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Oil prices and gas prices

Posted on 5/24/22 at 11:14 am
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4951 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 11:14 am
Can someone explain why gas prices have increased relative to oil prices historically? Even as we have added ethanol to the mix..

We’ve been to $130/bbl oil before but gas was not $5/gallon then..
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
9102 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:09 pm to


ETA: I really don’t know the answer.. but I would presume all the other input costs for the distribution side. Payroll, storage, services.. all of those items have gone up significantly since the early 2000s.
This post was edited on 5/24/22 at 12:11 pm
Posted by Hammond Tiger Fan
Hammond
Member since Oct 2007
16429 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

We’ve been to $130/bbl oil before but gas was not $5/gallon then..



I would like to know the answer to this as well. Historically, the talking heads correlated high gas prices to high oil prices. Like you said, now we've reached pricing levels never seen before and the price of oil doesn't correlate to that.
Posted by BadatBourre
Member since Jan 2019
1408 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:26 pm to
Incorrect. We haven't come close to the highest, which was $185 a barrel back in 2008.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
62056 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:26 pm to
I would assume more taxes have been added in most states as well.
Posted by BadatBourre
Member since Jan 2019
1408 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:32 pm to
From 2011 to 2014, gas prices were averaging $3.40 - to 3.70 a gallon with oil around $120 a barrel. Today, our is around $110 a barrel, but our prices are averaging $4.23. We also have "8%" inflation today, along with higher taxes on fuel in most states. It's not as if these oil companies are raising prices artificially. If so, why didn't they do it when oil was $15 a barrel?
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
21077 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:40 pm to
Taxes and reduced refining capacity. Basically government.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38458 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:42 pm to
Wait until China comes out of lockdown. Would not be surprised to see it jump another 30%.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
60573 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:44 pm to
Futures (fed by Biden's win after running partially on being anti-fossil fuel and then by proving it with permits/lease freezes and then fed again by the promises from world communities to black-ball Russian oil) combined with demand quickly outpacing both global and domestic production (which are both below pre-COVID levels) and continued high inflation?

Just a guess.
This post was edited on 5/24/22 at 12:48 pm
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
28297 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:45 pm to
Natural gas prices are likely double over that period. Just one component similar to wages, capital costs, etc that have increased that all add up reflecting higher gasoline costs even if you kept the raw oil price flat.
Posted by absolute692
US of A, MFer
Member since Feb 2007
4004 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:48 pm to
I think there are lots of reasons involved, but what it boils down to is its costing more to refine the oil.

Lots of US Refineries were built with heavy crude oil in mind. So we would import lots of heavy oil from overseas. They are typically more profitable. Refining domestic light crude oil is actually more expensive than refining imported heavy crude.

ETA: Since 1950, the US has always imported more oil than exported. Only two years that wasn't the case, 2020 and 2021.
This post was edited on 5/24/22 at 1:01 pm
Posted by michael corleone
baton rouge
Member since Jun 2005
6713 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 12:56 pm to
What’s the cost today to produce that 130$ Barrel of oil? What’s the cost today to produce that gallon of gasoline or diesel? Compare those to the 2008 cost of production and you have your answer.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4951 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 1:39 pm to
I would think a lot of the cost to produce that oil has decreased due to improvement in fracking and technology.

Sure some things have increased but I’d like to see what those break even points have done myself over that time frame. I’d bet it’s gone down.
Posted by Guntoter1
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2020
1877 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 2:05 pm to
Mr T. What’s your prediction for the rest of Mr Biden’s term.

PAIN !
Posted by absolute692
US of A, MFer
Member since Feb 2007
4004 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

improvement in fracking and technology.


Fracking just increases the amount of oil coming out the ground. Having 100MM bbls versus 90MM bbls of oil coming out a reservoir isn't impacting the prices at the pump.
Posted by Scatback1
Denham
Member since Dec 2021
750 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 2:57 pm to
I would assume more taxes have been added in most states as well.


Link?


State and Federal taxes have always been figured as cents per gallon, not by % of the sale. LA is 20.01 Cents per gallon, and is fairly low. Federal tax per gallon is 18.3 cents per gallon, regardless of the price per gallon.

So right now, at 4.15 a gallon, you are still only paying $ 0.38 tax, State and Federal on a gallon, the same as you did at 2.00 a gallon.
This post was edited on 5/24/22 at 5:32 pm
Posted by Scatback1
Denham
Member since Dec 2021
750 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 3:11 pm to
2 good question to start with might be..

Who owns the oil once it once it is pumped out of the ground?

Why does a gallon cost roughly the same in Louisiana as it does in Wisconsin, a state that has little to no oil/refining industry?
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