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re: Fed hides weekly M1 supply, says "money doesn't matter"

Posted on 4/10/21 at 11:54 am to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 4/10/21 at 11:54 am to
quote:

is that why a heavy duty pick up truck costs over $100,000 now?
Vehicle prices have skyrocketed for a very well-known global issue that has nothing to do with monetary policy. And it’s so well-known and obvious that I shouldn’t even have to state what it is for anyone willing to have this discussion.
Posted by Muthsera
Member since Jun 2017
7319 posts
Posted on 4/10/21 at 12:41 pm to
quote:


this seems how you get to crazy economic situations like today with our insanely (paper) wealthy top-level with real wage stagnation....and a society that has an ever-decreasing portion of the population that can afford to buy housing, yet housing prices have skyrocketed


The US Federal government could not have created a more unequal, untenable economic policy if they had been trying.

It is the official policy of the US government, working in concert with the Federal Reserve Bank system that:

1. Megacorporations and investment vehicles (and politically connected investors) get free money, as much as they want

2. Those same groups, with no penalty, are rewarded with the ability to use their free money to invest in other companies and in real estate at near 0% interest.

The 1% of 1% is playing "Heads I win, Tails you lose" by government fiat. But homeowners are seeing their equity go up, and renters aren't having to pay their mortgages, and everyone has some scratch in their back pocket from stimmies.

All of this started in 2007-2008 and nothing has changed.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48917 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 7:36 am to
quote:

He’s not wrong. Are you suggesting he is?

You need actual velocity of money to trigger traditional inflation, and then you need that velocity to be maintained for it to be long lasting inflation.

People have been worrying about runaway inflation since 2009 and it simply hasn’t even come close to materializing in this country.


I can't imagine how low one's IQ needs to be to think that printing 10 trillion dollars wouldn't have severe consequences. Its materializing now
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37715 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 7:39 am to
These modern monetary theory guys live in a different world than the rest of us.

Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 8:20 am to
slackster was trained (brainwashed) a very specific way

keynesian is all he knows
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84875 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 8:50 am to
quote:

slackster was trained (brainwashed) a very specific way

keynesian is all he knows


Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84875 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 8:54 am to
quote:

I can't imagine how low one's IQ needs to be to think that printing 10 trillion dollars wouldn't have severe consequences. Its materializing now


You’re putting words into my mouth.

I’m simply pointing out that M1 is a shitty barometer for inflation. It doesn’t tell you anything useful.

Inflation has been the boogeyman that hasn’t happened in any traditional sense for over a decade. Congrats if you’re finally vindicated.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 8:56 am to
Increase in money supply is meaningless for inflation if it’s offset by decreases in velocity.

If Economy A has one dollar in circulation and it changes hands ten times, this is equivalent to the inflationary impact of printing nine more dollars, but the total (ten) each only changing hands one time.

LINK
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
13557 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 9:30 am to
So what happens to the dollar if we print a shite load of money and velocity increases next year?
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48917 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 9:40 am to
Lol you believe in velocity voodoo thats cute.
quote:

The only knowledge we can have of the determinants of price is the knowledge deduced logically from the axioms of praxeology. Mathematics can at best only translate our previous knowledge into relatively unintelligible form.

LINK
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48917 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 9:41 am to
quote:

I’m simply pointing out that M1 is a shitty barometer for inflation. It doesn’t tell you anything useful.


Who said it was a baromter? Its a prerequisite for inflation.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 9:44 am to
Lots of people here smarter and more knowledgeable than I about economic theory, but I’m seeing one major culprit for the “my boat and house are more expensive but price of a whopper is about the same”

20 year boat notes and incredibly low mortgage rates. Money is cheap and easy to stretch out and has been for years- if you financed whoppers then you’d see the same phenomenon.

Anything credit hasn’t historically impacted hasn’t seen the same meteoric rise, that I can tell.

Is it a money supply issue? I don’t know, I just know people being able to finance everything is causing the phenomenon, from college education to f250s, and it’s a bubble no one wants to pop.
This post was edited on 5/5/21 at 9:48 am
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 10:33 am to
quote:

So what happens to the dollar if we print a shite load of money and velocity increases next year?


Then you’d probably see inflation. But banks have tightened lending standards and consumers are deleveraging.
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 10:36 am to
quote:

But banks have tightened lending standards and consumers are deleveraging.


LOL

Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 10:49 am to
LINK
This post was edited on 5/5/21 at 11:35 am
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 10:51 am to
Sorry, but I’m inclined to believe Irving Fisher over some random dude on Mises.
Posted by JayDeerTay84
Texas
Member since May 2013
9847 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 10:52 am to
Wow, so banks stopped lending money during the crash/covid lockdowns?

What does that have to do with their standards? I can go to the bank and buy 10X the house I can actually afford today no problem and be bankrupt within a year.

Any explanation for the gigantic spike? Or cheap corporate debt that has been pilling up for the past decade?
This post was edited on 5/5/21 at 10:55 am
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
13557 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 10:56 am to
So the fed is simply betting velocity wont increase? Seems like a risky bet, considering how much cash has been added in the last year.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 10:59 am to
I’ll just keep providing data and you stick with your personal anecdotes. More banks are tightening lending standards today than pre-COVID.

LINK
This post was edited on 5/5/21 at 11:00 am
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 5/5/21 at 11:03 am to
quote:

So the fed is simply betting velocity wont increase? Seems like a risky bet, considering how much cash has been added in the last year.


The increase in money supply is meant to offset the dramatic decline in velocity. The Fed is terrified we slip into deflation.
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