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re: Any day traders out there?

Posted on 10/21/22 at 10:43 am to
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
82061 posts
Posted on 10/21/22 at 10:43 am to
quote:


Any day traders out there?
Ok this isn’t looking so good this am, I’m stuck in a trade, bought the leading gapper right at 0800 and so far down about 11% holding it without a stop loss please send prayers.

—After market open I’m down another15% at -25% and dropping,To quote a famous person “I may not financially recover from this”







This post was edited on 10/21/22 at 10:44 am
Posted by Order88
Member since Sep 2010
61 posts
Posted on 10/21/22 at 11:21 am to
I’m serious, this strategy is very difficult to stomach “guh”. It was EFOI and literally dropped from .70 to now about .44, and seems to continue to hit lower lows. It will need to recover 60% just to get back to even. I guess the only answer now is to wait for that. So that’s it, next time you hear from me will be if it recovers.
Posted by SalE
At the beach
Member since Jan 2020
2681 posts
Posted on 10/21/22 at 11:37 am to
DG buy at 233.66 & 234.74...out of TSLA at 211.82...held over night..cost average 204.196
Posted by RidiculousHype
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2007
10526 posts
Posted on 10/21/22 at 11:52 am to
quote:

I’m serious, this strategy is very difficult to stomach “guh”. It was EFOI and literally dropped from .70 to now about .44, and seems to continue to hit lower lows.

You bought the backside of a pump & dump, which was bound to happen eventually trying this guy's idiotic advice.
Posted by SM1010
Member since Oct 2020
1191 posts
Posted on 10/21/22 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

I’m serious, this strategy is very difficult to stomach “guh”. It was EFOI and literally dropped from .70 to now about .44, and seems to continue to hit lower lows. It will need to recover 60% just to get back to even. I guess the only answer now is to wait for that. So that’s it, next time you hear from me will be if it recovers.


Ooof lol. Hopefully you're just messing around with beer money.

Looks like EFOI has been on a steady decline since 2020. Not good. Looks like it randomly has some crazy spikes though, hopefully you can catch another one of those up (if you actually plan on holding forever).
Posted by Order88
Member since Sep 2010
61 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 1:35 pm to
Wow great news everyone! after 3 months bag holding EFOI I finally sold it for a 2% profit this week. It took quite a long time. I was down over 50% at one time. I just hope the next one doesn’t take as long.

I will start again sharing my next trades using the same strategy. Buy the biggest gainer listed pre-market at 9am EST and holding it for a 1-2% gain and no stop loss. Wish me luck !
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33833 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 3:27 pm to
I've been trading casually for about 18 years, seriously over the past 6 months, paid for a trading course and everything.

My advice is learn to be a good loser. The name of the game is risk management, simply losing less on your losers and winning more on your winners. You will have losers, everyone does.

There are four possible outcomes when you place a trade, a large profit, a small profit, a small loss and a large loss. Three of these are acceptable and will keep your account intact. The large loss is what will sink you, but that's what you can control.

Determine what you're willing to lose on a single trade and stick to that. Place a stop loss on every trade. Don't increase position size to make up losses. If you're on a losing streak and feel yourself getting emotional (which happens to everyone) stop trading. There will always be tomorrow.

Studies indicate that most traders are actually pretty good at picking winners and have a good "win rate." They lose money because they lose a higher percentage of their position on their losers than they win on their winners.

It's like anything else, the more you do it the better you'll get. Just don't blow your account thinking about the Lamborghini you're going to buy or that you know what's going to happen or which way the market will turn because no one knows. I've grinded out a very modest profit overall and hopefully my results will continue as I add to my account.

I'm one that doesn't think strategies mean much other than providing structure for your process. Pick one that you'll stick to and practice good risk management and you should be fine.

EDIT: I see from some of these messages that like to hold everything until it profits. I used to think like that too, thinking there's a way to outsmart the market. There's a couple of reasons why I think that's a bad idea.

1. You don't know *when* that's going to happen. A lot of folks that bought GE have been waiting for years for it to recover. It may not ever recover in our lifetimes. You're letting the market control your risk instead of you doing it yourself.

2. There is a hidden opportunity cost that you're not considering. Whatever capital you have tied up in your loser is capital that can't be used in a better trade. For all you know you could've sold quickly and made that money back up that day. I've done that several times.


Just have a healthy respect for the markets and for what they can do to your account if you don't respect it, that's my TL:DR advice.
This post was edited on 1/25/23 at 4:24 pm
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

Just have a healthy respect for the markets and for what they can do to your account if you don't respect it, that's my TL:DR advice.




IMO, this is the post of the day, week and month. Excellent take on trading and trading mentality!

I’m not trying to poke the fellow who claimed that taking a loss and setting stops is for pu##ies, but as soon as I read that, I knew that he was letting himself be driven and led by emotion. The one who said that he didn’t know any traders who use or know about Level 2 also gave me pause. Apart from the basic mechanics of placing a trade, one has to have a risk management plan in place. If your pride prevents you from accepting losses, you should probably avoid financial market trading of any type. Investing, which is also a necessary hat to wear, is what those folks should stick to.

Again, that was an amazingly well written and well thought out post. Thank you.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33833 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 6:50 pm to
Thanks. I think those of us that have observed and participated in the markets for a while have at one time wanted to prove how smart we are, especially if we have some early success.

