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What does the line + betting trends tell us?
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:49 am
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:49 am
Seems like the line opened and is still lower than would have expected. Isn’t that a bit concerning? How is the sharp money looking?
13
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:50 am to Draconian Sanctions
You are worried that on a neutral field lsu would likely be a 9-10 pt favorite over #4? Damn
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:52 am to Draconian Sanctions
You seem to be a little scared judging by your last few threads? Relax, Joe got this! The big games is where he shines
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:52 am to Draconian Sanctions
Stay away.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:55 am to LosTigres251
quote:
Stay away.
Can you unpack this for me a bit? What does this tell us about what Vegas thinks about the game?
This post was edited on 12/5/19 at 7:55 am
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:57 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Can you unpack this for me a bit? What does this tell us about what Vegas thinks about the game?
Nothing.
Line movement tells you what gamblers are thinking.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:57 am to Draconian Sanctions
She is talking to you in general. Like, GTFO
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:58 am to Bestbank Tiger
quote:
Line movement tells you what gamblers are thinking.
Then why are all the degenerate gamblers saying they aren’t touching this game?
Posted on 12/5/19 at 7:59 am to Draconian Sanctions
nobody trusts our defense
thats it
thats it
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:00 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
What does this tell us about what Vegas thinks about the game?
Bets move the line, not Vegas.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:01 am to Salmon
quote:
What does the line + betting trends tell us?
It tells me that I am about to win my bet.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:01 am to Janky
Oh yes!! Putting some $$ on it.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:10 am to Draconian Sanctions
quote:
Then why are all the degenerate gamblers saying they aren’t touching this game
You ask what Vegas is thinking...
then state that degenerate gamblers are staying away. Where are you getting that info? Bc some dip shite on a msg board said stay away? Lol.
The line opened at -4. Bets have moved it to -7 or more...
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:11 am to bstew3006
Well that’s why I’m asking now isn’t it
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:13 am to Draconian Sanctions
Man you sure are nervous.
We are playing a very good team on defense. They could beat us.
This isn't Ohio State playing cream puffs like Michigan, Penn State or Wisconsin.
But, the Tigers are dialed in and on a mission. We will win and cover the spread.
We are playing a very good team on defense. They could beat us.
This isn't Ohio State playing cream puffs like Michigan, Penn State or Wisconsin.
But, the Tigers are dialed in and on a mission. We will win and cover the spread.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:15 am to Draconian Sanctions
UGA is probably the right side at -7.
The -4 made absolutely no sense to me. Seems like Vegas was leaning heavy on the power ratings that mostly have the game around 3.5. I wish I could have gotten the -4 even though I hardly bet LSU.
If I have to hear to term “opponents adjusted” one more time, I am lose it. UGA is getting created for mizzou being better when kelly Bryant played in other weeks.
The -4 made absolutely no sense to me. Seems like Vegas was leaning heavy on the power ratings that mostly have the game around 3.5. I wish I could have gotten the -4 even though I hardly bet LSU.
If I have to hear to term “opponents adjusted” one more time, I am lose it. UGA is getting created for mizzou being better when kelly Bryant played in other weeks.
This post was edited on 12/5/19 at 8:18 am
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:20 am to Draconian Sanctions
Can you provide a link that shows degenerate gamblers are staying away? Tia
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:23 am to FlaFlash
quote:
You are worried that on a neutral field lsu would likely be a 9-10 pt favorite over #4? Damn
And with that neutral field site being in the backyard of the team we're playing.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:30 am to deathvalleytiger10
quote:
This isn't Ohio State playing cream puffs like Michigan, Penn State or Wisconsin.
We are playing the UGA program that we creamed last year; that lost to a shitty USC team this year; that barely beat that crappy Aggie team. This is exactly like OSU playing Wisconsin, Michigan and Penn State.
Posted on 12/5/19 at 8:30 am to Draconian Sanctions
Though they have their weaknesses, UGA is probably the most balanced team LSU will have played this year. The offense is nowhere near as explosive as Alabama, but they have a very experienced QB, a VERY talented RB and a great OL. LSU's defense has had it's moments (and certainly is capable of a big game), but the total body of work tells us this isn't one of the best LSU defenses in recent years
On the other side UGA is a really good defense. Most think they are at least on par with, if not better than Auburn, who held LSU to its lowest point total this season. The logic, I'm sure is that UGA similar to AU, only with a much better QB (who has played well in this game twice before) and RB. Throw in the fact that it is being played at a slightly less than "neutral" site, and the "low" line has some logic.
To me, the wildcard is LSU's defense. Have they turned a corner since the Ole Miss game? Or was their performance more a part of playing against relatively weak offensive lines at home? The talent level is there (at least 4 future 1st round picks) for big performance. Will they deliver one?
On the other side UGA is a really good defense. Most think they are at least on par with, if not better than Auburn, who held LSU to its lowest point total this season. The logic, I'm sure is that UGA similar to AU, only with a much better QB (who has played well in this game twice before) and RB. Throw in the fact that it is being played at a slightly less than "neutral" site, and the "low" line has some logic.
To me, the wildcard is LSU's defense. Have they turned a corner since the Ole Miss game? Or was their performance more a part of playing against relatively weak offensive lines at home? The talent level is there (at least 4 future 1st round picks) for big performance. Will they deliver one?
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