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Message
Tuesday's CFP Show will reveal a lot...
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:46 pm
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:46 pm
Every year, the committee sets precedent with their first rankings as to how the selection criteria ACTUALLY is weighed. Whether it be SOS, SOR, Head to Head, Common opponents, we'll find out what matters most this week. What I'm watching the closest:
1. The order of SEC teams. How are Alabama, Tennessee, LSU, Texas, Ole Miss ordered? Does transitive H2H matter, does team trend matter, does best win matter?
2. Notre Dame. The CFP committee NEEDS to put ND in the 8-10 range if they're actually considering leaving them out at 10-2. Any higher, and they're in even with a loss vs Miami.
3. Ohio State. Does their 1 poor performance without their starting QB affect where they get ranked, kinda like FSU years ago.
4. At larges. Where are 1-loss at larges like Texas Tech, BYU, Wake Forest compared to 2-loss SEC teams. It was reported that "conference strength" was a selection metric this year. We will see.
How I would order it:
1. Miami
2. Georgia
3. Utah
4. Indiana
5. UCLA
6. Kentucky
7. BYU
8. Notre Dame
9. Alabama
10. Texas
11. Ole Miss
12. Ohio State
13. LSU
14. Texas Tech
15. Tennessee
16. Wake Forest
G6: Boise State
I'm curious to hear what criteria y'all think will matter most?
1. The order of SEC teams. How are Alabama, Tennessee, LSU, Texas, Ole Miss ordered? Does transitive H2H matter, does team trend matter, does best win matter?
2. Notre Dame. The CFP committee NEEDS to put ND in the 8-10 range if they're actually considering leaving them out at 10-2. Any higher, and they're in even with a loss vs Miami.
3. Ohio State. Does their 1 poor performance without their starting QB affect where they get ranked, kinda like FSU years ago.
4. At larges. Where are 1-loss at larges like Texas Tech, BYU, Wake Forest compared to 2-loss SEC teams. It was reported that "conference strength" was a selection metric this year. We will see.
How I would order it:
1. Miami
2. Georgia
3. Utah
4. Indiana
5. UCLA
6. Kentucky
7. BYU
8. Notre Dame
9. Alabama
10. Texas
11. Ole Miss
12. Ohio State
13. LSU
14. Texas Tech
15. Tennessee
16. Wake Forest
G6: Boise State
I'm curious to hear what criteria y'all think will matter most?
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:51 pm to nmh3303
You really have Bama at #9 and LSU left out of the field?
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:52 pm to nmh3303
You have Utah as #3? using what criteria?
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:52 pm to nmh3303
UCLA has a cakewalk into the CFP. Pretty remarkable. You just know the committee is going to prop up ND to allow for one more loss. SMU and Miami can both easily beat them though.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:54 pm to nmh3303
What time is the show and I assume espn?
Posted on 11/1/26 at 1:54 pm to lashinala
I’ll answer both of these. Alabama has the better win than us (@ Kentucky). Similar losses vs highly ranked teams.
Utah is undefeated and the B12 favorite. This moreso mirrors the AP poll
Utah is undefeated and the B12 favorite. This moreso mirrors the AP poll
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:12 pm to nmh3303
For every downvote I hope you're ready to show me your rankings and why they're unequivocally better.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:25 pm to nmh3303
quote:
Ohio State. Does their 1 poor performance without their starting QB affect where they get ranked, kinda like FSU years ago.
Part of the selection criteria looks at the absence of critical players. So it’s entirely possible that OSU falls down the list considering they have a QB problem.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 2:53 pm to nmh3303
Indiana and Utah wouldn't even make the top 12 if they played an SEC schedule
Posted on 11/1/26 at 3:08 pm to QB
Well if PJ could really row the boat Indy would be done
Posted on 11/1/26 at 3:25 pm to UnluckyTiger
I watched smu yesterday. They suck on both sides of the ball. Qb is run first, can read defense or pass accurately. They couldn't stop a bad Syracuse team. Smu would finish last in the sec...tbats how bad.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 3:27 pm to nmh3303
You have teams that vegas has at 35 to 40 to 1 to win the NC, way up high in rankings. You have LSU on the outside looking in, who is 4th best odds to win the nc, not even making it. You strictly used wins and losses and not strength of schedule.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 3:28 pm to cbree88
quote:
You really have Bama at #9 and LSU left out of the field?
Bama’s resume is unquestionably better than ours at this time. We don't have a single quality win.
Posted on 11/1/26 at 4:00 pm to DallasTiger11
We have tied for the most blowout wins in the nation. We should still be ranked above a team like wake Forest and Texas tech
Posted on 11/1/26 at 4:03 pm to Pedropatterstine
Sometimes I do wonder what the average IQ on TD is. This is what I think SHOULD happen on Tuesday.
If Vegas odds determined the rankings, every CFP field to date would be vastly different. This is clearly not the case, because... why would it be? And yes, Alabama has a better resume than LSU to date. They will without a shadow of a doubt be ahead of LSU on Tuesday.
If Vegas odds determined the rankings, every CFP field to date would be vastly different. This is clearly not the case, because... why would it be? And yes, Alabama has a better resume than LSU to date. They will without a shadow of a doubt be ahead of LSU on Tuesday.
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