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re: College Football Week 1/Futures Bet Thread

Posted on 9/3/16 at 8:58 am to
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34226 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 8:58 am to
My bets

Clemson
A&M
OU
ULL
Bama USC under


Thoughts?
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83183 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:00 am to
Im fighting the urge to put money on hawaii and bowling green
Posted by Tiger1242
Member since Jul 2011
33196 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:03 am to
Man I'm thinking about plays on major favorites which is rare for me.

I like Mich -40 bc Hawaii sucks and Mich is out to prove they deserve the hype.

I also like Ohio St. -28, Urban Meyer lives to rub up the score and inflate his players stats

Thoughts?
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 9:03 am
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:06 am to
quote:

Im fighting the urge to put money on hawaii and bowling green



Join the party, I have plays on Hawaii +41.5 and BGSU +28
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Urban Meyer lives to rub up the score and inflate his players stats


Not against Bowling Green, a team he used to coach for

Edit: that's not why I am on bowling green. They are good enough to cover.
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 9:09 am
Posted by dallastiger55
Jennings, LA
Member since Jan 2010
34226 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:07 am to
I think OU is going to destroy Houston and A&M same with ucla.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83183 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:11 am to
Jumped on hawaii +40. Line looks a few points inflated by overreaction.

Waiting on bowling green
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6038 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:25 am to
Glad I got on BC at +3.5 and not +3
Posted by maclauer
Member since Nov 2011
4765 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:39 am to
4-0 start to the season

For Saturday:
WVU -9.5
Penn St under 46
aTm -3
Auburn +8
BYU -2.5

Wanted LSU but that ship sailed and I'm not swimming to chase it.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:40 am to
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12077 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:40 am to
Air Force -27.5 1h. Maryland -34 1h
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45981 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:43 am to
Final plays after getting my arse handed to me on Thurs:

BGU 27.5
WVU -9.5
Wisco 14
Auburn 9
USCw 12

smaller plays:

Georgia game U 57
Arkansas game O 52.5

GL boys
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 9:50 am
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:46 am to
Added Ucla... Currently pending wagers are Ucla +3.5, Wiscy+14.5, UNC +3, Auburn +7.5, and Ole Miss +4.5.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:52 am to
quote:

Auburn +8


What in the world am I missing on Auburn?? The only thing Auburn has it a home game. On what planet is this going to be anything less than a 2 TD margin?
Posted by rockchlkjayhku11
Cincinnati, OH
Member since Aug 2006
36753 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:52 am to
s/o to georgia tech for a ridiculous late game drive to give me the push at -3

time to look at some noon games
Posted by rockchlkjayhku11
Cincinnati, OH
Member since Aug 2006
36753 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:55 am to
quote:

Currently pending wagers are Ucla +3.5, Wiscy+14.5, UNC +3, Auburn +7.5

it's crazy. i know you are following line movement and the market, but i hate all of these from a football perspective and they will probably all hit.

i cant bring myself to take any of them, though, just because it feels wrong football wise.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45981 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:56 am to
Makings for the perfect trap game:

(1) Top 5 team on the road
(2) One of the toughest places to play on the road
(3) Team that desperately needs to prove itself
(4) Has athletes to compete
(5) Public heavy on top 5 team and very small line movement reflecting pub heavy side

Clemson may win by 14+, but over the long haul betting the opposite of pub picks in games like these will be +EV
This post was edited on 9/3/16 at 9:59 am
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Clemson may win by 14+, but over the long haul betting the opposite of pub picks in games like these will be +EV



I get the strategy, but as mentioned above, the football side of it is very difficult to grasp. Sean White is going to keep Auburn within 8 points of Deshaun Watson - see how crazy that sounds?
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45981 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:01 am to
I don't ever doubt the Gods that set the lines in Vegas. Especially in huge games where they could lose their arse
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 9/3/16 at 10:03 am to
quote:

Glad I got on BC at +3.5 and not +3


How do you give up 4th and 19?
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