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re: Chicago Cubs Super Prospect Futureboner Sploosh Emporium Thread | Maddon Thread
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:18 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:18 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
But I guess if you think he is supposed to be producing like Ryan Braun, you would be disappointed.
Damn you are a doofus.
The Brewers extended Braun after his rookie year, 8yr 45$mil dollars.
They try and lock him in long term before he really blew up and would have to pay him more. It's beneficial for not only the team, but the player, as he get's long term security. I wasn't comparing Starlin Castro's game to Braun you dumbfrick
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:22 pm to Lester Earl
You said "He hasn't lived up the player they expected him to be yet", then the other guy said that there is still time and you said "yes there's still time, I think they expected him to be more like Ryan Bruan". If you weren't comparing their games then how has Castro not gotten better after signing the deal? He's having a fricking career year. I guess you are too dumb to be able to separate your hatred for Castro aside and look at the facts.
Sure seems that way when you keep going off about how he isn't the player they thought he would be, even though pretty much anyone would tell you offensively he is doing exactly what they want and more in 2014. You think they expected 20+ homeruns from Castro in the cleanup spot in 2014? You retarded cocksucker
quote:
I wasn't comparing Starlin Castro's game to Braun you dumbfrick
Sure seems that way when you keep going off about how he isn't the player they thought he would be, even though pretty much anyone would tell you offensively he is doing exactly what they want and more in 2014. You think they expected 20+ homeruns from Castro in the cleanup spot in 2014? You retarded cocksucker
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 1:28 pm
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:28 pm to PurpleAndGold86
No, I said
In other words, they(Braun/Longoria/McCutchen too maybe?) actually showed marked improvement making the deals they signed "bargains".
Whereas Castro has kind of flatlined and hasn't improved at all on defense. It's fair value, but they were hoping it'd be more like the deals above, where he outplayed his contract.
quote:
they expected to be more like Ryan Braun or Evan Longoria when they signed similar deals earlier in their career.
In other words, they(Braun/Longoria/McCutchen too maybe?) actually showed marked improvement making the deals they signed "bargains".
Whereas Castro has kind of flatlined and hasn't improved at all on defense. It's fair value, but they were hoping it'd be more like the deals above, where he outplayed his contract.
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:31 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
Whereas Castro has kind of flatlined
This is why you're retarded. Every year you have a blind hatred for certain players based on what happened in their past. Starlin Castro is in the middle of having a career year and is hitting in the cleanup spot in a lineup that isn't very good.
How in the hell has he flatlined?
2013 Stats: G -161 AB-666 R-59 H-163 2B-34 3B-2 HR-10 RBI-44
2014 Stats: G-86 AB-342 R-39 H-98 2B-26 3B-1 HR-11 RBI-51
Almost half the at bats as 2013 and he already has more homeruns and RBIs in 2014. He is on pace to shatter his number of hits, doubles and runs from 2013 as well.
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:39 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
This is why you're retarded. Every year you have a hatred for certain players. Starlin Castro is in the middle of having a career year and is hitting in the cleanup spot in a lineup that isn't very good.
How in the hell has he flatlined?
2013 Stats: G -161 AB-666 R-59 H-163 2B-34 3B-2 HR-10 RBI-44
2014 Stats: G-86 AB-342 R-39 H-98 2B-26 3B-1 HR-11 RBI-51
Well he was terrible in 2013, so yea, he has improved from then.
But looks more like the player we saw in 11' & 12', when he hit .295 with a .763 OPS. (He's hitting .287 w/ .797 OPS). It's a step in the right direction if he indeed finishes how he has started this season.
He's still basically "what they thought they had" back when they inked him to his deal, and has not taken that big step they had hoped.
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 1:39 pm
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:54 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
But looks more like the player we saw in 11' & 12', when he hit .295 with a .763 OPS.
Well not really since he is on pace to surpass pretty much every single personal high in every major offensive category.
Also you keep talking about Braun's contract. Castro is 24 now. Braun was 24 when he signed that contract. Castro is just now the age Braun was when Braun signed his deal.
quote:
and has not taken that big step they had hoped.
I would really like to know what you think the expectations for Castro were when they signed him.
You expect him to hit 25 HRs a year and drive in 100 runs? You expect equivalent to Troy Tulowitzki? Like what is it?
