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re: What do you expect the market to do the next 4 years?
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:50 am to Zachary
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:50 am to Zachary
quote:I expect it to go up, then down, then up, then down, then up, then down and then up.
What do you expect the market to do the next 4 years?
But it might be the other way around...
0
Posted on 11/18/24 at 12:16 pm to thatguy777
quote:Why is a crash "inevitable" in this construct? If the monthly payment works, then it works.
e then the inevitable crash
Posted on 11/18/24 at 12:16 pm to kaaj24
quote:Really?
If government spending gets efficient I’m not holding my breath but that would be a huge boost to markets.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 12:35 pm to Big Scrub TX
Less bureaucracy, fewer taxes needed to fund government, more money in people pockets to spend and invest.
Government can reallocate funds to meaningful programs instead of bridge to nowhere.
Yes, I believe government efficiency would increase quality of life and investment outlook
Government can reallocate funds to meaningful programs instead of bridge to nowhere.
Yes, I believe government efficiency would increase quality of life and investment outlook
Posted on 11/18/24 at 12:59 pm to kaaj24
quote:Maybe. Government spending might also be increasing demand. In any event, the actual savings can't possibly be big enough to actually make a dent - can they? Biggest hope I have is for more rational regs.
Less bureaucracy, fewer taxes needed to fund government, more money in people pockets to spend and invest.
Government can reallocate funds to meaningful programs instead of bridge to nowhere.
Yes, I believe government efficiency would increase quality of life and investment outlook
Discretionary spending is only like 25% of the budget. Are they seriously going to be able to recommend plausible changes to non-discretionary spending?
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 11/18/24 at 3:00 pm to GeauxTigers777
Think you all misunderstood me... I think volatility is good. I think it will go up. I think it will give us great opportunities to buy. Nothing disingenuous about this at all. And I'd bet you $20 it falls 35% in the next 4 years at some point.
When the first page of MT has 10 threads about selling everything because this is the end, that's my trigger for buying.
When the first page of MT has 10 threads about selling everything because this is the end, that's my trigger for buying.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 3:15 pm to Suntiger
March 2020... about the same time Covid arrived to the US.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 3:39 pm to Big Scrub TX
It’s an uphill battle but I’m a huge Musk fan so I’m hopeful he can shake some shite up.
However, I’m not modeling significant government efficiency.
However, I’m not modeling significant government efficiency.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:23 pm to Zachary
Up only priced in usd
Even to slightly down priced in gold
Down only priced in btc
Even to slightly down priced in gold
Down only priced in btc
Posted on 11/18/24 at 9:39 pm to Zachary
15% annualized returns.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 10:26 pm to go ta hell ole miss
quote:
15% annualized returns.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:08 am to Double Oh
I doubted you knew it went up under Biden. You passed the test. I am guessing you had to look it up.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:36 am to KWL85
quote:
I doubted you knew it went up under Biden. You passed the test. I am guessing you had to look it up.
Nope i knew homie.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 3:01 pm to Dandaman
I
I agree. I am heavy in QQQ
quote:
I think technology is going to make companies more profitable. Market will run hard for 10 years.
I agree. I am heavy in QQQ
Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:00 pm to Suntiger
What happened on Jan 2, 2019? I wasn’t investing back then and ignorantly have no idea.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:10 pm to kaaj24
quote:
If government spending gets efficient I’m not holding my breath but that would be a huge boost to markets.
Would likely be a boost eventually, but a lot of money is made on government inefficiency in the short term. If they crack down hard I’d bet on down markets more than up early.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 8:11 pm to anc
I also think QQQ outperformance has its days numbered. The last time they outperformed this much they missed an entire decade of growth.
I don’t think it’s that dire, but I’d be equal weight at best.
I don’t think it’s that dire, but I’d be equal weight at best.
Posted on 11/19/24 at 9:50 pm to slackster
quote:Can you flesh this out with some numbers?
Would likely be a boost eventually, but a lot of money is made on government inefficiency in the short term. If they crack down hard I’d bet on down markets more than up early.
I saw yesterday that the entire federal payroll is $110B. So let's say they cut 30% of that (they won't). That's not very much. How much ancillary spending do you think is actually tied to headcount? I would guess not much. I'm just not sure what all is supposed to be cut. Discretionary spending just isn't that much (relatively).
Do you think they are going to do anything with non-discretionary spending? Because THAT'S where the juice is. But if so, what?
Posted on 11/20/24 at 3:51 pm to KWL85
quote:
doubted you knew it went up under Biden. You passed the test. I am guessing you had to look it up.
Do you have any investments in the market?
shite man. My 401k had a 26.7% return just in the last year. Hard to miss that
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