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re: Diving deeper on Standard Lithium?

Posted on 10/24/23 at 10:39 am to
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6421 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 10:39 am to
quote:

Schwab upped the lending rate to 14% this morning.


As sad as this stock has been recently, it's really hard for me to ignore being fully lent out and that rate continues to increase.
Posted by boomtapp
Houston, Tejas
Member since Nov 2007
703 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 10:59 am to
My shares are still fully lent out. I won’t complain about the interest earnings, but it’s not near enough to make up for the precipitous drop in share price.
This post was edited on 10/24/23 at 11:32 am
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3538 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 11:58 am to
Man that was a very large buy that just went through.

Something's happening.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2897 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

Something's happening.



Agreed.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6421 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 12:13 pm to
Where do you go to see individual transactions?
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20045 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 12:27 pm to
Something needs to be a rocket to the moon.
Posted by skewbs
Member since Apr 2008
2135 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 12:47 pm to
CNBC Stock Tracker

Maybe here? I see a jump in volume of 14K shares at 12:56p ET.
Posted by gautamj
Member since Sep 2023
59 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 1:15 pm to
Same thing on the TSX at 12:54
Volume of 26k shares
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3538 posts
Posted on 10/24/23 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Where do you go to see individual transactions?


Not a pro at this, but:

I don't think individual order history is available to anyone 'publicly', per say. You could use more advanced charting services to get high res tick charts or 3/5 second charts and get a better look at some of the transactions. Or L2/3 to see open orders in advance. These are ways to put the puzzle pieces together.

But even if you just look at the standard 60 second chart (the 60 second chart shows the closing price every minute, and the total volume that was traded during that minute) available most places, a large buy/sell like that (the one that occurred at 12:56) is fairly easy to identify. There are a lot of trades and possibly multiple orders embedded in that 1 minute window, but looks very much like somebody initiated a large limit buy (looks like 250k shares) at $3. It runs to $3 really quick, bounces at $3 support a few times over the next few minutes as the last 50kish shares get filled, then starts dropping again once that 250k order is gone and bids to buy at $3 dry up.
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
444 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 12:38 am to
Link We have super duper lithium concentrations in East Texas again, but this one might be interesting for another reason:

"...the Company has drilled and sampled a new highest confirmed lithium grade brine, measuring 806 mg/L. In addition, comprehensive brine analyses from all three of the Company’s new wells in East Texas show highly elevated concentrations of potash (KCl) and bromine, signifying a large potential for these commodities. The drilling work and continued resource evaluation are from areas where the Company has secured the rights to all minerals contained in the brine."

Albemarle partnership: 0% chance [>0% chance]

Is this significant to yall?
I like the idea of low-risk income for Standard, for once. Is this how Lanxess felt (if they weren't drowning)?
Posted by ev247
Member since Nov 2022
444 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 1:06 am to
In case anyone can use some perspective on how high these lithium concentrations are:

Average Lithium Concentration
Phase 1A (most advanced project): 217 mg/L
Southwest Arkansas (most profitable project): 454 mg/L
Former East Texas Exploration (reported as highest North American lithium concentrations until now): 490 mg/L
Today's reported East Texas Exploration: 644 mg/L

This matters because higher concentrations mean lower production costs.
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
28919 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 8:07 am to
quote:

I like the idea of low-risk income for Standard, for once. Is this how Lanxess felt (if they weren't drowning)?



Yes. Any extra income is gravy, I think a partnership or buyout by Albermarle makes the most sense with them having decades worth of experience in bromine and additional resources, infrastructure, distribution capabilities right next door. Plus plenty of capital to ramp up faster.

Wouldn't be shocked to see them buy Lanxess AG on the cheap and consolidate the whole thing now that Exxon has entered the picture. Albermarle has the hard rock mining/traditional evaporation pit lithium market by the nuts, why not seize the DLE and become the Exxon of lithium before Exxon does?
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4800 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 8:23 am to
I like the sound of it. Just not sure ALB has the strength to give us a buyout that we want. Looking at their financials they got 1.6B in cash and 3.7B in debt already. Who knows though
Posted by Fe_Mike
Member since Jul 2015
3538 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 8:39 am to
ALB was on the verge of paying $4B for Liontown before it fell through. So they have at least that much flex.

I'll skip away happily if they put that up for SLI. $23/share. Where do I sign?

That being said, they aren't paying a 6-7x premium, so they've got some work to do to inflate the share price pre-buy if that's the target valuation.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2897 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 10:37 am to
Schwab snatched up the 300 shares I bought last week and added the. to lent shares.
Posted by Puffoluffagus
Savannah, GA
Member since Feb 2009
6321 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 10:40 am to
Yup. They took the 2000 shares I added last week. All but 20 of my shares are lended out. I assume just because it's not a nice round number
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20045 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 1:16 pm to
What the hell, I have to get in on this action.
Posted by Wraytex
San Antonio - Gonzales
Member since Jun 2020
2897 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 2:29 pm to
They take 100 share lots.


Greenhead share lending is the only antacid for holders going this long.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6421 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

share lending is the only antacid for holders going this long.


Wish I had become privy to it much earlier than I did.
Posted by Elusiveporpi
Below I-10
Member since Feb 2011
2639 posts
Posted on 10/25/23 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

They take 100 share lots.


Greenhead share lending is the only antacid for holders going this long.


E-trade was bought out by Morgan Stanley a few months ago and they raised the Lending $ needed to $300,000. Not happy about it.
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