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re: What’s your prediction for number of wins for LSU football in 2024?
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:27 am to JodyPlauche
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:27 am to JodyPlauche
quote:
Les Miles averaged 10 wins over a 10 year span and that wasn't good enough for LSU Fans...I find it hilarious this is the new expectation.
That was only good enough for 2nd best in SEC West & a New Years Day bowl. Now the expectation is to make the playoff
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:28 am to JodyPlauche
quote:
Les Miles averaged 10 wins over a 10 year span and that wasn't good enough for LSU Fans...I find it hilarious this is the new expectation.
I think the whole we hadn’t beaten the Gumps since Jesus was a boy, and lining up a brand new 1952 offense year over year had a little something do to with it.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:28 am to cbree88
All that matters is to be in top 12 at the end of season.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:28 am to LSU
If Im being optimistic I think we'll be 9-2 going into OU game.
Two musts for me this year:
1) USC, Ole Piss, OU. Win 2 of these 3.
2) Playoff appearance.
Anything less and Kelly can take a walk.
Two musts for me this year:
1) USC, Ole Piss, OU. Win 2 of these 3.
2) Playoff appearance.
Anything less and Kelly can take a walk.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 11:33 am to JodyPlauche
quote:It was good enough until it wasn't. He plateaued and we weren't going to get any better under him. Do you really find it crazy to expect to be one of the top 12 teams once the playoff rolls around? If that's not your expectation, then what is it? A top 20 team? Ranked? It's not like I said we need to be undefeated and the #1 team
Les Miles averaged 10 wins over a 10 year span and that wasn't good enough for LSU Fans...I find it hilarious this is the new expectation.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 12:01 pm to cbree88
Heart says 8-4 or 9-3. I’m hopeful the defense is improved enough to get us to 10-2 and in the playoffs but they have to prove it first.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 12:19 pm to cbree88
I am going to say at least 10 wins.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 12:26 pm to cbree88
9-3, possibly 8-4. The defense is still a WIP.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 12:38 pm to cbree88
6 games that are losable in terms of an "equal or greater talent" standpoint. The hope is that LSU can go 4-2 in those with a favorable home schedule and, on its face, coaching advantages.
Problem is that leaves 0 margin for error in other games. It's much better when you go into a year knowing you're outright better than all but maybe 1 team. We have too many holes to say that. 9-3/8-4 seems about right. People will be disappointed, but hopefully everyone stays on board for what's coming in 2025 and 2026.
Problem is that leaves 0 margin for error in other games. It's much better when you go into a year knowing you're outright better than all but maybe 1 team. We have too many holes to say that. 9-3/8-4 seems about right. People will be disappointed, but hopefully everyone stays on board for what's coming in 2025 and 2026.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 12:40 pm
Posted on 5/13/24 at 12:38 pm to DalenSA
quote:
Not making the expanded playoff would also be a disappointment
prepare to be disappointed...
Posted on 5/13/24 at 12:58 pm to cbree88
We don't play Texas or UGA, there isn't a game on our schedule that I don't feel we have at least a 40% chance to win. Maybe that changes by kickoff, could go higher or lower, but 7-5 just isn't going to happen and 8-4 would be a colossal disaster.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 1:01 pm to LSUSkip
8-4 is more likely than 12-0, and 8-4 to 10-2 are most likely. Hopefully it's 10-2.
This post was edited on 5/13/24 at 1:02 pm
Posted on 5/13/24 at 1:23 pm to cbree88
What happens if we lose to Nicholls in football this fall? Losing to the downstream Colonels seems to be a family tradition at the Ole War Skule.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 1:42 pm to cbree88
Feels like an 8-4 type season. That’s my prediction
Posted on 5/13/24 at 1:56 pm to cbree88
Nine wins
It's not an easy schedule. But it is favorable once you actually dig into it besides just reading the names. The fulcrum game will be, one again, the opening game. Win that one and I am very confident LSU gets at least 9 wins. Lose, and 9 is probably the max.
A neutral site game vs a USC in a very similar situation as LSU is a toss up.
After that you play UCLA, at home, with a new (late addition) HC. LSU will be the favorite
The SEC road games are: Florida, South Carolina, Arkansas, A&M. Is it wholly inconceivable that LSU wins 3 of those? Who knows what you will get with South Carolina. Arkansas feels like 2021 LSU where everyone knows they should have fired the HC after last season. That dark cloud of uncertainty has and will continue to hover over the team. Sun Belt Billy may not even be coaching Florida by the time LSU plays them. A&M will likely be better coached. But they lost quite a bit of talent from last year's teams.
