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re: After being fully invested several years I got out this morning

Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:23 am to
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
74159 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:23 am to
Are we freaking out again about short term swings?

How many times are you guys going to run around with your hair on fire?

Since 2018 we have had multiple short term downturns in the markets.

If you aren’t planning on selling soon, why do you even care?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134898 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:26 am to
quote:

Are you serious?
What is incorrect about his post?
Posted by HYDRebs
Houston
Member since Sep 2014
1593 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:28 am to
quote:

What is incorrect about his post?


I read it as.. He's jinxing it by saying I think we are good
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1976 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:46 am to
I posted a warning 5 days before the drop. Didn't expect any one to believe me and rightly so. I got the down votes to prove it.

Posted by Message
Tigers4life
LSU Fan
North Carolina
Member since May 2004
1217 posts
Online

re: There are some major issues lurking in the US financial markets Posted on 7/5/19 at 7:37 pm to LSUtoOmaha


Markets are mostly algos...algos use math. next major correction is here imo.

Correction to previous spy level I posted:
My charts are telling me that markets hit a major technical level this week (301 spy area)and smart money has begun reducing there stock positions. There should be a healthy pullback from or near current highs as of last 2 days. Fed rate cut could get a push to 304-305 area max. Take it with a grain of salt because...hey...what do i know?
This post was edited on 7/25 at 6:43 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87488 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:48 am to
quote:

What is incorrect about his post?
nothing is incorrect. My initial post was obviously sarcastic, to which he replied with a serious message. Thus my follow up
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:54 am to
quote:

nothing is incorrect. My initial post was obviously sarcastic, to which he replied with a serious message. Thus my follow up




I know it was sarcastic, I was just reiterating the facts of the matter
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:55 am to
quote:

posted a warning 5 days before the drop. Didn't expect any one to believe me and rightly so. I got the down votes to prove it. Posted by Message Tigers4life LSU Fan North Carolina Member since May 2004 1217 posts Online re: There are some major issues lurking in the US financial markets Posted on 7/5/19 at 7:37 pm to LSUtoOmaha Markets are mostly algos...algos use math. next major correction is here imo. Correction to previous spy level I posted: My charts are telling me that markets hit a major technical level this week (301 spy area)and smart money has begun reducing there stock positions. There should be a healthy pullback from or near current highs as of last 2 days. Fed rate cut could get a push to 304-305 area max. Take it with a grain of salt because...hey...what do i know? This post was edited on 7/25 at 6:43 am



Uh, you posted this a month ago, not 5 days ago


And this had nothing to do with the algos, it had to do with the Chinese pushback on the sanctions


ETA: you were also wrong on where the market would top out, sooooooo


ETA2: saw you posted spy and not spx. Guess you were right about it all
This post was edited on 8/5/19 at 10:22 am
Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 9:55 am to
quote:

I posted a warning 5 days before the drop. Didn't expect any one to believe me and rightly so. I got the down votes to prove it.



Sure..except you just got lucky with the timing. Did you predict China devaluing their currency or the additional tariffs added to Chinese goods?

Just because the market went down a month after you made your post, doesn't mean you can predict anything.

A broken clock is right twice a day
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1976 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:16 am to
quote:

Just because the market went down a month after you made your post, doesn't mean you can predict anything.


My original post (a month before was the 304-305 area) but certain indicators I use gave me the signal to edit the post 5 days before the drop. I'm a trader...it's what I do.

quote:

Sure..except you just got lucky with the timing.


My luck involves a lot of work but ok...i will take it because it was my only posted prediction ever on here and I clearly pull the target out of thin air.

quote:

Did you predict China devaluing their currency or the additional tariffs added to Chinese goods?


Nope but didn't need to. That's just more fuel to a fire that was already lite. Why did the s&p drop 200+ in May? Why didn't the original tariffs make it drop? This isn't the 1930s...times are different now. Machines rule the trading world now. Learn how algos work or just put it in and wait because it goes up most the time.

This post was edited on 8/5/19 at 10:18 am
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
7991 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:22 am to
Love reading posts -- here and elsewhere -- where someone shows a chart and says "my charting genius predicts the market will go down soon"

then an earthquake collapses Asia into the ocean, and they re-post the chart and say "told you -- charts never lie!"
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:23 am to
quote:

I'm a trader...it's what I do.




What kind of trader is on a message board at 10:15 am on the most volatile trading day in months?
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87488 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:31 am to
Sounds like you should be making a ton of money since you have it figured out.
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1976 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Uh, you posted this a month ago, not 5 days ago


Yep but posted 301 spy area on 7/25

quote:

And this had nothing to do with the algos, it had to do with the Chinese pushback on the sanctions


Ok...if u say so


quote:

you were also wrong on where the market would top out, sooooooo


high was 302.23 spy.....i said at or near the 301 area as key target with a chance of pop on rate cut. Close enough
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1976 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:39 am to
My charts are up. Want me to stare at them more? All I did was share my only prediction on here....bad for me I was close....would have gotten at least one up vote if I was on here eating crow.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:55 am to
What I am getting at is are you a professional trader, or are you an investor like the rest of this board? One is not like the other


And if professional, what kind? Commodities, FI, equities, futures?
This post was edited on 8/5/19 at 10:57 am
Posted by Ray Finkle
Collier county
Member since Sep 2007
1900 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 10:57 am to
So am I buying today or waiting for more carnage to occur?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134898 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 11:00 am to
quote:

you posted this a month ago, not 5 days ago



Yep but posted 301 spy area on 7/25
You didn't post anything on this board on 7/25.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36763 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 11:01 am to
He did an edit on 7/25 for a post he made on 7/5. Since he edited, I’m assuming his 7/5 post was incorrect
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134898 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 11:07 am to
That explains it. Thanks.
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1976 posts
Posted on 8/5/19 at 11:10 am to
quote:

What I am getting at is are you a professional trader, or are you an investor like the rest of this board.


I am a trader but long ways from calling myself a pro. I am wrong often but do catch a trade every once in a while. Been on this board 15 years and never posted a target...that was my first one and I was confident enough to share it. At the end of the day...we are responsible for our own money decisions and making market/stock predictions is one of the many things this forum is for....right?
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