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Started By
Message
re: I got out of equities on Thursday because of advice from someone I respect
Posted on 5/17/11 at 9:20 pm to LSUtoOmaha
Posted on 5/17/11 at 9:20 pm to LSUtoOmaha
2008 called.
Posted on 5/17/11 at 9:49 pm to LSUtoOmaha
You just wanna get your first house on the cheap.
Don't worry, so do I.
Don't worry, so do I.
Posted on 5/17/11 at 9:52 pm to TheHiddenFlask
I'm gonna by one for 30 cents on the dollar like JT. Straight cash transaction of course
Posted on 5/17/11 at 10:04 pm to LSUtoOmaha
if everything plays out like it could, you will still pay too much and cash is the only way you would be able to buy a house.
Posted on 6/2/11 at 6:01 am to The ATL
Well it looks like my buddy hit the nail on the head again to the exact day calling the top.
I will let you guys and gals know when he calls bottom again.
It could be a while. LOL
I will let you guys and gals know when he calls bottom again.
It could be a while. LOL
Posted on 6/2/11 at 9:05 am to Baylor
quote:
Well it looks like my buddy hit the nail on the head again to the exact day calling the top.
I think your buddy is delusional if you or he thinks he can call market tops and bottoms in a market driven by speculation and emotion.
Posted on 6/2/11 at 10:07 am to Baylor
quote:Please do. Thanks. (I assume he will tell you when it's the bottom on the day it happens and not afterwards, right?)
I will let you guys and gals know when he calls bottom again.
Posted on 6/2/11 at 12:31 pm to Baylor
JMO, but I think this is playing out very similar to 2008. I remember a certain ADP jobs report that was very disappointing and the market sold off. By the time the BLS came out, it posted a contradictory result and the shorts were burned. We'll see tomorrow.
Your friend is right about the distribution that has been taking place but I think the summer is going to be rather choppy. The big boyz go to the Hamptons or the south of France for the summer and barring some geopolitical event, there won't be much happening until the Aug 2 deadline for the Debt ceiling.
I've been thinking a lot about what might be next and it is very possible that the Congress allows corporations to to Bring home the offshore money for free or reduced taxes and over time. This is one way they could provide stimulus at home, especially if they tie it to some employment efforts. Timing is the key though.
Your friend is right about the distribution that has been taking place but I think the summer is going to be rather choppy. The big boyz go to the Hamptons or the south of France for the summer and barring some geopolitical event, there won't be much happening until the Aug 2 deadline for the Debt ceiling.
I've been thinking a lot about what might be next and it is very possible that the Congress allows corporations to to Bring home the offshore money for free or reduced taxes and over time. This is one way they could provide stimulus at home, especially if they tie it to some employment efforts. Timing is the key though.
Posted on 6/2/11 at 12:53 pm to Blakely Bimbo
You're really drawing comparisons between now and 2008 on the basis of an ADP report? Really? ADP and BLS routinely disagree. I'd say its less of anomaly that they actually agree than the other way around. I have never gotten the impression that the market gives the ADP much weight. Not 0, but nowhere near enough to drive a 2% daily loss.
Posted on 6/2/11 at 5:32 pm to TheHiddenFlask
quote:
You just wanna get your first house on the cheap.
Don't worry, so do I.
LOL, just bought a nice house at depressed prices and sold my current place in 5 days at a depressed price as well. But not nearly as depressed as the place I bought. I did the urban vs rural swap. Rural prices are down more than urban. Sold my urban place and bought a relatively new rural custom home on 1.3 acres with river front.
Posted on 6/3/11 at 9:21 am to kfizzle85
quote:
You're really drawing comparisons between now and 2008 on the basis of an ADP report?
NO not BASED on the ADP. I am saying that I think we will have a CHOPPY summer market similar to 2008. Not basing it on the ADP, but I remember a day in the summer of 08 where the ADP moved the market lower and then fri the BLS caused a whipsaw in movement higher.
This post was edited on 6/3/11 at 9:22 am
Posted on 6/3/11 at 10:21 pm to Baylor
quote:
Well it looks like my buddy hit the nail on the head again to the exact day calling the top.
Hunh? It's been 5 straight weeks of decline for the S&P 500......I sold 4 weeks ago.
Moved everything into Govt. backed securities. Expect the market to be flat at best over the next 2 months.....downside risk is much greater than upside, at the moment.
Posted on 6/4/11 at 9:24 am to Sid in Lakeshore
quote:If I see just a few more posts/sentiments like this one, it will be time to go all-in out of cash and back into the market. The negativity is not quite there yet. But it's getting closer.
It's been 5 straight weeks of decline for the S&P 500......I sold 4 weeks ago.
Moved everything into Govt. backed securities. Expect the market to be flat at best over the next 2 months.....downside risk is much greater than upside, at the moment.
"Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful." - Warren Buffett
Posted on 6/4/11 at 1:00 pm to LSURussian
quote:
If I see just a few more posts/sentiments like this one, it will be time to go all-in out of cash and back into the market. The negativity is not quite there yet. But it's getting closer.
I think the fear is already here. They were in border line histerics on many news shows and I haven't seen a positive article in a week and a half. I went in long on S&P's late last week. I see S&P 1250 being as low as we go, but I think we could start back up at any time. I also shorted gold as well...
Everyone feel free to take this as a sign that everything will crash Monday with gold skyrocketing.
This post was edited on 6/4/11 at 1:11 pm
Posted on 6/4/11 at 1:39 pm to LSU0358
quote:
Everyone feel free to take this as a sign that everything will crash Monday with gold skyrocketing.
Posted on 6/4/11 at 1:55 pm to LSURussian
I'm a little jaded. My last 5 trades over the last 1.5 months have gone in the complete opposite direction I needed as soon as I've entered. I'm still way up for the year, but it just gets frustrating.
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