re: What does the line + betting trends tell us?

I don't think UGA plays catch up very well

quote:

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Seems like the line opened and is still lower than would have expected. Isn’t that a bit concerning? How is the sharp money looking?

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They have a tremendous defense. That's the reason the line is as close as it is. We would be favored by 10.5 at home.

I'll take a stab at it.

GA and A&M p;ayed recently in a one score game that could have gone either way.

LSU has played their best opponents to a 2 score lead late, with the opponent scoring in the last minute plus to make it a one score game.

We were a 2 plus score favorite (16-17) over A&M, but were at home. So, minus the home for us and give it to GA. That's 10-11, but not a true home for GA, so let's say 11-12.

I think Vegas is saying GA is that team that will score late to make it a one score game, so make it 4-5. The line moving to 7 comes from the fact that GA has everything on the line to remain in the playoff, whereas LSU could likely lose and still remain.

Personally, GA hasn't seen a spread with these athletic skills. They will be challenged to provide pressure and cover at the same time. I think AU's DL was better at getting to Burrow than GA will be, and we had 500 yards vs AU. Unless we have to settle for FGs and turn the ball over, there's a good chance we can score more on GA than their offense, without some key guys and others playing not at 100%, can on ours.