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re: How to invest $100k

Posted on 11/29/25 at 3:02 pm to
Posted by CecilShortsHisPants
One Foty Fo uh uh Magnolia Screet
Member since Oct 2012
3652 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

Any thoughts?


If you actually believe in BTC, you must believe the cyclical nature of that trade right?
If you believe the cycle, you know it’s going down bigly in 2026 and thus, are insane if you buy it right now.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32676 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

but I have another use planned for the money in 9-12 months

Then put it in CDs or money market
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
78969 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 3:12 pm to
Spread out your chips more than that.

Stonks, index funds, bonds/CDs.
Posted by kc8876
Member since May 2012
3539 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

KWL85


After reading your posts in this thread, I’m highly confident that whatever you end up doing you’re going to make a lot of money
Posted by jefforize
Member since Feb 2008
45666 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

Similarly, any thoughts on Broadcom for this time period?


I’m maintaining a long position here. Not selling and likely adding on any dip.

I realize all of what I’m about to say is priced in, but they make AI data center networking chips and network chips for iPhones. Demand for their products surely isn’t going to go down.


Sky high valuation currently and they have to execute perfectly, but for a short term AI play I’m sure you could find worse tickers.
Posted by AndyJ
Member since Jul 2008
3430 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 6:29 pm to
quote:

Not sure why you took the time to type your comment.


what a POS response
Posted by Wade Phillips
Member since Dec 2008
609 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 7:05 pm to
Kalshi bets
Posted by TheBeezer
Texas
Member since Apr 2013
1956 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 9:20 pm to
Take the 100k and invest in oil. You can write off 90% of the investment as a loss in the first year then you will likely recoup your initial 100k in the next 36-48 months thru quarterly dividend payments. Then its nothing but profit for the next 25 - 30 years. Mailbox money.
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
20245 posts
Posted on 11/29/25 at 9:36 pm to
quote:

I have another use planned for the money in 9-12 months.


Seems short term for alternative or equity investing.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3041 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 9:56 am to

quote:

quote:
Similarly, any thoughts on Broadcom for this time period?



I’m maintaining a long position here. Not selling and likely adding on any dip.

I realize all of what I’m about to say is priced in, but they make AI data center networking chips and network chips for iPhones. Demand for their products surely isn’t going to go down.


Sky high valuation currently and they have to execute perfectly, but for a short term AI play I’m sure you could find worse tickers


Thanks. I am very high on Google and know that their Gemini app relies on Broadcom hardware. I get your point on valuations but have almost quit worrying about valuations because all the top companies have ridiculous comparisons to empirical data.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3041 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 10:15 am to
quote:

quote:
Any thoughts?



If you actually believe in BTC, you must believe the cyclical nature of that trade right?
If you believe the cycle, you know it’s going down bigly in 2026 and thus, are insane if you buy it right now.


Not a BTC or crypto believer. Only considering it as a short-term trade. With some discretionary investment money.

Are you a crypto investor? I am not and have watched its emergence from a distance. I am aware of the BTC charts. When any investment grows as large as BTC has, the future is often different than it's past.

Guessing the bottom of a "falling knife" is difficult for any investment. It is possible we have already seen the bottom of this cycle. It was 84k last week and 91k today.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
92971 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Not a BTC or crypto believer


Yet you just had 150k to liquidate

Now asking advice on what to do with that

You are ao fos
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3041 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

quote:
I have another use planned for the money in 9-12 months.



Seems short term for alternative or equity investing.


No argument. This is not typical for me. It is some speculative investing to see if I can't make better than the typical short-term choices. I like my chances to earn more than I would with money market, treasuries, or a bond fund. It won't kill me if I am wrong. I am waiting to buy some building lots that are currently being developed and won't be ready for at least 6 months, and more likely 9-12 months.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2090 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 3:30 pm to
If you're serious about this real estate project you should place the 100k in easily accessible money market account. Some things to think about if you haven't already....

