- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Posted on 2/27/19 at 10:15 am to wutangfinancial
quote:It reminds me back when Teddy Kennedy would ask a question of Alan Greenspan that had been written for him by a staffer and then when Greenspan would ask for a point of clarification regarding the question, Kennedy would have to turn around and ask a staffer what Greenspan's question meant.
Maxine Waters talking Fed balance sheet
I sometimes felt Greenspan did it just to show everyone that Kennedy didn't have a clue what Kennedy's own question meant.
Posted on 2/27/19 at 10:21 am to LSURussian
Politicians are just so bad at these Fed hearings. They try and insert their virtue signaling and they just sound like morons. Why would Congress have the ability to question anybody about finances when they can't get within $1 trillion of balancing a budget??
Posted on 2/27/19 at 11:29 am to LSURussian
quote:
I sometimes felt Greenspan did it just to show everyone that Kennedy didn't have a clue what Kennedy's own question meant.
No disagreeing that a lot of politicians can be in over their head on subjects but Greenspan was known for his use of fed speak jargon.
Posted on 3/4/19 at 9:28 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:He'd just say we misunderstood what he meant and he's always said 2900 will be the top.
Can we get Hussss back in here to say 2800 is now when we reach the top of the roller coaster?
It's at 2814 as I post this.
Posted on 3/4/19 at 9:43 am to LSURussian
You know he's going to jump right back in this conversation the second the market drops lol
Posted on 3/4/19 at 10:54 am to wutangfinancial
quote:The S&P is now at 2780 so he'll be here soon....
You know he's going to jump right back in this conversation the second the market drops lol
Posted on 3/4/19 at 2:27 pm to LSURussian
quote:
The S&P is now at 2780 so he'll be here soon....
Well, we just had the best 2 month run in over a year. You know some folks are going to take profits after last year, baw.
Emotion is the mechanism by which the patient take from the impatient in the stock market.
Posted on 3/5/19 at 10:52 am to LSURussian
Not surprising, most politicians are just talking heads fronting issues they don't know much about. Staffers are the shadow behind each rep. and senator in our government
Posted on 3/7/19 at 10:52 pm to crazyLSUstudent
Asian markets down big in early trading there on Friday morning. I can’t find any significant news to justify the decline.
Tokyo down 2%+. Shanghai down 3%. Hang Seng down 1.6%.
US futures down a little now.
Tokyo down 2%+. Shanghai down 3%. Hang Seng down 1.6%.
US futures down a little now.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 6:54 am to LSURussian
It’s weird, the narratives just change.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 7:49 am to LSUtoOmaha
Pretty ugly jobs report this morning but otherwise good economic data and positive revisions for previous months.
Posted on 3/8/19 at 8:28 am to Shepherd88
The reason for China's selloff on Friday (down -4.4%) is a huge decline in their exports in February.
Their February trade surplus was only $4.1 billion when the forecast was for a surplus of $26.4 billion.
Their February trade surplus was only $4.1 billion when the forecast was for a surplus of $26.4 billion.
Posted on 3/9/19 at 11:48 am to LSUtoOmaha
I look at it more as groups of investors bouncing back and forth between two competing narratives, which is what you would expect to happen in transition periods between bull and bear markets. (It's crazy how the market recovered at the end of trading yesterday and nearly reached its Thursday close.)
The consensus view for 2019 had been that, yes, Chinese real estate was tanking and Chinese trade had cratered for Korea, Japan, etc. for the end of 2018, but that the huge PBoC stimulus put into the system had effectively turned the tide and saved the day, and Chinese stocks were poised to climb upward for the rest of the year.
But then imports in Feb 2019 fell 20.7% (vs. -4.8% expected), and imports in Feb 2019 fell 5.2% (vs. -1.4% expected) ( LINK). That's a huge divergence from consensus expectations.
There's also a consensus view that bad Dec 2018 retail sales data in the U.S. (released a few weeks ago) was a fluke, and (according to Kudlow) that the Feb 2018 job growth report was also a fluke. The consensus view is also that corporate earnings will be bad for the 1Q and mediocre for the 2Q, but will return to its normal growth trajectory in 3Q and 4Q. We'll see.
It'll be really interesting to see how the market reacts to guidance on projected corporate earnings for the 3Q and 4Q that will come out from 1Q reporting a couple of months from now.