Having winning trades is the easy part of trading. Everyone can handle winners. How you handle the losers demonstrates if you have what it takes to last IMO. I don't think I'll ever master it but I just try to get a little better at it every day. It tries my patience when I get 3-4 losers in a row, but that's trading. You did everything right, your criteria were met, you put in the trade and it didn't work out in your favor. Some days you just have to walk away and live to fight another day.

Today was that type of day for me. Nothing was really clicking so I stopped trading and looked at some of the losers for possible errors in my process.

This idea about not selling until you make a profit is about ego, about the trader not wanting to admit they were wrong, and not part of a rational process. Ego doesn't serve a trader well.
This post was edited on 1/25/23 at 6:57 pm
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

Ego doesn't serve a trader well.


Truer words were never spoken. I’ve watched many interviews over the years with master traders like James Simons of Renaissance Technologies and also more retail focused players like Seth Freudberg at SMB Capital. The one thing that stands out with successful traders, no matter how big or small their accounts, is a keen understanding of risk management and also a lack of prideful ego.

In another thread on here last year, there was a (presumably) young man who said that he wanted to be a day trader and he’d rather see a stock go to zero rather than sell for a loss. I have no interest in battling or debating someone like that, so I just wished him luck. God often has mercy on us when we choose to act foolishly.

By the way, do you mainly focus on equities or do you also trade options?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21251 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

Wow great news everyone! after 3 months bag holding EFOI I finally sold it for a 2% profit this week. It took quite a long time. I was down over 50% at one time. I just hope the next one doesn’t take as long.


Congrats! Are you using $25,000. Just curious…
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
21251 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 9:14 pm to
Just to add another angle here, I like the idea of trading a company that you know really well. If you’ve watched the same stock for five years, I bet you could do pretty well trading it.

Especially one that’s high volume and high volatility.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/25/23 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

Just to add another angle here, I like the idea of trading a company that you know really well.


I agree. If you’re trading individual equities, the more knowledge you have of the fundamentals, technical tendencies, etc., the better, IMO.
Posted by Order88
Member since Sep 2010
61 posts
Posted on 1/26/23 at 7:32 am to
I’m starting out kind of small with $5k not really comfortable buying over 10k shares of something even if it is less than dollar.

This morning UTRS is the top pre-market gainer currently up 66% will see if it holds the lead but that would be the one to buy 30 min before the open and hope for the 1-2% profit. Of course this is according to Gideon’s strategy.

I have no idea if this strategy will work I survived EFOI so this is just gambling in my opinion.
———
Well MLGO ended up being the leading premarket gainer at 9am EST so I bought it right at 9am easily made 4% in 2 minutes. I’m still holding 400 shares because it looked pretty strong and I have a stop to protect my original profit.

It is an interesting strategy but I definitely don’t want another EFOI type situation.
This post was edited on 1/26/23 at 8:16 am
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/26/23 at 11:42 pm to
quote:

so this is just gambling in my opinion.


Well, as long as you realize that.
Posted by Shankopotomus
Social Distanced
Member since Feb 2009
21058 posts
Posted on 1/27/23 at 12:56 am to
LOL WTF

amazing bump
Posted by Order88
Member since Sep 2010
61 posts
Posted on 1/27/23 at 7:59 am to
Yes it’s definitely risky to day trade and I get that.

With 2min to 9am QNCX is the leading premarket gainer. Will be back to give a status.

Update:
- QNCX pulled back almost immediately after buying it at 9am - I’m in at 1.53 and currently down about 30% this is not looking good, looks like I’ll be waiting another 3 months. I’m gonna go ahead and say it after testing this strategy this is not a good one, you might as well use a stop, as one poster stated, you don’t want to be tying up funds in a loser waiting for it to come back up.

See you all in 3 months if it makes a recovery.

—————————————
Well guys after being down over 45% and 3 months later here we are again. QNCX came out of the depths, and I was able sell my shares for about 5% loss. Needless to say the strategy of buying the top gapper at 9am and hoping for a 1-2% gain is not a very good strategy at least not in this market.
This post was edited on 3/21/23 at 8:26 am
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33833 posts
Posted on 1/27/23 at 10:05 am to
quote:

By the way, do you mainly focus on equities or do you also trade options?



I trade about 99% options. Want to get into futures eventually.

I just thought about the anecdote you shared about the guy that would rather let his stock go to 0 before selling for a loss. Just thinking about how crazy of a mindset that is, especially for those that want to do this seriously.

People have to treat this like a business. How absurd would it be for a restaurant owner to expect to never have a day where they have a net negative on the books? But a lot of us traders think taking a loss is unacceptable for some reason.

I'm trying to reprogram my mind to not think of losing days as "bad." Losing days are built in and aren't good or bad, they just are a cost of doing business.
This post was edited on 1/27/23 at 12:28 pm
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/31/23 at 6:17 pm to
quote:

I trade about 99% options. Want to get into futures eventually.


I’ve observed the futures markets (from afar ) for over 30 years. But I haven’t studied the various markets and strategies enough to feel comfortable dipping a toe in the water yet.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/31/23 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

Yes it’s definitely risky to day trade and I get that.


I wasn’t really referring to day trading in general. I was talking about this so called “strategy” that fellow came up with. I know more than a few very successful day traders in stocks and options. But not a single one of them would trade without risk controls or being ego driven and refusing to take a loss.

Just a suggestion, but if you have a real interest and passion for trading, spend your time learning legitimate trading strategies that are backtested and proven… and that include inherent risk management.

Good luck.
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