How has Braun not flatlined if you think Castro has? His power numbers were roughly the same every single year in the league with an outlier of 41 homeruns when he was juicing in 2012 and in 2010 he only hit 25 homeruns. In 2007 when he was a rookie, before he signed his contract he hit 34 HR and knocked in 97 runs and that was in 113 games. How can you call that taking some huge step forward? Honest question. How has Ryan Braun done anything differently than what the Brewers "thought they had" after his rookie season in 2007?
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:55 pm to Lester Earl
quote:What you're saying is it's the less extreme version of what the Astros did with Singleton.
They try and lock him in long term before he really blew up and would have to pay him more. It's beneficial for not only the team, but the player, as he get's long term security. I wasn't comparing Starlin Castro's game to Braun you dumbfrick
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:58 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Obviously castro growing and getting even better than he was when he signed that contract was everyones hope, but I agree and certainly don't think it's necessary, or was even expected that he'd need to improve to justify the salary he's getting.
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 1:59 pm
Posted on 7/7/14 at 1:58 pm to PurpleAndGold86
If they like him as their everyday SS for the next 5 years, his contract if fine.
Moving him is a different story. A team is tying itself for 5 years into a SS who's capable offensively in most, but not all, years, but who's not a top defender. I don't think you get 2 top 50s for that and 1 may be a stretch.
Moving him is a different story. A team is tying itself for 5 years into a SS who's capable offensively in most, but not all, years, but who's not a top defender. I don't think you get 2 top 50s for that and 1 may be a stretch.
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:04 pm to piggidyphish
quote:
Obviously castro growing and getting even better than he was when he signed that contract was everyones hope
Right and my argument is that how can anyone say he hasn't done exactly that? He is on pace for a career year offensively. He seems to be MUCH more focused if you watch him play. He doesn't have as many defensive lapses where he just loses focus. He's determined to continue getting better as is evidenced by him running up the tunnel and watching video of himself. He is doing things that he never did in the past. I think he has gotten SIGNIFICANTLY better in 2014 than in any year in his career and it is showing in his day to day game.
quote:
and certainly don't think it's necessary, or was even expected that he'd need to improve to justify the salary he's getting.
I agree with this too, which means the deal is even that much more favorable to the Cubs from their vantage point.
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:04 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
I would really like to know what you think the expectations for Castro were when they signed him.
You expect him to hit 25 HRs a year and drive in 100 runs? You expect equivalent to Troy Tulowitzki? Like what is it?
Just expected improvement. Defensively especially. He's a SS, so defense is paramount. Plate discipline was another problem.
quote:
How has Braun not flatlined if you think Castro has? His power numbers were roughly the same every single year in the league with an outlier of 41 homeruns when he was juicing in 2012 and in 2010 he only hit 25 homeruns. In 2007 when he was a rookie, before he signed his contract he hit 34 HR and knocked in 97 runs and that was in 113 games. How can you call that taking some huge step forward? Honest question. How has Ryan Braun done anything differently than what the Brewers "thought they had" after his rookie season in 2007?
Braun was an MVP caliber player from day 1, so he didn't exactly have to get any better. The X factor with his deal was the timing, after year 1, both sides took a risk on what he would become.
Was MIL happy with what he was doing? They gave him another extension in 2011, 5 years 105 mil. So obviously he was playing up to par. He's finished top 3 in MVP voting 3 times, winning it once.
What exactly aren't you understanding here?
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:08 pm to Overbrook
quote:
If they like him as their everyday SS for the next 5 years, his contract if fine. Moving him is a different story. A team is tying itself for 5 years into a SS who's capable offensively in most, but not all, years, but who's not a top defender. I don't think you get 2 top 50s for that and 1 may be a stretch.
Honestly, I don't think the Cubs have much interest in trading him. Certainly the Cubs are going to listen to any and every offer they get at this point in time. However, if he finishes 2014 in a Cubs uniform and continues to put up the same numbers he has in the first half of the season, why would the Cubs want to trade him? Favorable contract. Great offensive player. Very young player. Seems very motivated in 2014 in a year when the team is not great.
I think the Cubs like having all of these athletes. Not all of them will pan out, but even if they do, the good thing about having good athletes is that they can move around the field. Castro would be a pretty good fit at second base or even third base if you want to move Alcantara and/or Bryant to the OF. Cubs have a lot of options right now with the player they have. I don't think trading Castro is too high on their priority list though.
