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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:05 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25601 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 9:05 pm to
If he’s right, this is key.
quote:

AI Capex will still continue because:
1. If American Labs stop training capex, then Chinese models will also stop improving. AI progress will have stopped. American companies have never given up just because Chinese are trying to copy them.
2. Chinese model still consume alot of compute/GPUs for inference. Inference demand will outstrip training demand anyways.
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Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
11337 posts
Posted on 7/16/26 at 10:29 pm to
“Deepseek 2.0?”
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
4279 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 7:59 am to
Was the ViX foretelling this?
Posted by NaturalBeam
Member since Sep 2007
15027 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:28 am to
It’s been awhile since we’ve seen Paul. Will he make a thread appearance today?
Posted by BCvol
Member since Jan 2022
580 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:36 am to
hopefully, he always seems to usher in a nice bounce.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25601 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:40 am to
Prediction:
I still have a covered call open for January at $410 strike.

At some point over the next 3-4 months I will be pissed that I didn’t buy it back today.
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
4279 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:45 am to
Buy it back sir
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12452 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 8:59 am to
quote:

I still have a covered call open for January at $410 strike.


LOL I have 5 January 28 at same strike. I had to roll Jan 27 at 230 when it did they massive run.

I am trying to save myself from my self and keep them
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
4279 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:28 am to
This is usually when i buy then we retrace the lows and go lower. Making myself not buy
Posted by TigerDoug
Lees Summit
Member since Mar 2017
871 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:32 am to
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
4279 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:34 am to
Paul is back and downvoting
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12452 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:43 am to
Gavin Baker Kimi Discussion

Another opinion to add to what BB posted last night from Liu et al.

This is a pretty reputable guy so I appreciate the perspective
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12452 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 9:50 am to
quote:


LINK - NBIS raises 775 million in first secured debt financing to accelerate global buildout


This is great news and shows the start of the flywheel. Using existing contracts to secure the buildout, not to meet the contract - they are a step ahead.

This, the cash balance, the marketable investments, the deal flow - any other environment and this would be the darling right now.

Edit to add: SOFR plus 2.5% - I wil take that all day long.
This post was edited on 7/17/26 at 9:53 am
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
11337 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 10:51 am to
quote:

This is usually when i buy then we retrace the lows and go lower. Making myself not buy

Same here.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25601 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Buy it back sir

No sir! This is the sacrifice that I'm making for you all!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25601 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 1:02 pm to
I shamefully bought two 0DTE $170 strike at 2.05 this morning.

My sell order of 5.10 went through when I was cutting grass.
Could have made so much more, but can't complain with 149% in a matter of minutes.
Did even better on MU
3.20 to 9.20
Posted by TOPAL
Member since Mar 2010
5062 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 2:09 pm to
Bayou...since you have done your due diligence; is time to buy NBIS or NBIG right now or wait?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25601 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 2:15 pm to
NBIL is a trading tool.
Do not hold NBIL for more than a few days.

The time for NBIL or NBIG was at market open, then sell later in the day.

It’s always time to buy NBIS.
I know that sounds ridiculous, but I bought 10 shares at $280 and 21 at $196. Those were my last two buys.

This stock will come out being the crown jewel of AI infrastructure and open source model offerings.

In my opinion, and many others, it will be in the thousands per share with time.

That’s why I don’t research others in the sector. I think I’ve identified THE winner.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25601 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 3:11 pm to
We lost the weekly chart.
20 EMA broke down.
Honestly, not sure how to read it.
In other words, hoping we don’t revisit $128.

I’d rather reclaim $186 next week.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25601 posts
Posted on 7/17/26 at 3:38 pm to
Or you could take the fib extension view.
A near perfect retrace.

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Or, you can say that none of it matters, but I think computers trade on this shite don’t probably does.

Still holding 3 $260 calls for November.
Let’s ride
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