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re: Has betting completely ruined people’s minds?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 1:42 pm to JohnnyKilroy
Posted on 10/6/26 at 1:42 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
This has happened a couple times in the past 25 years inside of 2 mins left in the game.
Absolutely it has but never by an inept team like Miami. It's usually between division rivals or the losing team actually is capable of performing late game. Miami had less than 0% chance of winning that game at the end regardless of anything.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:17 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
Absolutely it has but never by an inept team like Miami.
The last team that did it was the fricking Jets a few years ago
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:20 pm to Mingo Was His NameO
quote:
I’m not worked up either way, but I look at it like this. There is still a chance you fumble the snap on the kneel down and you are only up 5.
If they score, they are up by 2 scores with 2 minutes left. The dolphins have to score, get an onside, and score again to win. The chances that happens are less than the chance you fumble a snap.
Both are staggeringly small, so again, I don’t really care, but I do think from a mathematical perspective it would have been better to score, even if only the slightest of amounts.
Cristobal isn't coaching the Vikings
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:22 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
They weren't getting that shite. You and I both know that.
You’re confusing the point.
If Hockenson scores, no one really is going to be mad. But, it is not the correct play from a statistical standpoint. And being mad, about someone making the correct play is absurd.
Gunner Stockton did the same thing against Auburn last year, but the right move was to slide. So when we played Florida and he was in the exact same situation he went to a knee.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:27 pm to Dawgsontop34
This one is pretty cut and dry.
The Lawrence one last week was weird.
The Lawrence one last week was weird.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:34 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:Vs the hapless Browns. 2 dogshit teams.
The last team that did it was the fricking Jets a few years ago
I'm talking about 2 teams not evenly matched. Now go ahead and give me an example.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:37 pm to Dawgsontop34
quote:
You’re confusing the point.
No I'm not. If I'm a WR or RB I'm scoring. My paycheck says I need to score. frick the 0.00002% chance they come back and win.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:39 pm to saintsfan1977
This is one of the dumbest hills I've ever seen someone die on. Did Hockenson not scoring lose you your fantasy matchup or something? It was the right play, it's pretty idiotic to argue otherwise.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:41 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
Did Hockenson not scoring lose you your fantasy matchup or something?
No. If I'm a WR or RB, I'm scoring. There would NEVER be a decision where I slide 1 yd from scoring unless someone pays me handsomely.
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 2:42 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:46 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
No. If I'm a WR or RB, I'm scoring. There would NEVER be a decision where I slide 1 yd from scoring unless someone pays me handsomely.
Congrats I guess? I'm sure his coaches and the defense thanked him for ending it early. This is like the 50th time a player has done this and every time it was the right movie.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 2:47 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
No. If I'm a WR or RB, I'm scoring. There would NEVER be a decision where I slide 1 yd from scoring unless someone pays me handsomely.
Right. Because you would be playing selfishly. Not everyone plays that way, and it’s dumb to chastise someone for it.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 3:21 pm to saintsfan1977
quote:
There would NEVER be a decision where I slide 1 yd from scoring unless someone pays me handsomely.
Lions went on to win this game 23-22.
The night before this game, Penn State lost to Indiana because their dumbass RB scored instead of going down at the 1 when they were by 1 point. They scored to go up 8. Indiana went down the field, scored a TD + 2pt conversion to send it to OT where Indiana won.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 3:31 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 3:25 pm to Ryan3232
quote:
If they are saying it was the wrong play because of the spread, they are dumb.
If they are saying it was the wrong play separate of gambling, they are very dumb.
The Vikings kneeled the ball and won the game after this play. It's very simple to understand why he did it.
It's why you don't bet with anything other than throwaway money.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 6:57 pm to JohnnyKilroy
We're not talking about 8 points. We talking about scoring, recovering onside kick and scoring again.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 7:16 pm to saintsfan1977
You said the offense should NEVER not score a td. There are examples damn near every year where scoring is sub-optimal.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 7:20 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
We're not talking about 8 points. We talking about scoring, recovering onside kick and scoring again.
Which is still a massively higher probability than kneeling twice without two major catastrophes and ending the game
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:02 pm to BoardReader
quote:
Which is still a massively higher probability than kneeling twice without two major catastrophes and ending the game
No it’s not
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:07 pm to Dawgsontop34
Absolutely. It's the worst thing to happen to sports.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:33 pm to Mingo Was His NameO
quote:
No it’s not
Yes, it is. NFL teams score on something like 22% of their drives, then recover less than 7% of onside kicks after.
Do you know how many victory formation snaps have been fumbled in the NFL since the origin of the practice in 1979?
Zero. So. You'll put up the idea that something that has -never- happened, will happen at least once, against something that is a low, but not unheard of improbability.
That's functionally retarded.
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 8:34 pm
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:50 pm to BoardReader
quote:
Yes, it is. NFL teams score on something like 22% of their drives, then recover less than 7% of onside kicks after.
They’re both like 99.9% statistically

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