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Any guesses on the housing market in the next few months?

Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:44 pm
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
61309 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:44 pm
Someone on the Political Board today predicted a crash of the housing market in the next few months.

Do any of you money people share that opinion?

Some of you may remember that I'm retiring later this year and will be selling my house here in Los Angeles, and buying a house in either Nevada or Utah.

I know that nobody knows anything for certain. I'm just looking for opinions from knowledgeable people.

TIA.
This post was edited on 4/25/20 at 7:51 pm
Posted by BlueChips
Member since Aug 2016
82 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:45 pm to
It doesn't take an expert to assume 20% unemployment would eventually lead to major issues in the housing market.
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
61309 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

It doesn't take an expert to assume 20% unemployment would eventually lead to major issues in the housing market.
Of course, but what do you think might happen beyond people not being able to pay their mortgages? The areas where we're looking to buy are still pretty hot markets. Houses are selling and I haven't noticed much difference in price from a few months ago.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
48990 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 7:58 pm to
Housing market will slow. How much? Who knows. If a ton of folks can't work, they aren't buying houses
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
61309 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

Housing market will slow. How much? Who knows. If a ton of folks can't work, they aren't buying houses
What I'm concerned about is getting caught on the short end of the stick. The areas we're looking at are popular with retirees, who probably still have money and weren't hard hit by the crash. I'm not sure that will be the case with people looking to move TO Los Angeles.

Otoh, I'm not sure how much better things will be if I wait a year or two to move
This post was edited on 4/25/20 at 8:06 pm
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48615 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 8:04 pm to
Are you more worried about getting full value for your current home?
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
61309 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

Are you more worried about getting full value for your current home?
Yes, I'd say that's the main preoccupation
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37715 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 8:08 pm to
Nothing will happen this year, now next year things will get Spicy.
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
61309 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 8:12 pm to
quote:

Nothing will happen this year, now next year things will get Spicy.
Lower prices?
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45815 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 8:38 pm to
Sell it now and rent if needed
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18423 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

Nothing will happen this year, now next year things will get Spicy.


I hope so. I plan on buying late spring/early summer 2021.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 4/25/20 at 9:10 pm to
If things go well, I could see myself buying a second house within the next 18 months or so. Wouldn’t mind if we saw a little downturn.
Posted by BeerMoney
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2012
8377 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 9:22 am to
With rates being what they are, it certainly seems like the time to get in to a mortgage. With the inflation coming from printing all this money, isn't this the best time to get in to a home? Provided you don't lose your job that is.

I refinanced mine.
Posted by Tigerbait337
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2008
20535 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 9:25 am to
Sell your house now while the value is high.

Rent for a few months.

If the market crashes, you buy low. If it doesn’t, you buy at the same prices now.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73863 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Nothing will happen this year, now next year things will get Spicy.


Rates will be under 3% starting in Q4 and then go for at least 9mnths

This country is gonna see a refinance boom
Like no other


That said your value in LA is at the peak imo like all properties in Cali and NV
Posted by 632627
LA
Member since Dec 2011
12771 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 11:04 am to
quote:

Sell your house now while the value is high.

Rent for a few months.



Can’t imagine many investors (or really anyone) willing to rent back the house to him would buy at an all time high knowing a drop is imminent.
This post was edited on 4/26/20 at 4:04 pm
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119249 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 1:35 pm to
I'm not retiring for 4-5 more years, but I'm building a house right that that will be my retirement home, and will be completed in 3 months.

Working right now to put my current home on the market by the first week of May. I'm hoping that the opening back up of the economy will get people out and looking. We'll see.

Wish I knew this was happening a year ago when I signed on to build.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123951 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

Someone on the Political Board today predicted a crash of the housing market in the next few months.

Do any of you money people share that opinion?

Some of you may remember that I'm retiring later this year and will be selling my house here in Los Angeles, and buying a house in either Nevada or Utah.

I know that nobody knows anything for certain. I'm just looking for opinions from knowledgeable people.

TIA.
Good luck LA. It's a tough time.
I'll state the obvious, talk to a few realtors in your area, sooner rather than later.

There might be a window early in the summer, even if it means transitioning to a temporary residence rather than directly moving to your retirement place. Homes in various price ranges will also move differently in different locales. But perspectives here on the national market might not help a whip in terms of your regional situation.
This post was edited on 4/26/20 at 4:32 pm
Posted by L.A.
The Mojave Desert
Member since Aug 2003
61309 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

Good luck LA. It's a tough time.
I'll state the obvious, talk to a few realtors in your area, sooner rather than later.

Thanks brother. A friend of a friend is a realtor here in So Cal and I plan on reaching out to her tomorrow.

Posted by Ingloriousbastard
Member since May 2015
917 posts
Posted on 4/26/20 at 7:10 pm to
We made an offer on a house that (luckily) got beat out in March in a multiple offer situation. I’m not touching the market again until this all blows over. I suspect that housing prices will fall at some point. I’m not sure how bad it will be, but it’s too iffy for us to touch right now. Just my 10 cents.
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