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Posted on 4/2/25 at 1:15 pm to
Posted by Hitman67
Lumberton, TX
Member since Jul 2024
164 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

If you have the means, why would you go into complete "defense" and not take additional risk with a portion of your investments if you have enough cash to weather a 10 year downturned market?


Yes, why I don't understand the defensive strategy at all. It's the future and you never know. If you have 5 million your options are endless, but even a 3 million you could still structure with a few options. If you are dealing with less than 2 million that would be much harder to do. My plan (we will see) is to take a higher portion of my offensive plays and much less of my defensive plays and then have enough cash on hand to hold me between the gaps. If you are lucky enough to retire in an up cycle and have a couple of years to get ahead, you would be really in good shape no matter what happened. Well, if it gets really bad, you would still be better off than probably 95% of the population.
This post was edited on 4/2/25 at 1:16 pm
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
13547 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 3:47 pm to
Estimate your anticipated annual living expenses in retirement. Add 20%. This is X.

Estimate your annual SS benefit as a household. This is Y

X-Y*20, 25 if you want to be extra safe.
Posted by CharlesUFarley
Daphne, AL
Member since Jan 2022
713 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 5:44 pm to
quote:

Do financial planners exaggerate to an alarming extent the amount of money needed to retire? And don’t they have an incentive to do so?


I think they probably exaggerate the risks, to an extent, to try to keep their clients interested. Keep in mind, the average poster on this board is probably way more financially competent than their typical client.
This post was edited on 4/2/25 at 5:55 pm
Posted by nola tiger lsu
Member since Nov 2007
6187 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

6 million.


Comical, Ill do it with half that, live in lower cost of living country and be done with work by 50.
Posted by xBirdx
Member since Sep 2018
1082 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 10:47 pm to
I’m thinking $1.5 million in 401k. When you retire that should be in pretty conservative offering where you are making about 4% guaranteed….

That’s $60k a year.. say $50k accounting for taxes…

That’s $4,100 per month, plus $2400 soc security.

$6500/mth

Wife will have small pension from school- let’s just say it covers medical insurance and that’s it.

I figure ill have about $200k cash ($150k guaranteed when my mom passes- she’s 65 and I got about 23 years left before retirement- hopefully she’ll hang on longer but I’m a realist)

So $6500 mth after health care and paid off house. Cash for emergencies .

The cash will generate $6kish interest- that’s a good vacation every year.

I think that’ll be ok
Posted by PrettyLights
Member since Oct 2014
1318 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 10:52 pm to
About $20k per month in 25 years haha
This post was edited on 4/2/25 at 10:53 pm
Posted by DeathValley85
Member since May 2011
17960 posts
Posted on 4/2/25 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

Uh, you won’t be destitute with $6 million


I was joking and it’s strange a few people didn’t realize it

$6M is easily enough imo, especially if your house is paid off
Posted by Reagan80
Earth
Member since Feb 2023
621 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 9:29 am to
Whatever you have won’t be enough.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
58927 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 9:42 am to
Thanks for that link. I ran it with two or three different scenarios and barring an absolute market disaster, I should be ok if nothing screws up in the next three years. I have a 100% success rate of getting to 85 with money left over in the worst case, or in the 50% case my capital completely whole plus. That was with 2k per month more than my projections, to have for travel, leisure or big expenses that may arise over the years.
Posted by kc8876
Member since May 2012
3417 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

Keep in mind, the average poster on this board is probably way more financially competent than their typical client.


Lol, that’s a good one
Posted by Bob Sacamano 89
Member since Apr 2023
157 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 4:05 pm to
That’s what I’m saying.
5% of 1000000 is 50k
3 mill = 150k
Planning to have no notes at that time should put you more than comfortable.
However, many people live a lot higher on the hog than I.
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
37476 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

That’s $60k a year.. say $50k accounting for taxes…


Do your research. Depending on what state you retire to your tax obligation is quite a bit less based on the numbers you provided.
Posted by xBirdx
Member since Sep 2018
1082 posts
Posted on 4/3/25 at 9:52 pm to
Even better!

Was being a bit conservative …
Posted by La Place Mike
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
30158 posts
Posted on 4/4/25 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Yeah most say 10 million but everyone knows you can get by with 6 million.




That's a joke, right?
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