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Due Diligence - What to look for?

Posted on 2/6/21 at 10:43 am
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
18805 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 10:43 am
As an investing novice trying to branch out on my own, I’m trying to gather a set of metrics or indicators I should be looking for in order to determine whether or not a stock is promising.

For you sages out there, would you mind sharing with me some of those key indicators you look for?

Any and all help is much appreciated?
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53782 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 10:50 am to
Following
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38755 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 11:02 am to
thematic...what has changed and what has not changed.
a multibagger needs to address and be the/a leader in a thematic

accelerating revenues...sometimes it’s that simple

moat...how defendable is the current position and how likely is it that others’ positions are penetratable

disruptiveness...how likely will the success of this company change “the way we do things”
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38755 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 11:03 am to
also...I look for founder-led companies with large stakes. ROKU is an excellent example of that
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
18805 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 11:51 am to
Thanks for sharing, cgrand! Please keep them coming. If I get enough I’ll make a compilation for the board to reference.
This post was edited on 2/6/21 at 11:52 am
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 11:58 am to
I’ve been wondering the same thing lately. I think a lot of it is driven by algorithms but what makes the penny stock go from .5 to $2 when no news is released?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18915 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 1:30 pm to
Answers will vary wildly across sectors and size of company. But ultimately sales or future sales drive everything.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162219 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 1:42 pm to
quote:


moat...how defendable is the current position and how likely is it that others’ positions are penetratable

disruptiveness...how likely will the success of this company change “the way we do things”


I would say that these 2 characteristics perfectly describe Tesla

I don't know what the future trajectory of the stock is but their supercharging network and a head start on the EV game are huge. And their success is certainly changing the way we do things. That's not even mentioning a head start in the self driving aspect.
Posted by AnonymousPotato
Member since Jan 2021
12 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

accelerating revenues...sometimes it’s that simple


Everything you said is true. I would add that I want to see accelerating revenues as a result of sales and not accounting tricks like cutting cost or once offs.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38755 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 2:35 pm to
pretty much

occasionally a company can succeed by racing ahead of its competitors so quickly and aggressively that it can “win” before it makes any money. At that point the hyper revenue growth to follow is a fait accompli
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
18805 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 2:47 pm to
Is there a good resource to find balance sheets for companies?
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38755 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 6:28 pm to
LINK
click on “tear sheet” for the down and dirty.
for actual balance sheets you need to go to the investor relations page of each company’s website or their earnings call summary
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
14054 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 6:58 pm to
Anyone have any luck with customizable RSS feeds?

I was trying to set one up that scans and alerts me of posts made by C grand and MT.

The laptop I had some success but my smartphone and tablet I've had zero
Posted by Weagle25
THE Football State.
Member since Oct 2011
46188 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

for actual balance sheets you need to go to the investor relations page of each company’s website or their earnings call summary

They’re all on the SEC website

LINK
Just type in ticker and search for 10-Ks or 10-Qs
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
30250 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

If I get enough I’ll make a compilation for the board to reference


That would be useful. I don’t even know what half the numbers mean. I’ve only been investing for about a year and always follow the same tactics though I know it’s not the best way to make the most money. I take advice on here, buy a small amount to put it on my ‘leaderboard’ then watch and try to soak up more info and buy more as I can. By then, I’ve usually lost some value though than if I’d just have bought a big chunk at the beginning. I guess I play more ‘not to lose’ than to win big.
This post was edited on 2/7/21 at 3:00 pm
Posted by xxTIMMYxx
Member since Aug 2019
17562 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 10:09 pm to
Investing is so much easier when you aren’t worried about losing money you may need. Once you get ahead by a decent margin it gives you more freedom.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162219 posts
Posted on 2/6/21 at 10:43 pm to
quote:

Investing is so much easier when you aren’t worried about losing money you may need. Once you get ahead by a decent margin it gives you more freedom.



Definitely true. I've been recently fortunate to have a higher than usual income so I've been using the excess to take some positions. If they fail so be it but I can hold long and let them ride.
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38755 posts
Posted on 2/7/21 at 9:11 am to
a good example of revenue acceleration
this is TDOC



unless something changes in the thematic, this is an “expensive” stock with an explosive growth runway. ROKU is another one. The eye popping revenue growth AND the expanding addressable market make for a perfect storm in the stock price.

so these two seem to have it all...the thematic, the revenue growth, the moat and the disruption. I would add PINS and SQ as well as stocks that meet that criteria

any stock can run up suddenly and provide a profitable swing trade, I’m trying to get to financial independence by the path of least resistance
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
38755 posts
Posted on 2/7/21 at 9:15 am to
and using that strategy I don’t care what the overall market does. I don’t care about interest rates or home sales or inflation or any of that shite UNLESS it results in a material change to those characteristics of the stocks I’m in

and once again I’ll recommend to you guys the best 47 dollars you will ever spend, joining CML Pro Research
Posted by Masterag
'Round Dallas
Member since Sep 2014
18805 posts
Posted on 2/7/21 at 9:18 am to
quote:

’ve usually lost some value though than if I’d of just bought a big chunk at the brig inning. I guess I play more ‘not to lose’ than to win big.


Same here. I hate losing money, so it’s very uncomfortable for me to take risks. Though I know in order to be where I want financially, I’ve got to.

So I’d like to know as much as I can and get a solid game plan together.
This post was edited on 2/7/21 at 9:19 am
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