LSU then plays: Alabama, Ole Miss, Vandy, Oklahoma. None except Vandy are "easy". But they are ALL at home. For the past 20 years almost every Ole Miss team that had dreams of something bigger than bottom/middle of the SEC has had those dreams crushed in BR. Oklahoma is a crap shoot. Alabama is without Saban. Is 3 wins of those 4 inconceivable?
3-1 at home and 3-1 on the road in SEC play, plus 4-0 in the non-conf. schedule gives LSU a 10-2 record. 6-2 plus 3-1 gets you to 9-3.
It's almost comical to watch so many freak the frick out over LSU not landing an average DT from the portal as if one largely non-descript DT was going to be the difference between 10-2 and 6-6. It's not...and it never was going to be even if LSU had landed one. LSU had three DTs last year who were just drafted. And the defense was awful. Was that solely because LSU had no talent? Or was it because the DC was horrible? I'll go with the latter. Which means almost by default the defense should be better. Perhaps significantly. Even without an average DT from Michigan St. or TCU lining up in the middle.
This very likely wasn't going to be a national championship team even before the failure to sign a DT in the portal. But to act like that one recruiting miss is going to completely tank the season is laughable.
quote:
Our schedule this year is brutal and we won’t win consistently with our defense getting its shite pushed in constantly. We’re going to lose at least 4 of the following; USC, UCLA, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Alabama, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Florida, South Carolina.
It's not an easy schedule. But it is favorable once you actually dig into it besides just reading the names. The fulcrum game will be, one again, the opening game. Win that one and I am very confident LSU gets at least 9 wins. Lose, and 9 is probably the max.
A neutral site game vs a USC in a very similar situation as LSU is a toss up.
After that you play UCLA, at home, with a new (late addition) HC. LSU will be the favorite
The SEC road games are: Florida, South Carolina, Arkansas, A&M. Is it wholly inconceivable that LSU wins 3 of those? Who knows what you will get with South Carolina. Arkansas feels like 2021 LSU where everyone knows they should have fired the HC after last season. That dark cloud of uncertainty has and will continue to hover over the team. Sun Belt Billy may not even be coaching Florida by the time LSU plays them. A&M will likely be better coached. But they lost quite a bit of talent from last year's teams.
LSU then plays: Alabama, Ole Miss, Vandy, Oklahoma. None except Vandy are "easy". But they are ALL at home. For the past 20 years almost every Ole Miss team that had dreams of something bigger than bottom/middle of the SEC has had those dreams crushed in BR. Oklahoma is a crap shoot. Alabama is without Saban. Is 3 wins of those 4 inconceivable?
3-1 at home and 3-1 on the road in SEC play, plus 4-0 in the non-conf. schedule gives LSU a 10-2 record. 6-2 plus 3-1 gets you to 9-3.
It's almost comical to watch so many freak the frick out over LSU not landing an average DT from the portal as if one largely non-descript DT was going to be the difference between 10-2 and 6-6. It's not...and it never was going to be even if LSU had landed one. LSU had three DTs last year who were just drafted. And the defense was awful. Was that solely because LSU had no talent? Or was it because the DC was horrible? I'll go with the latter. Which means almost by default the defense should be better. Perhaps significantly. Even without an average DT from Michigan St. or TCU lining up in the middle.
This very likely wasn't going to be a national championship team even before the failure to sign a DT in the portal. But to act like that one recruiting miss is going to completely tank the season is laughable.
Posted on 5/13/24 at 2:04 pm to cbree88
I can’t believe someone would write all that. Hey at least on the bright side you can skip this year.
Of the games you listed the only ones that are true toss ups are Bama, Ole Miss, and A&M.
UCLA has a new coach and come to LSU
Oklahoma getting a true taste of SEC and come to LSU
USC will have a new QB and their defense is atrocious with a new DC in the first game.
South Carolina will have a new QB as well.
Florida will be Florida and will be tough but LSU will win.
Even tho Bama is a toss up I like that they play at LSU with a new coach and system.
I feel LSU can go 9-3 at the least 10-2 is the acceptable ceiling. Defense will be better and the O Line is considered by many to one of the tops in the nation. Ball control will be better and not quick strike offense like last year.
Of the games you listed the only ones that are true toss ups are Bama, Ole Miss, and A&M.
UCLA has a new coach and come to LSU
Oklahoma getting a true taste of SEC and come to LSU
USC will have a new QB and their defense is atrocious with a new DC in the first game.
South Carolina will have a new QB as well.
Florida will be Florida and will be tough but LSU will win.
Even tho Bama is a toss up I like that they play at LSU with a new coach and system.
I feel LSU can go 9-3 at the least 10-2 is the acceptable ceiling. Defense will be better and the O Line is considered by many to one of the tops in the nation. Ball control will be better and not quick strike offense like last year.
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