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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:03 am to
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6038 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:03 am to
quote:

What in the world am I missing on Auburn?? The only thing Auburn has it a home game. On what planet is this going to be anything less than a 2 TD margin?


A lot of us are on Auburn simply because Vegas is on them. Clemson has received a large majority of the beta at/around -7 but Vegas hasn't really moved the line all that much considering how many bets are on Clemson.
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 10:05 am
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:04 am to
quote:

What in the world am I missing on Auburn?? The only thing Auburn has it a home game. On what planet is this going to be anything less than a 2 TD margin?


The LOS
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:07 am to
Under those assumptions, I'd imagine UNC is a popular choice in this thread. 67% of tickets, 92% of money on UGA, yet the line has come down from -3.5 to -3.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48587 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:07 am to
0-3-1 to start the season. dcrews must be tailing me.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83183 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:08 am to
Im not even mAd at boston college pushing. Thats what addazio gets for being a pussy. He didnt try to go for the throat on their last drive and didnt go for that 4th and 1.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45981 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:08 am to
quote:

92% of money on UGA


Link?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:08 am to
quote:

A lot of us are on Auburn simply because Vegas is on them. Clemson has received a large majority of the beta at/around -7 but Vegas hasn't really moved the line all that much considering how many bets are on Clemson.


Fair enough, and good luck. I won't touch it because of the reasons you mentioned, but bringing myself to take Auburn +8 or +9 feels so wrong.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Link?


I'm basing it off of the William Hill sheet -



ETA: Other sites are showing drastically different numbers so who knows.
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 10:15 am
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:10 am to
Clemson lost so much production on D and Auburn should have a very good o line. A lot of pressure on that Clemson offense to perform week 1 following an offseason of hype in a lit Jerden Hare.

Also, does one season make people forget Clemson is Clemson?? May look foolish on this one but gimme the points.
Posted by rockchlkjayhku11
Cincinnati, OH
Member since Aug 2006
36753 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:10 am to
im taking clemson, tbh. a lot of that is a "frick auburn" mentality, but i just dont see it.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18170 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:11 am to
pending
aub +7.5
lsu -6.5 1h

adding
florida atl -7
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45981 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:13 am to
How big is William hill?
Posted by Grassy1
Member since Oct 2009
7330 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:13 am to
3 team parley teaser

bama/usc Under 55
Wisc +14.5
Auburn +10

10 to win 61

Posted by bamaatlsu
Dallas
Member since Mar 2007
5068 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:16 am to
Good luck today, men.

Bama -9.5 and 10.5
Clemson -6.5 and -7
Bama under 54
Bama under 27 1st half
LSU -10


Looks like the public is with me heavy, yikes
Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5354 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:19 am to
If I'm reading it right
Rutgers and ULL seem like the double to be on?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:24 am to
ULL saw significant sharp money within the last 48 hours.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45981 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:26 am to
Chem do you just use sportsinsights to track movement?
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 10:27 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:29 am to
Scores and Odds betting trends

This might be useful for others. I wouldn't mind the "Total" column because it appears to count the O/U money which is useless for the spreads. "Money" column measures money line bets and "Side" column measures point spreads.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45981 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:30 am to
I always worry where sites like that get their money % from. There was another site that use to list their sample size for coming up with the money % figure. Link was on my old computer
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 10:31 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:30 am to
I use a few things. PayneInsider's live board is nice as well.
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