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Refinancing question - currently at 7.25 30 fixed and NBKC just quoted me 5.6 no points

Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:19 pm
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
87166 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:19 pm
closing costs coming out to a little over 2k; i think i'm going to do it; they are highly rated on the money nerd sites, but i thought i'd get y'alls opinion before i locked anything in.

should be saving roughly $300/mo over current note so i'm wondering if there's any risk to going down this path?

i know there may be some movement after the rate changes but no guarantee; this seems like a nice little dip in the rates right now.
Posted by BHTiger
Charleston
Member since Dec 2017
7121 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:28 pm to
A few more rate cuts getting into the 4s for mortgages would save $125 more? Maybe by 1st quarter of 2025. Not sure how long that would take, but 5.6 seems solid right now.
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
87166 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:38 pm to
here's the actual proposal (personal info redacted) and they are going to waive the appraisal since we just purchased in january so the final closing costs should be around $2,250.

anything sketchy stand out on this? anything i should ask for?

Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87814 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:52 pm to
Wait till after Weds


No impound account or do you waive it?
This post was edited on 9/16/24 at 1:53 pm
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
87166 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

No impound account or do you waive it?


not listed. its a wash i think since i'll be getting a check cut from my current escrow to cover the balance needed for the new one.

i'll pay that out of pocket and pay myself with the refund from my existing one rather than roll that in.

Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70841 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 1:56 pm to
Feel like there's more rate cuts to come this year even though mortgage rates have clearly already priced that in somewhat it seems.

7.25 to 5.6 is a healthy drop though, certainly worth doing, the question is by February maybe if you can do 4.8%-4.9%..or even low 5s would you regret the 5.6% now?
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
87166 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

7.25 to 5.6 is a healthy drop though, certainly worth doing, the question is by February maybe if you can do 4.8%-4.9%..or even low 5s would you regret the 5.6% now?


i mean; if kamala is install...err..wins..do you see the fed still amenable to cuts? i am gambling a bit on this but a bird in the hand...

i just dont feel confident of ANYTHING going on in the world right now; least of which are what are governments going to do with interest rates.

i kind of hope it will hit the high 3s at some point (maybe never) for another move but yes, i'm taking the money & running right now
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70841 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 2:21 pm to
It doesnt matter who is elected president, its not going to change the rate cuts upcoming at all. Some will be before the new person ever even takes office.

Dont know why so many people relate the president so much to how the economy is doing, they have very little impact typically speaking. About the most impact I've seen ever was doing covid and thats a pretty big one off.

I cant say if we will or wont ever see 3.something % rates again but keep in mind those were HISTORICALLY low rates. Even if we got back to 4-5% range that would be great and its headed that direction. Rates have been falling pretty consistently over the summer months:
LINK
This post was edited on 9/16/24 at 2:24 pm
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
55648 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

It doesnt matter who is elected president, its not going to change the rate cuts upcoming at all. Some will be before the new person ever even takes office.


This. At the very least, nothing on the election front is changing that we will get at least a cut this week (which will make things a bit better for buyers over the coming weeks).
Posted by BHTiger
Charleston
Member since Dec 2017
7121 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 6:44 pm to
No looks pretty typical
Posted by npt817
Prairieville, LA
Member since Sep 2010
1610 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 9:07 pm to
A little more patience and you can be in the 4’s
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
87166 posts
Posted on 9/16/24 at 9:45 pm to
You honestly think so? I'm not in any hurry. Just don't want them to jump up on me
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
922 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 6:17 am to
I'm early retired a few years back at 62 with no worries. I got married and new house in 1998. 30 yrs at 7.5%. I thought I had stuck my neck in the noose. Here's my two cents.
Do it, and do it now. See if you can roll that 3K into the note. Nothing seems out of the ordinary, it does cost money to do anything. Yes, the interest rates may go down and you can keep paying that 300/mo waiting on that to happen, if it even does.

I refinanced that note in my situation about 4 years later at about 5.5%, something like that. Then did the final refinance at around 4% and paid off the house within about 17 years.
The more important question I'd have is,what are you going to do with that extra 300 bucks/mo? We don't know your finances or financial discipline.

my suggestion, and I know you didn't ask, but I'm on a roll here,
1) Build 6 months of expenses in a cash back-up incase you lose your job..
2) Pay off highest interest loan, credit card, whatever debt.
3) if possible max out your 401k and contribute to non-working spouse IRA or roth.
4) all above handled, then pay extra on the loan. FYI, Rule of thumb...If you made one extra principle payment each year, you would pay off that 30 year note in 23 years.

interest rates may come down again as it did with my situation. If you can get another 1.25 or better refinance in a year or two or when those numbers hit., Do it again if possible, and then that'll probably be as low as you can get. Takes at least 1% to make it worth the refinancing cost and reset of loan duration. Remember you reset the clock when you refinance.
Good luck.

Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
87166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 6:41 am to
Thank you! Yes, I don't feel like paying an extra $300 mo for no good reason. Our previous house was paid off but then we found our dream home at the worst time for interest rates and 2/3 of the current mortgage was strictly used to fund renovations. This was built in 1978 and needed a makeover.
This post was edited on 9/17/24 at 6:42 am
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22485 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:27 am to
quote:


A little more patience and you can be in the 4’s


Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
87814 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:36 am to
Whats funny about that?
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
30037 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 8:42 am to
What would upset you more:

1. You refi and rates subsequently go down another .5%
2. You hold off on the refi and rates go back up .5%

Understand that you're gambling either way, so just pick the one that would sting less. If they will sting equally, then flip a coin.
Posted by TigerFanatic1
Monroe, LA
Member since Aug 2007
2115 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:32 am to
I just received the same rate as CAD drom nbkc. Mutual of Omaha was about .12 lower.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
22485 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 11:50 am to
quote:


Whats funny about that?


4% is not realistic. It may happen, IDK. But historically 4% is not realistic to expect, hell 5% is not really realistic.

Here's reality that I've realized as I've gotten a little older. 4% is barely enough yield for private equity to make money on. So 4% is just not realistic. 5% is really closer to the break even point, 6% is good, and 7% plus is where people start to get really happy and diversify out of equities and into bonds.

If we get back to 4% somehow everyone should jump on it.
Posted by CAD703X
Liberty Island
Member since Jul 2008
87166 posts
Posted on 9/17/24 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

4% is not realistic. It may happen, IDK. But historically 4% is not realistic to expect, hell 5% is not really realistic.


to be fair, i think the other posters were saying it could dip to just below 5..the upper 4s; not 4.0.

i know nothing about this stuff so i come here asking if i'm making a mistake. i like the 5.6 rate..but if it can potentially go a few .x lower, i can be patient. no hurry; just don't want to treat this like i do stocks...always sell on the dips
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