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Championship game could be Okla vs. Tx (LSU L to Ark)

Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:17 am
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2915 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:17 am
It could be real close between TX and UF.

Sagarin ratings are out and UF is only 4.

Also you can add games in Colley and with last nights games UF is 3 behind OK and TX.


UF will need large margin in human polls to overcome computers.

UF will need to be ahead of TX by around .167 in Human polls to overcome computers.

You can add last night's games and change LSU/Ark on colley and see: LINK

LSU's Loss to ARK Worth about 1/10 of a point in computers or .003 in BCS for UF/TX. Maybe the difference.

Mallveto may have ruined someone else's season too.

This post was edited on 12/7/08 at 9:18 am
Posted by Hat Tricks
Member since Oct 2003
28874 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:18 am to
no
Posted by Tiger Jr
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
34 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:18 am to
Posted by I Bleed Purple
Member since Apr 2008
241 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:18 am to
Been saying that for a few weeks now.....
Posted by JustSmokin
Member since Sep 2007
9162 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:18 am to
Impossible.
Posted by lsudiva2010
2014 Class B BBall Champions
Member since Jan 2008
19302 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:27 am to
there was one analysis that said another team's win last night, can't remember if it was Cincy or Hawaii, that would be a 60-40 chance Florida would be number 3 today. But I think the SEC championship win will help UF like it helped us last year, we shall see though. just says how f'd up the BCS is

and no i dont have a link, not sure what site 1 of the higher ups were using last night ..
Posted by mikelsu15
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2006
1590 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:33 am to
The "market" doesn't think so. First Dibz on UF are well over $200 for the BCS Championship. They are $30 for UT and $170 for OK.
Posted by GeauxTigers310
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2008
667 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:33 am to
So if Texas gets in and there has been all this whining from Mack Brown about how head to head should matter the most, what does Texas Tech have to say about that? I mean head to head should matter most right Mack Brown?
Posted by JustSmokin
Member since Sep 2007
9162 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:34 am to
I think some people's desire to see a messed up BCS helps them come up with such predictions. Not that I have a problem with the BCS falling on its face.

I just don't see any evidence that UF won't be in it. They'll jump over Texas from 4 to 2 in the coaches poll and from 2 to 1 in the harris poll. That is two thirds of the BCS formula. Computers won't make that up for Texas.
Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
56159 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:36 am to
I won't watch another Big 12 rematch..I have seen the first one (so it doesn't now?)

Terrible for CFB and ratings if this happened

UT got screwed, but they shouldn't screw UF on top of it..

Idiots
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2915 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:41 am to
quote:

That is two thirds of the BCS formula. Computers won't make that up for Texas.


I am just saying it is possible.

UF will need around a .167 margin over TX in Human polls to overcome computers and they will probably get that.

But remember the BCS is calculated on percentage of total votes not ranking in human polls.

It is more valuable to be ranked ahead by 1 spot in computer polls than human polls if the percentage of total votes is close.
This post was edited on 12/7/08 at 8:44 am
Posted by mikelsu15
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2006
1590 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:42 am to
quote:

all this whining from Mack Brown about how head to head should matter the most


Even Mack Brown doesn't always believe this. For an example, see 2006 after Texas A&M beat UT leaving both teams at 9-3. On his ballot, he had UT 7 spots ahead of A&M. What happened to head to head mattering most?
Posted by maddvector
from NOLA
Member since Jan 2006
390 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:44 am to
Dumb post!

Florida is going to get a huge jump in the polls due to them beating the #1 ranked team in the country.

It will be Florida vs Oklahoma in the Championship game.

The Horns didn't win their conference so they don't deserve to play in the championship game.....

Posted by threeputt
God's Country
Member since Sep 2008
24796 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:46 am to
quote:

The Horns didn't win their conference so they don't deserve to play in the championship game


Just curious why you believe this should matter? It does not matter in any other sport. Why College Football?
Posted by wilfont
Gulfport, MS on a Jet Ski
Member since Apr 2007
14860 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:48 am to
quote:

The Horns didn't win their conference so they don't deserve to play in the championship game

Completely agree. Selecting Texas, who didn't play for their conference championship, over the SEC champion is nonsensical. It could happen but it is not likely given what the SEC has accomplished in the last two NC games.
Posted by Uncle Stu
#AlbinoLivesMatter
Member since Aug 2004
33846 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:50 am to
quote:

Sagarin ratings are out and UF is only 4.
Show me where #2 Florida is ranked fourth.......
Posted by threeputt
God's Country
Member since Sep 2008
24796 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:50 am to
Again - Just curious why you believe this should matter? It does not matter in any other sport. Why College Football?
Posted by LSURep864
Moscow, Idaho
Member since Nov 2007
11238 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:51 am to
UF wins AP National Championship no matter. They'll at least be split titles.
Posted by Paul_LSU_passion
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Mar 2004
5469 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:51 am to
I think it's more of a case that yesterday, Florida beat the #1 team by 11 points while Texas was out of sight/out of mind. That's the difference maker.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
61992 posts
Posted on 12/7/08 at 8:53 am to
quote:

Show me where #2 Florida is ranked fourth.......



quote:

The ELO-CHESS will be utilized by the Bowl Championship Series(BCS).

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