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Black Swan Author on Looming Crisis

Posted on 6/22/23 at 12:44 pm
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
43977 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 12:44 pm
It's Right in Front of Us

Listened to this guy this AM.
This post was edited on 6/22/23 at 12:48 pm
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61304 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 12:53 pm to
Ok
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82058 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 1:29 pm to
Dude sounded like an uneducated bafoon when they pressed him on certain questions
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
43977 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Dude sounded like an uneducated bafoon when they pressed him on certain questions



Well..... He did predict the '08 collapse.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61304 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 2:31 pm to
That’s cool.
I bet he’s predicted a bunch of stuff since then that didn’t happen.
He’s one of many that try’s to profit off of fear porn.
Posted by ronricks
Member since Mar 2021
11074 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 2:42 pm to
Been hearing "its right in front of us" since 2015. Eventually one day ones of these idiots will be right. You don't get credit for predicting doom and gloom literally every year then finally being right.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 7:12 pm to
I love Taleb and have read all of his books, but...he has really turned into a crank in the past 10 years. He went from being a math guy with a philosophical bent and a very intelligent message to just naysaying everything. I no longer listen to him.

Still The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness are excellent (I would submit crucial) reads for any investor. Anti-fragile was really good too.
Posted by thelawnwranglers
Member since Sep 2007
42036 posts
Posted on 6/22/23 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

Dude sounded like an uneducated bafoon when they pressed him on certain questions



Lol he did t give a clear plan to listeners

Just grit and bear it
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11767 posts
Posted on 6/23/23 at 8:52 am to
quote:

I love Taleb and have read all of his books, but...he has really turned into a crank in the past 10 years. He went from being a math guy with a philosophical bent and a very intelligent message to just naysaying everything. I no longer listen to him.


Same.

He was crazy about Covid and Global Warming too.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 6/23/23 at 11:20 am to
When he managed to get in a highly personalized feud with Sam Harris, I called it quits for real. Harris is reasonable if nothing else. It's also why I'm still extremely suspicious of Greenwald.

However, to restate: the lessons inherent in The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness are essential to investing and to life.
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
43977 posts
Posted on 6/23/23 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

Just grit and bear it



The extended interview he gave some ideas.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16049 posts
Posted on 6/25/23 at 4:30 pm to
He just seems like one of those guys that is always negative

At some point he will be right but he’s wrong way more often
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133665 posts
Posted on 6/25/23 at 6:33 pm to
This board has predicted 19 out of the last 2 financial crises....
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 6/25/23 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

This board has actively rooted for 19 out of the last 2 financial crises....

FIFY
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94811 posts
Posted on 6/26/23 at 2:21 am to
quote:

Harris is reasonable if nothing else.


Meh - he was. He's unlistenable now. Jimmy Dore makes more sense from the left.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 6/26/23 at 12:17 pm to
quote:


Meh - he was. He's unlistenable now.
I think that's a stretch. What do you think he's unreasonable about?

quote:

Jimmy Dore makes more sense from the left.
Tell me more. I feel like I keep hearing this name, and my mind automatically jumps to the guy on Jeopardy that reads the clues from the field.
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