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Message

re: Crowdstrike CRWD

Posted on 7/22/24 at 3:12 pm to
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
4288 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 3:12 pm to
quote:

I have some shares at around 137 area if it gets in the 200 to 210 area i will buy more there..


But why?
Posted by Joe Dimaggio
Member since Jun 2024
275 posts
Posted on 7/22/24 at 9:14 pm to
quote:

52 Week Low is $140.
It's going to need to go a lot lower before I'll touch it, especially after today.


There's a decent chance they do not recover from this. Very well might be going to zero.

RIP TD finance bro's
.



Now $263
Down another $42 today.

Don;t quit your day job.
This post was edited on 7/22/24 at 9:21 pm
Posted by hiltacular
NYC
Member since Jan 2011
20125 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 9:32 am to
I sold all of my CRWD recently after its crazy run up. I am very curious to see how this plays out tho. On one hand it is pretty incredible the impact they have across US business operations, I guess my big question is will these companies actually change providers because of this. The need for what they provide is obviously significant and not going anywhere.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
8850 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 9:56 am to
quote:

will these companies actually change providers because of this


Maybe on the margin, but I highly doubt it. All companies hit road bumps and provide opportunity to buy good long term stories. Finally got my position in CRWD.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4879 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 12:03 pm to
I’m with you here. Ain’t no one going into a board room pitching the company to reduce their cyber security budget in this day.
Posted by Joe Dimaggio
Member since Jun 2024
275 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 12:27 pm to
quote:


I’m with you here. Ain’t no one going into a board room pitching the company to reduce their cyber security budget in this day.


And you think they will recommend Crowdstrike ?
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4879 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 12:58 pm to
There’s not a whole lot of options out there at that size and scale.. sure some companies will abandon and look elsewhere but it’s not as easy as you may think. CRWD definitely has some major contracts
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
55377 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 2:00 pm to
In at 261.45.


Selling a call today for a few hundred on it.
Posted by hiltacular
NYC
Member since Jan 2011
20125 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 8:19 pm to
Yeah the more I think about it the more I’m inclined to start buying. The core business held steady and was not impacted.
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
4288 posts
Posted on 7/23/24 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

And you think they will recommend Crowdstrike ?


Oh frick no they won't. And even if they do, current customers are going to DEMAND contracts at 1/3 or maybe 1/4 the price they currently pay. Both are awful for the stock. There's lots of players in this space, including Microsoft, who are probably onboarding victims en masse right now.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15789 posts
Posted on 7/24/24 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

There's lots of players in this space, including Microsoft, who are probably onboarding victims en masse right now.


The more you speak about this topic the more you dont sound like you know what you are talking about.
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 9:40 am to
Delete
This post was edited on 7/26/24 at 9:41 am
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
25059 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 11:11 am to
quote:

In 2010, McAfee had a major glitch with Windows XP that took down much of the internet. George Kurtz was McAfee's CTO at that time is now the CEO of Crowdstrike. The McAfee mistake cost the company so much they ended up selling to Intel.


Read where they went DEI on their board which means they probably followed suit on staff from top to bottom. A blunder this big may not be recoverable.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48123 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

Read where they went DEI on their board which means they probably followed suit on staff from top to bottom. A blunder this big may not be recoverable.


My guess as well.

A failure of this magnitude goes beyond someone making a simple mistake. Pushing out an update with a fatal error that crashed networks around the globe is too big to recover from.

When did this outage actually start occurring? Last Thursday or Friday? I was curious on how options fared and I looked at 8/2 Puts at a 270 strike. On Wednesday, those options were worth $25 (0.25) per contract. Thursday at open, those prices soared to an opening price of $627 and then to $1610 earlier this week. The total volume on the 270s went from 3 on 7/17 to 1000+ on 7/18.

Did someone at Crowdstrike owe someone a lot of money and pushed out a bad update to make someone massive $$? The stock price opened at $351.74 last Thursday.
This post was edited on 7/26/24 at 7:07 pm
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48123 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 6:35 pm to
quote:

LSUcam7


Need you to check in on the TDFL league on the FB. Are you in or out? I sent out emails as well.
Posted by LemmyLives
Texas
Member since Mar 2019
13312 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 7:31 pm to
It was about 11:30PM Central time Thursday night. I was on my desktop and watched it happen live on my work laptop. My shitty company is based out of India, which may make a difference, and makes it even worse for our shitty IT department. That means they're rolling out updates at the start of the business day in India, where most of the employees are. Dumbasses.

quote:

Pushing out an update with a fatal error that crashed networks around the globe is too big to recover from.


I disagree. I've been watching what happens to stock prices for breached companies and those that suffer massive outages, including global ones. What seems to happen is a nose dive, and then within 120 days or so they're back nearly to where they were. This goes beyond tech. Plus, if it weren't for BitLocker (Microsoft, configured by end user admins,) the fix of deleting the file could have been deployed through GPO/scripts, etc., rather than forcing everyone to send out recovery keys for individual systems.

It's odd to watch this overcorrection from the 90s in terms of updates/patching. Now, most just auto deploy updates every single day with no staged rollout or QA of what the vendor is updating. I would have been handed my arse if I let that happen back in the day.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48123 posts
Posted on 7/26/24 at 7:46 pm to
quote:

That means they're rolling out updates at the start of the business day in India, where most of the employees are. Dumbasse


..but 8/2 270 put options in the US markets opened at $627 on Thursday, after closing at $25 the day before.

Someone knew the shite was going to hit the fan.
Posted by Wolf of Wall Street
Member since Jul 2024
26 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 4:06 pm to
$232 now
Posted by rstamp1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
1431 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 6:45 pm to
I’m building positions in $crwd and $panw. They are the 2 biggest cyber security companies and the cyber security market is just going to keep growing. Besides Pelosi has large positions in both.
Posted by Nonetheless
MAGA
Member since Jan 2012
34307 posts
Posted on 7/30/24 at 8:29 pm to
waiting..
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