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re: Going for it on 4th in the red zone

Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:06 pm to
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
39395 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:06 pm to
quote:

this isn’t the old days when games routinely finished with both teams under 20


Except for Playoff games played outdoors, especially in bad weather... Kinda like the situation we have today. So yes, Coaches should understand the situation and make decisions accordingly.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18146 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:08 pm to
4th and 1 = Yes go for it

4th and 2 = FG time

4th and 4 = stupid Chicago bears level
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61001 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Mind blowing trend by today's young coaches


Yes, I’m sure math is mind blowing to most of you
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150093 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:15 pm to
This thread lmao
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80692 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

Mind blowing trend by today's young coaches


But muh analytics.
Posted by Tigertown in ATL
Georgia foothills
Member since Sep 2009
30323 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

sure math is mind blowing to most of you


What does the math say about having a stiff at QB?
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11899 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:22 pm to
If the favored Broncos lose by 3, when the crowd thaws out, sometime Monday, they're going to realize how that easier field goal would have been a better choice.
Posted by Civildawg
Member since May 2012
10473 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:39 pm to
I bet Denver wishes they had those 3 points right about now
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36710 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:51 pm to
Currently averaging 0 points per FGA on the last 2 FGA.

Always take the points
This post was edited on 1/25/26 at 4:52 pm
Posted by wertheimer
The Ruhr
Member since Dec 2014
1399 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:54 pm to
Well, Payton will have all off-season to think about leaving those points on the field. They are about to lose 10-7. Don’t get greedy early in football games, analytics be damned — especially in games where points will be at a premium
This post was edited on 1/25/26 at 4:55 pm
Posted by s0tiger
Member since May 2008
1114 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:57 pm to
The thing he should think about is why he called a 20 yard pass that went to the 1st down marker (1 yard down field), instead of doing a tush push.

I don't care that they went, it was the stupid play call.
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72087 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Go for it. Lions, not sheep


Well the lions have certainly missed out on a lot of opportunities over the last few years. That’s indisputable
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
61001 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

What does the math say about having a stiff at QB?


The title of this thread doesn’t say anything about that either

I would however love to see all the threads calling it stupid to go for it on 4th 1 when they make it and score a TD or even if they attempt but miss the FG

Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
22766 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

FG attempts in the red zone are a win for the defense… this isn’t the old days when games routinely finished with both teams under 20


What’s the score?
Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
9173 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 5:00 pm to
Yep...waited to start kicking FGs in the Snow

Had a bad feeling going for it 4th & 1 early

Up 10 -0 different

Drake Maye wheels 1st Down BALL GAME
This post was edited on 1/25/26 at 11:34 pm
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18146 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

I bet Denver wishes they had those 3 points right about now


As I said before, analytics only tells you what to do based on the percentage of 1 play. It doesn’t account to conditions/situations outside of that play.
Posted by Zendog
Santa Barbara
Member since Feb 2019
6794 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 5:03 pm to
even if you make it, it doesn't mean you score a touchdown
Posted by UltimateHog
Thailand
Member since Dec 2011
69473 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 5:03 pm to
People only say this when they don't get it and then don't say anything when it's converted. The numbers aren't close.

quote:

Historical NFL trends show 4th and 1 or less conversions typically in the 65-75%+ range when teams go for it.


Posted by oldtrucker
Marianna, Fl
Member since Apr 2013
3493 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 5:04 pm to
Yes 3 is more then 0
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
80692 posts
Posted on 1/25/26 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

Yep...waited to start kicking FGs in the Snow


Another reason to take the points. You know the weather is coming.
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