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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted on 10/30/25 at 3:19 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24562 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

“AWS is growing at a pace we haven’t seen since 2022, re- accelerating to 20.2% YoY. We continue to see strong demand in AI and core infrastructure, and we’ve been focused on accelerating capacity – adding more than 3.8 gigawatts in the past 12 months.
Honestly don't know why NBIS isn't at 130+ based on this.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Honestly don't know why NBIS isn't at 130+ based on this.


$140 at minimum…..it’s absolutely insane the forces behind this. I explained a couple weeks back why this isn’t a bubble, everyone should understand that
Posted by AuBeerStud
Michigan
Member since Feb 2013
520 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

$140 at minimum…..it’s absolutely insane the forces behind this. I explained a couple weeks back why this isn’t a bubble, everyone should understand that


The only bubble is the bubble found in my 200% return in a day celebration beer!
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Wow, that was a big arse drop order right there. Hope that person loses their shirt overnight


Haha. That bitch is going to feel some real pain. This shite might open up $5 tomorrow and go up $10 on the day
Posted by AuBeerStud
Michigan
Member since Feb 2013
520 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 3:44 pm to
What a after hours takeoff
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

What a after hours takeoff


Good news around the industry will do that

Volume probably going to be low the next 7 trading days. Should help NBIS really grow into earnings unless the sector is attacked again, but I don’t see that now.

Still calling us $140 before earnings and $175 by 11/14
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37852 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:04 pm to
I definitely forgot to close out a covered call for 10/31 @230 today when a meeting ran long. That is an expensive meeting overrun
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27792 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Still calling us $140 before earnings and $175 by 11/14


Okay, I hope you're right. I shifted to a more options based lineup and now have:

40 2/20 $140c
50 11/21 $130c
40 11/21 $125c
70 12/19 $140c
30 2/20 $150c
25 11/14 $135c
50 11/21 $140c
20 03/20 $165c

Some of these, like the 2/20s and 12/19s I took a little profit and moved the expiry up. I'm hoping to make a little change off this lineup, but I trying to think of which ones I should sell before earnings, if any. Probably the 11/14s, for sure, but I may take some of the 11/21s and roll them out.
This post was edited on 10/30/25 at 4:22 pm
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20005 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:11 pm to
I don’t even want to guess how much money that is.

All we need is a few days of positive noise and we’ll be above $130 again. My body is ready.
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27792 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:20 pm to
I would love to see a couple of announcements of new hyperscaler deals between 11/11 and 11/21.

I know Arkady hinted to some more deals in the pipeline after the MSFT deal, and I'm hoping that they just haven't been announced because of the quiet period.

That would really drive this sucker into 2026 and might make IT_DAWG's projections out to be a little low...
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27792 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

I don’t even want to guess how much money that is.


I'm a little afraid of it, myself... I would love to see this sucker get to $140 and then re-evaluate.
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20005 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:25 pm to
He got there once with no news…we can do it again!

I was considering taking some off the table before earnings but screw it - if you guys are willing to hang it out there I will too!

LOINS [Girded] Exposed
This post was edited on 10/30/25 at 4:27 pm
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:27 pm to
Looks like a nice spread out options investment. I don’t tell people how to play or what to play but I’m sitting at:

3000 shares
258 11/21 $140c
100 11/21 $145c
260 11/21$150c
110 12/19 $140c
250 10/30 $125c
100 2/26 $175c

For Squatch, that’s about $1.2M I’m holding on NBIS alone - started with $188,000 this year
This post was edited on 10/30/25 at 4:35 pm
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

I would love to see a couple of announcements of new hyperscaler deals between 11/11 and 11/21.


I’m off the hyperscaler bandwagon for deals. NBIS doesn’t have the capacity for them and those deals are lower margins. I think we hit 1GW capacity by end of next year, roughly $11B in revenue overall, but with higher margins than we will get on say the MSFT deal.

Also, they have to release those big deals kinda quick….I would prefer a low profile moving forward with just a nice creep up next year. Just sayin’
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27792 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

250 10/30 $125c


Still hanging onto those, huh? I got skeert and sold mine for 5 bucks after buying them for $1.50 this morning.

Most of mine were purchased during the downturn last week, and I have just acquired a few here and there and sold some shares to get them. I haven't sold on the pops and reaquired on the dips. I hope I make enough money to buy back my shares, pay the taxes, and have a little left over...

Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20005 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

prefer a low profile moving forward with just a nice creep up next year. Just sayin’


I would add AFTER an explosive earnings report that triggers circuit breakers to the upside.
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

Still hanging onto those, huh? I got skeert and sold mine for 5 bucks after buying them for $1.50 this morning.


I’ve day traded them quite a bit. Even moved out of other positions to grab some this morning. I’ll sell on the pop and maybe do some 0DTE 130s tomorrow
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Vero Beach, FL
Member since Jan 2005
27792 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

I’m off the hyperscaler bandwagon for deals.


yeah, but they did mention them. I know you like the slow rise because you are buying and selling the peaks and valleys along the way. Just think how much your options will be worth if they hit a couple of those deals.

As far as capacity goes, that's a good problem to have, no? Acquiring new capacity is easier when it's already spoken for.

Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

s far as capacity goes, that's a good problem to have, no? Acquiring new capacity is easier when it's already spoken for.


Why gobble up all the capacity at lower margins when the demand is there for the growth....
Posted by IT_Dawg
Georgia
Member since Oct 2012
26686 posts
Posted on 10/30/25 at 5:11 pm to
Gonna be a good night and good morning....just sayin
This post was edited on 10/30/25 at 5:12 pm
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