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Message
Stock Market Sentiment drops to lower levels than seen during the Dot Com Bubble/GFC
Posted on 3/27/25 at 9:32 am
Posted on 3/27/25 at 9:32 am
Posted on 3/27/25 at 9:35 am to The Scofflaw
Think we trade sideways or down as long as the administration keeps injecting uncertainty.
It is clear that tariffs will be a massive headwind in the near term, but the flip flopping is killing the market
It is clear that tariffs will be a massive headwind in the near term, but the flip flopping is killing the market
Posted on 3/27/25 at 9:42 am to UltimaParadox
quote:
It is clear that tariffs will be a massive headwind in the near term, but the flip flopping is killing the market

Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:02 am to The Scofflaw
If thats true then that is because people love to freak out.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:06 am to UltimaParadox
quote:a little melty imo imho fwiw
as the administration keeps injecting uncertainty.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:08 am to The Scofflaw
98, 2010 and 2016 appear to be just as low but market kept ripping.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:23 am to Suntiger
quote:Yes, look at the monthly chart and we're closer to 98 today than to a recession. People going short here and not going to expect this melt up that is about to happen.
98
Posted on 3/27/25 at 3:27 pm to The Scofflaw
Good, that means its time to buy, that’s how this usually plays out. All the big investors know this. Warren Buffett says to buy when others are fearful and sell when others are greedy.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 3:35 pm to Skippy1013
Making trades next week. Happy to see the market down today. I hope it's down tomorrow.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 6:17 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:
Think we trade sideways or down as long as the administration keeps injecting uncertainty.
It is clear that tariffs will be a massive headwind in the near term, but the flip flopping is killing the market
Like it or not, quantitative signals all support this statement. The past 2 weeks have been pure uncertainty. Lowest volume days in a long long time. Volume = liquidity. Levels point to likely sideways or down another 20%. We needed to blow past 575 on the S&P to exit correction. The breakout failed and we're still hovering in uncertainty.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 8:39 pm to The Scofflaw
Another day another melt on the money board.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 8:42 pm to TigersHuskers
News cycles are more extreme now.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 8:44 pm to UltimaParadox
quote:The direction seems clear now. I haven’t seen much flip flopping recently.
It is clear that tariffs will be a massive headwind in the near term, but the flip flopping is killing the market
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:02 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
SDVTiger
Don’t mind SDV he’s still grappling with the 10y over 3.7%
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:03 pm to beaverfever
quote:
The direction seems clear now. I haven’t seen much flip flopping recently.
You’re not paying attention then. This administration has done what it says it will do about 50% of the time since February 2025.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:11 pm to slackster
You might be paying too much attention. Tariffs are here to stay. Maybe he’ll let up a bit in a couple spots but in general we need to get used to them.
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:16 pm to The Scofflaw
SP down -3.2% ytd.
Got a bit more to go.
Got a bit more to go.
This post was edited on 3/27/25 at 10:17 pm
Posted on 3/27/25 at 10:20 pm to lsu xman
Probably, the S&P was way too high.
Posted on 3/28/25 at 7:46 am to beaverfever
quote:
You might be paying too much attention. Tariffs are here to stay. Maybe he’ll let up a bit in a couple spots but in general we need to get used to them.
While tariffs certainly appear here to stay, as a categorical, who and what gets which tariffs at which rates appears to be, and is actively being advertised as, in flux. Investors tend to get bearish if they think a tailwind can turn into a headwind overnight, and vice versa.
Posted on 3/28/25 at 8:22 am to Joshjrn
quote:
While tariffs certainly appear here to stay, as a categorical, who and what gets which tariffs at which rates appears to be, and is actively being advertised as, in flux.
I’m old enough to remember being told these tariffs were just a negotiation tactic.
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