1. Who knows what opportunities may arise, even during planning stages, that you may need cash to secure.
2. Will the deporting of illegals place a burden on this project. Would the ability to show/prove financing help secure labor if needed? Cash in a money market, not stock market, might help.
3. You may be kicking yourself if this short term investment devalued enough to kill the real estate project.
4. Real estate has been blah for the last few years. An upcoming project may have good timing in less than a year if interest rates continue to drop.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3041 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 3:37 pm to
Most here know that you are not very knowledgeable, so not sure why I am wasting my time replying to you. You are just being childish because I have called out some of your previous stupidity on this board.

I asked for advice because of my lack of crypto experience. Granted the thread is not what I was hoping for as it seems more non-crypto folks chimed in.

So you think I am making this up? Lol. I retired from my primary career 7 years ago, and 2025 was going to be the first year my income was going to be lower than my working days. I make a significant portion of my income from real estate these days and carry millions in loans as part of that. I liquidated some equity money to keep my banks happy. I am also preparing for a land purchase that will occur in 2026.
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
20245 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

I am waiting to buy some building lots that are currently being developed and won't be ready for at least 6 months, and more likely 9-12 months.


I would probably just keep it fairly liquid IF it was me, but I guess IF you are not afraid to lose substantial capital over a relatively short holding period, then shoot your shot.

It sounds like you have a real plan for this money for a long term investment. I would just make sure I did not lose the money necessary to make that happen.

Even stocks of well run profitable companies can go up or down 30-50% in a given year. When you can buy and hold for decades, it trends upwards over time, but any single day, month, quarter, or year can be subject to the madness of the crowd.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3041 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 7:58 pm to
Thanks for your input. You bring up valid points.

I am always investing in real estate and have lived thru some of your concerns. I started with rentals 25 years ago, but focus more on new construction these days. I buy land, building lots, and occasionally some commercial property. I tweak my participation based on cycles. I also live on a growth area that has had very few down cycles, although we are currently in one. I am in a conservative mode because of this, but will still keep some projects going.

The focus on illegals is causing cost increases. They are absolutely used in construction. Home buyers will pay more because of it. The cost increases are passed on to the buyers. I am connected in my area, and don't know any builder or investor that is absorbing any of these increases. I am a step removed from the workers (I hire builders and do not directly interact with their subs), but am seeing the cost increases.

While this amount of money is significant, I would have to lose the majority of it to affect any plans. Nobody wants to lose money, but the chance of losing more than say 20% feels unlikely. I can afford some risk. There is always a risk/reward ratio, and I can live with this amount. The short time frame increases my risk. I am involved in a land development project that will eventually become building lots. This process is sick with red tape and constant delays, so I may have longer than anticipated. I keep a fair amount in banks to fund my real estate projects, and have other funds available. This is not a large percent of my real estate funds or I would not be investing it.
Posted by KWL85
Member since Mar 2023
3041 posts
Posted on 11/30/25 at 8:16 pm to
Thanks. All valid points.

I will not risk an amount that will derail my plans for the money. It would hurt to lose most of it. My educated guess is I could lose 20-25% or make 20-25%. I can accept that. My other money for the 2026 real estate project is in a money market account.

My luck with "falling knives" in the past has been good. That is where my interest in taking a chance on bitcoin is coming from. This is the choice where I am taking my shot as you described.

I feel much more confident in the other two choices I am leaning towards. Everyone focuses on Nvidia for their AI play, and it is my largest holding of a single company. But I have been following Broadcom and feel they are a good investment. Google has been good to me for years.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
92971 posts
Posted on 12/1/25 at 7:45 am to
quote:

So you think I am making this up?



Obviously.

quote:

 make a significant portion of my income from real estate these days and carry millions in loans as part of that. I liquidated some equity money to keep my banks happy


Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46341 posts
Posted on 12/1/25 at 8:56 am to
why is that so funny? It’s not a flex to borrow money for real estate especially commercial properties. If you have decent credit and a track record borrowing “millions” is not that big a deal, unless you are a child shitposting on the internet all day long in which case I could see how you’d be incredulous that actual smart people know how to make money
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