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re: Here's the definition of a 'game manager'

Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:37 pm to
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
16051 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

They're especially ridiculous when you realize he's 4th in the NFL in YPA last season and the season before, his 1st 2 seasons in the league. That's the opposite of "don't mess it up", that's go out and make plays numbers


You are analyzing the numbers from the wrong perspective. He throws it alot less. Of course his YPA will be more. YPA tells you basically nothing in this argument. If Brees' Att/Gm went donw by 10, what do you think would happen to his YPA? They would frickin go up. What does that mean? Absolutely nothing.
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:39 pm to
I cannot believe we're having this conversation

his yards are low because his attempts are low, he has one of if not the best (at least most consistently awesome) runningback in football, an elite run blocking line, and no elite wide receivers

his QB rating and yards per attempt (moreso) tell the story

he's an elite quarterback
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:39 pm to
I think this topic is dumb fwiw.

Posted by craigbiggio
Member since Dec 2009
31805 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

If Brees' Att/Gm went donw by 10, what do you think would happen to his YPA? They would frickin go up.


Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111402 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

If Brees' Att/Gm went donw by 10, what do you think would happen to his YPA? They would frickin go up
ummmmmm, you realize his yards would also go down right? So the average would prolly stay the same
Posted by boom roasted
Member since Sep 2010
28039 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

He throws it alot less. Of course his YPA will be more.
Reasoning?
quote:

If Brees' Att/Gm went donw by 10, what do you think would happen to his YPA?
lol what?

ETA: I don't think we ever got your opinion about the Seahawks asking Russell Wilson to do more than the Packers ask of Rodgers, this season. What does that make Rodgers?
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 1:42 pm
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12467 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

If Brees' Att/Gm went donw by 10, what do you think would happen to his YPA? They would frickin go up. What does that mean? Absolutely nothing.

Based on what
I don't think you understand how percentages or averages work.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111402 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

lol what?
Apparently, we have to assume all of Drew's 10 attempts we take off the board are incompletions
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
16051 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

ummmmmm, you realize his yards would also go down right? So the average would prolly stay the same


Ummmmmmmmm, his number of attempts wouldnt be so diluted with incompletions. Many times they use the short passing game as the running game. He would play in a more efficient offense like the Seahawks do and would throw much higher percentage throws like the Seahawks do many times off of play action.
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:42 pm to
Hardly anyone does these days.

As a statistics lover it hurts.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111402 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

Ummmmmmmmm, his number of attempts wouldnt be so diluted with incompletions. Many times they use the short passing game as the running game. He would play in a more efficient offense like the Seahawks do and would throw much higher percentage throws like the Seahawks do many times off of play action.
That is a shite ton to assume
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112854 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

he's an elite quarterback
For the record, to clarify my own take, I don't even think he's elite.

But he's certainly not a game manager either.
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:43 pm to
the divisional playoff game against Atlanta is a great showcase of how good Russell Wilson is when the seahawks offense starts going pass heavy.

as it stands now they're almost always winning, and the score is always close

Not since his rookie year have the seahawks been in a position where they had to abandon the run game.
Posted by boom roasted
Member since Sep 2010
28039 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

dnm3305
lol

Keep it going. This is funny.
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1391 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:44 pm to
quote:

his QB rating and yards per attempt (moreso) tell the story

quote:

his yards are low because his attempts are low,


His QB rating and yards per attempt are high, because his attempts are low. If he is asked to throw 35-40 times per game, they won't stay that high. They will regress towards whatever the mean is for a game manager that is suddenly asked to do too much with his arm.

quote:

he's an elite quarterback

Not right now he is not.
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
59463 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:45 pm to
Drew Brees year 3 stats:

2003 San Diego 11–11 356–205 2,108 .576 11 15 68 21–178 67.5

YPG: 191.6
Posted by shel311
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
112854 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

Ummmmmmmmm, his number of attempts wouldnt be so diluted with incompletions. Many times they use the short passing game as the running game. He would play in a more efficient offense like the Seahawks do and would throw much higher percentage throws like the Seahawks do many times off of play action.
The Saints have a great running game this season, I'm pretty sure statistically speaking.

Why don't they use the more efficient approach and throw much higher percentage passes, but just pass more, if it's that simple?

Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

His QB rating and yards per attempt are high, because his attempts are low
you can keep saying this but it has no basis in reality.

If anything, you'd expect his YPA to be lower with all of the WR/TE screens they run. RW has one of the better deep balls in the league, elite arm strength, great accuracy and plays on an offense built to run the ball.

Kearse, Baldwin, Harvin...who is a #1 receiver on this team?
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
32289 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

So Aaron Rodgers and Wilson are game managers. I mean I dont agree with you but you are entitled to your opinion I guess



I'm just presenting the stats for people wanting a clear picture instead of arguing, "You're using the wrong stats!"

This is an opinionated topic that won't go anywhere. People argue Seattle's team is built off that defense and run game, so Wilson is just an above average QB. People will argue that Rodgers' has no defense/run game so he has to ball out to win.

Just some more stats for people:
In the past 3 years, Seattle has allowed 30ppg+ 4 times in 42 games. They have gone 0-4 in those 4 games. 100-124 (-24 net) 25.0ppg-31.0ppg
Wilson's stats in those 4 games:
144 attempts, 1115 yards, 7TDs, 3INTs
Per game stats:
36 attempts, 278.8 yards, 1.75 TDs, 0.75 INTs

In the past 3 years, Green Bay has allowed 30ppg+ 9 times in 34 games. They have gone 1-8 in those 9 games. 278-315 (-37 net) 30.9ppg-35.0ppg
Rodgers' stats in those 9 games:
360 attempts, 2629 yards, 19 TDs, 8 INTs
Per game stats:
40 attempts, 292.1 yards, 2.1TDs, 0.9 INTs
This post was edited on 10/13/14 at 5:18 pm
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 10/13/14 at 1:47 pm to
Hopefully ingram will help. He looked really good before that injury.
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