Anyway, tomorrow will mark the 10-year anniversary of the famous Haines Bottom: " 'Haines Bottom': Remembering a legendary CNBC call 10 years later."
He called it at 9:47am ET on Tuesday, 3/10/2009. The previous day's close would be the lowest close of the bear cycle (although the famous '666' intraday low had occurred on Friday, 3/6/2009). Helluva call.
I hope to make a similar call sometime in 2020 or so. So there are definitely good days ahead. In the meantime though...
The consensus view for 2019 had been that, yes, Chinese real estate was tanking and Chinese trade had cratered for Korea, Japan, etc. for the end of 2018, but that the huge PBoC stimulus put into the system had effectively turned the tide and saved the day, and Chinese stocks were poised to climb upward for the rest of the year.
But then imports in Feb 2019 fell 20.7% (vs. -4.8% expected), and imports in Feb 2019 fell 5.2% (vs. -1.4% expected) ( LINK). That's a huge divergence from consensus expectations.
There's also a consensus view that bad Dec 2018 retail sales data in the U.S. (released a few weeks ago) was a fluke, and (according to Kudlow) that the Feb 2018 job growth report was also a fluke. The consensus view is also that corporate earnings will be bad for the 1Q and mediocre for the 2Q, but will return to its normal growth trajectory in 3Q and 4Q. We'll see.
It'll be really interesting to see how the market reacts to guidance on projected corporate earnings for the 3Q and 4Q that will come out from 1Q reporting a couple of months from now.
Anyway, tomorrow will mark the 10-year anniversary of the famous Haines Bottom: " 'Haines Bottom': Remembering a legendary CNBC call 10 years later."
He called it at 9:47am ET on Tuesday, 3/10/2009. The previous day's close would be the lowest close of the bear cycle (although the famous '666' intraday low had occurred on Friday, 3/6/2009). Helluva call.
I hope to make a similar call sometime in 2020 or so. So there are definitely good days ahead. In the meantime though...
Posted on 3/9/19 at 12:09 pm to Doc Fenton
Last week was also an interesting week for TSLA, GE, and DB, three of the stocks outside of FAANG that are most emblematic of the current environment.
Tesla, I don't even want to get into. What a shitshow.
GE came out with this on Tuesday: " GE shares tumble as CEO Culp says cash flow will be negative in 2019, power unit to struggle more."
And it appears that it was mostly Deutsche Bank who successfully lobbied Draghi to announce TLTRO III on Thursday: " European stocks close lower after ECB trims growth forecast."
Fun times.
Tesla, I don't even want to get into. What a shitshow.
GE came out with this on Tuesday: " GE shares tumble as CEO Culp says cash flow will be negative in 2019, power unit to struggle more."
And it appears that it was mostly Deutsche Bank who successfully lobbied Draghi to announce TLTRO III on Thursday: " European stocks close lower after ECB trims growth forecast."
Fun times.
Posted on 3/10/19 at 12:16 pm to Doc Fenton
BA is going to be fun tomorrow. Could be a trigger if it brings down the whole dow enough.
Posted on 3/10/19 at 12:50 pm to Pendulum
I don't know much about it, but I just looked through the recent stock history since Fall 2016, and man, that's crazy. [EDIT: But I just now figured out that you were probably referring to this crash in Ethiopia from a few hours ago.]
In any case, that run-up from 292.47 on 12/26/18 to 446.01 on 3/1/19 (+52.50% in 65 days) was definitely amazing.
In any case, that run-up from 292.47 on 12/26/18 to 446.01 on 3/1/19 (+52.50% in 65 days) was definitely amazing.
This post was edited on 3/10/19 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 3/10/19 at 2:03 pm to Doc Fenton
The runup was unreal, I went in at 315 thinking it was just too low, expecting to get back to the 390 range it was at in Oct, but it overshot it bigtime. Now they have 2 brand new 737 supermaxes go down in similar circumstances within the span of 6 months, with a huge backlog of orders for the same model. There's going to be a ton of precautionary profit taking tomorrow.
Posted on 3/10/19 at 6:45 pm to Qwertyburd
ForexLive at 7:34pm ET: " China asks domestic airlines to ground Boeing 737 MAX"
Buckle up.
quote:
Caijing report
Boeing is going to face some pressure for a full-scale grounding until some details of the Ethiopian Air crash are revealed.
There are only 350 of the planes in operation and two have crashed in the past 8 months.
Buckle up.
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News