russell wilson. hes not sexy b/c he has great intangibles, which by definition are hard to measure.
Posted by bulldog95
North Louisiana
Member since Jan 2011
20743 posts
Posted on 1/6/14 at 7:05 pm to
The browns need to solidify the offensive line, get a rb, and another wr. Let's give hoyer a chance when he recovers from injury if it doesn't work out they can get jameis Winston next year or maybe Bret hundley from UCLA.
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