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:12 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
Right and my argument is that how can anyone say he hasn't done exactly that? He is on pace for a career year offensively.
His 2014 isn't that much better than his 2011. His HR number is way up. But his speed use is down (fewer steals*, fewer triples), and his OBP is down.
*His CS numbers were always too high so perhaps they just abandoned that aspect of his game.
He's a solid player and could improve even more. I just don't think teams will pay for the "could". Keep him - they'll get more for some of those prospects in trade anyway.
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 2:14 pm
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:13 pm to piggidyphish
quote:
, but I agree and certainly don't think it's necessary, or was even expected that he'd need to improve to justify the salary he's getting.
Just to be clear, I never said he must improve to justify his salary.
All I am saying is that they would have hoped he would've, like those other guys did. That's the point of being proactive. So they don't wait another season or 2, and he blows up, driving up the price.
At worst, he is what he is at the time of the contract, thus making his contract in line with his performance.
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:15 pm to Lester Earl
quote:
Braun was an MVP caliber player from day 1, so he didn't exactly have to get any better.
Right and Castro isn't an MVP. You made it very clear that you weren't comparing the two players' games when you so eloquently called me a dumbfrick.
You said Braun took a giant step forward? How? He was an MVP candidate from day one and has pretty much continued to play at that level.
Basically, you're comparison was absolutely terrible. You can't compare the two because Braun was an MVP candidate from day 1, yet you are saying he had some big step forward from there since the Brewers signed his extension in 2008. Of course the Brewers like what he's doing. He is a fricking MVP candidate, no one said he wasn't.
But how does that compare to Castro? You said it wasn't based on production. Improvement? Braun hasn't improved much because he was an MVP candidate from Day 1 and still plays that way. Castro is in the middle of having the best offensive year of his entire career this year. Yet you say Castro has flatlined.
What exactly aren't you able to comprehend about that?
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:16 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:And his worst defensive season by far.
He is on pace for a career year offensively.
You may hate LE, fine whatever; but your gripe with this Braun comparison is misguided. The idea with these early contracts it to try to lock in potential superstars early to ensure less than market value. Meeting contract expectations is OK, but it's not what FOs have in mind. He's still young & showing his best year offensively, but Braun "flatlining" was still a huge bargain whereas Castro isn't. Keep in mind this could all be moot if he progresses like they want, but it's not like what he has done is some ringing success up to this point.
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:19 pm to Louie T
Just so we're clear, Baseball Prospectus has Bryant (#2), Russell (#5), Baez (#7) and Alcantara (#33) in their mid-season Top 50 with the potential for Kyle Schwarber and Jorge Soler to move into the Top 50 in the offseason. That's 6 Top 50 prospects.
6 TOP 50 PROSPECTS!
Edited to correct: I can't even fricking add I'm so pumped. That's 6, not 5. What a hillbilly I am.
6 TOP 50 PROSPECTS!
Edited to correct: I can't even fricking add I'm so pumped. That's 6, not 5. What a hillbilly I am.
This post was edited on 7/7/14 at 2:24 pm
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:20 pm to The Sad Banana
quote:
5 TOP 50 PROSPECTS!
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:20 pm to Louie T
quote:
he idea with these early contracts it to try to lock in potential superstars early to ensure less than market value
which i think the cubs did. He's certainly right now better than the 5 or 6 million he's getting paid, no?
Posted on 7/7/14 at 2:20 pm to Overbrook
quote:
But his speed use is down (fewer steals*, fewer triples),
His speed use is down, but he is hitting cleanup now. He wasn't there in 2011. The situations called for him to steal more bases back in 2011 than they do now. Triples are an element of luck. A ball in the gap in SF and Colorado is a triple. At Wrigley, it's going to be a double, so that isn't alarming.
quote:
and his OBP is down.
.341 vs .332. Not too big a different. Also an element of location in the batting order.
quote:
He's a solid player and could improve even more
There is no doubt he can continue to improve. I'm not saying he is the best SS in baseball by any means. But he's 24. And it is very impressive to see the numbers he is putting up offensively when he is hitting in the cleanup spot behind Rizzo, a guy they usually walk to get to Castro. The pitch selection he got when he was hitting in the 2 hole and the leadoff spot is way different than it is now.
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