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Why bitcoin is worse than a Madoff-style Ponzi scheme

Posted on 12/22/21 at 4:31 pm
Posted by Big_Sur
Member since Nov 2012
1115 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 4:31 pm
https://www.ft.com/content/83a14261-598d-4601-87fc-5dde528b33d0
or
https://archive.md/sQhtq

quote:

In its cashflow, bitcoin resembles a penny-stock pump-and-dump scheme more than a Ponzi scheme. In a pump-and-dump scheme, traders acquire basically worthless stock, talk it up and perhaps trade it among themselves at rising prices before unloading it on to those drawn in by the chatter and the price action. Like the pump-and-dump scheme, bitcoin taps into the pure desire for capital gains. Buyers cannot stand the sight of friends getting rich overnight: they suffer an acute fear of missing out (FOMO). In any case, bitcoin makes no promises and cannot end as a Ponzi scheme ends.

...

To conclude, an economic analysis of bitcoin must recognise its uniqueness in the history of manias. As an object of speculation, bitcoin is unprecedented in the degree to which there is no there there. This post-modern mania features big prices for entries on nobody’s spreadsheet. A zero-coupon perpetual has arrived not as a joke but as a trillion dollar asset. Unlike a Ponzi scheme, bitcoin cannot end in a run. 

In a crash, the holders of bitcoin will collectively have lost what they have paid the miners for their bitcoin. This sum may be not far from the sum originally invested with Madoff, after accounting for inflation. But bitcoin holders will have no one to pursue to recover this sum: it will simply have gone up in smoke, a social loss. The holders of bitcoin would then only wish it had been a Ponzi scheme.

This post was edited on 12/22/21 at 4:34 pm
Posted by Meauxjeaux
98836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
39899 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 4:34 pm to
Y'all blee dat?
Posted by Ping Pong
LSU and UVA alum
Member since Aug 2014
5349 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 4:35 pm to
that sounds like it was written by the Federal Reserve. They cant stand the thought of a competing fiat currency that they cant control.
Posted by Turftoe
Denver
Member since Mar 2016
3898 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 4:42 pm to
6 figure BTC in 2022!
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
52944 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:18 pm to
I hope Biden makes cringeto illegal

I’d vote for him if that’s what he promised

I mean I own cringeto myself but I’m tired of hearing about it
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
15476 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:21 pm to
Bitcoin also made hundreds, maybe thousands, of MILLIONAIRES!
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
52944 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:26 pm to
That’s nice. Those dorks will always have money for their rosacea medicine and asthma inhalers
Posted by 13SaintTiger
Isle of Capri
Member since Sep 2011
18315 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:27 pm to
What year is it
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:30 pm to
insert :okay, boomer: here

this title reads like a thread title from 2017
This post was edited on 12/23/21 at 11:00 am
Posted by tenderfoot tigah
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2004
10388 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 5:58 pm to
The real Ponzi scheme is the USD. They are printing the hell out of it. Only morons keep more than the bare minimum in banks.
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42559 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 6:00 pm to
Fundamentally, they are nothing alike.
Posted by NoMercy
Member since Feb 2007
2706 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 6:04 pm to
Let’s not forget shite like social security. Our entire government is a Ponzi scheme and when it goes what’s that money you feared losing in bitcoin going to be worth because of the fear of a Ponzi scheme. You have to have some risks in life to make real gains
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
27083 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 6:28 pm to
What makes gold worth something? For that matter, what makes the dollar worth something? Yeah, sure, there are some minor industrial uses for gold, but otherwise those two things have value because people say they have value and people believe they have value. As people lose the belief that they have value, they turn to other things that can carry value. That's bitcoin in this case.
Posted by KCRoyalBlue
Member since Nov 2020
981 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 6:56 pm to
My conversation with crypto owners ends when I ask them how much their coin/crypto is worth.....and they answer in X dollars.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 6:58 pm to
how much did your fiat bags deflate this year baw

Posted by Huey Lewis
BR
Member since Oct 2013
4652 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 7:09 pm to
I hope I'm completely wrong about this because I have alot of friends and family with money in bitcoin, but I do suspect bitcoin will collapse eventually.


ETA:

As far as how or when or why, it's impossible to say. If it does happen, everybody will be Captain Hindsight'ing it just like every other market collapse ever.
This post was edited on 12/22/21 at 7:12 pm
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
13622 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 8:24 pm to
Seems like a very drastic decline in Bitcoin gains based on that chart. Would next year’s expectations be in the 20-50% range?
Posted by Shankopotomus
Social Distanced
Member since Feb 2009
21057 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 8:47 pm to
How would you like them to answer?

I can tell you how much that dollar in your pocket is in satoshis, if you’d like
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80766 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 9:57 pm to
When does the Ponzi scheme collapse? If you think it is one, it can't go on forever right? 12 years running now, when does it all go to zero?


$48,500 at the time of posting for easy reference.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80766 posts
Posted on 12/22/21 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

My conversation with crypto owners ends when I ask them how much their coin/crypto is worth.....and they answer in X dollars.

You obviously aren't a crypto person so why would those people tell you their 2 bitcoin are worth 2 bitcoin when you associate with dollars? If dollars are the main form of valuing things where you live, it makes sense for crypto to be valued in dollars.
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